Tuesday, September 1, 2015

Trump has 2-1 lead in Iowa at 31.7% per latest Gravis poll of Iowa caucus goers, Aug. 28-29, Fri-Sat. Carson 15.8, Bush 4.1. Trump dominant across demographic groups-Howie Carr, Breitbart

9/1/15, "Trump Now Out-polling Jeb 8-1 in Iowa," Howie Carr, Breitbart, Boston

"Donald Trump is maintaining a commanding 2-1 lead in the latest poll of GOP caucus goers in Iowa, and his only rival in double digits is another political novice, Dr. Ben Carson. Former frontrunner FL Gov. Jeb Bush has tumbled into eighth place despite his $100-million bankroll.

In a Gravis Marketing poll of 507 Iowa Republicans conducted last Friday and Saturday, Trump has 31.7 percent to Carson’s 15.8 and Bush’s 4.1 percent. A Monmouth University poll released yesterday had showed Trump and Carson running neck and neck with 23 percent – much to the excitement of the GOP establishment, including Fox News Channel.

But today’s Gravis poll seems more in line with other recent surveys in the Hawkeye State, where the first caucuses of 2016 will be held five months from today on Feb. 1.

Trump is dominant across almost all demographic groups, leading Carson and Cruz among Hispanics with 29 percent. He also won a plurality among GOP voters who described themselves as both pro-life and pro-choice, those in the 18-49 age group, and Republicans declaring themselves moderate or “slightly liberal.”

Among Roman Catholics in Iowa, the Presbyterian Trump polls 40 percent to 11 percent for Carson. Bush, a Catholic convert who often claims to be guided by his faith, polled at 0.8 percent among his coreligionists.

In Iowa, Trump trails only among evangelicals, with 13 percent to 26 percent for Carson and 22 percent for Cruz. Both Carson and Cruz are evangelicals themselves.... 

Iowa has open caucuses, which allow, say, Democrats or independents to declare themselves Republicans and vote on the GOP side. Of Trump’s declared supporters, 37 percent told Gravis they were Democrats, 37 percent independents, and only 26 percent Republicans."...Image above from Gravis via Howie Carr. No link to cross tabs.


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