9/15/15, "Gravis Current Florida Polling":
9/15/15, "Jeb Bush Falls to Third in Florida Behind Donald Trump and Ben Carson, According to New Poll," Broward Palm Beach New Times, Chris Joseph
"Donald Trump continues to plow ahead in Florida, while Jeb Bush
continues to flounder. This according to a new Gravis Marketing poll.
The poll, released Monday, revealed more bad news for the former
governor. Ben Carson has vaulted ahead of Bush, leaving Jeb in third.
Gravis polled 1,584 registered voters from September 5 to 11 via
automated phone calls and cell-phone responses. And, much like we're
seeing in Iowa and New Hampshire, Trump and Carson are polling strong in
first and second place while Bush is coming in at third.
results show Trump holding a 33 percent lead in Florida, with Carson
coming in with 22 percent. Bush, meanwhile, garnered 15 percent in the
Bush has been struggling to make ground in Florida
over the past few months, especially with Trump's popularity among GOP
Jeb had been cruising at 20 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll
released back on June 18. But Qunnipiac's August poll showed Bush
dropping to 17 percent among Florida's Republican voters, all while
Trump began to gain serious momentum, coming from 3 percent to 21
percent among Florida Republicans, which, according to Quinnipiac,
reflects the national polling
Now, with Gravis, Trump's lead has
become a trend, while Bush continues to fall behind. Marco Rubio,
meanwhile, has been lost in the forest of GOP contenders.
to those polled by Gravis, at 5.4 percent, Rubio trails Carly Florina,
who came in with 6.2 percent, and Ted Cruz at 5.7 percent. Mike Huckabee
is at 1.8 percent, and Scott Walker is at 1.1 percent.
with Rubio flailing, Gravis showed Jeb no love. When Florida Republican
voters were asked who they would support if the race came down between
Bush and Rubio, Rubio would win 51-31 percent, with 18 percent
Back in June, Quinnipiac had Rubio at 18 percent among Republican voters. The latest poll has him at 11 percent.
as it stands right now, whoever wins the Republican ticket is leading
Democrat Hillary Clinton in Florida when it comes to the general
The Gravis poll shows Clinton leading the Democratic
with 41.6 percent, followed by Joe Biden — who has not announced his
candidacy — at 21.4 percent. Bernie Sanders comes in third in Florida
with 12.5 percent.
Gravis has a margin of error of plus or minus 3
percent for the 891 Republicans, and plus or minus 4 percent for the 693
Image above from Gravis, Sept. 5-11, 2015 Florida poll
9/15/15, "Gravis Current Florida Polling," Sept. 5-11, 2015
"Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,584 registered voters in Florida regarding the presidential election. The poll has a margin of error of ±3% for the 891 Republicans and ± 4% for the 693 Democrats. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and cell phone responses. The results are weighted by anticipated voting demographics. The weighting was done separately for each question."