Monday, October 31, 2022

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis rallies for Lee Zeldin for Governor of New York State, Sat., Oct. 29, 2022, Hauppauge, New York

 .

10/30/22, “Lee Zeldin for Governor Rally with Ron DeSantis in Long Island, New York Draws Massive Crowd,” yournews.com 

INCREDIBLE turnout tonight on Long Island for our Get Out The Vote Rally with Florida Governor @RonDeSantisFL! THOUSANDS strong showed up for our event on only one day’s notice. 10 days until New York elects a new Governor. It can’t happen soon enough!”

Above, 10/29/22, Lee Zeldin twitter, rally in Hauppauge, New York at Zeldin campaign headquarters

Above, 10/29/22, Bobby Cuza, reporter for NY1 twitter…rally in Hauppauge, New York at Zeldin campaign headquarters

Above, 10/29/22, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (left) rallies for Lee Zeldin for Governor of New York…rally in Hauppauge, New York at Zeldin campaign headquarters

Above, 10/29/22, Lee Zeldin twitter

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Added: From You Tube video

Above, You Tube video, 10/29/22, “LIVE: Ron DeSantis Stumps for Lee Zeldin in New York,” Hauppauge, New York


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Tuesday, October 25, 2022

Hopes dashed in latest Russia Levada poll: Confidence in Pres. Putin increases among Russian people even with the war. Assumptions about ‘scared’ or ‘unwilling’ poll respondents flop-Levada poll, April 21-27, 2022

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Poll dates of Levada Center poll in Russia, April 21-27, 2022...10/1/2022, “Tobin Harshaw: “As you note in an article you co-authored, hopes that Russians would oppose the war have been dashed. Why?”” Bloomberg, “How Does Putin Stay So Popular While Losing the War in Ukraine?”…image via Bloomberg

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ANO “Levada-Center” is included by the Ministry of Justice in the register of non-profit organizations performing the functions of a foreign agent.” (end of page)

6/14/2022, “Willingness to participate in surveys: results of the experiment, levada-ru.translate.goog, Denis Volkov, Ksenia Agapeeva
……….
The Levada Center continues to publish research data on the analysis of willingness to take part in surveys. 
 
In April [2022], the Levada Center conducted a methodological experiment, the purpose of which was to get an idea of ​​which groups of the population are currently

more likely to agree

to take part in telephone surveys:

is there a difference in the reachability of potential respondents

depending on their gender, age, education, size of population? the

place where they live.

In addition, the task was to test

the following hypotheses:

that respondents who did not support the country’s leadership,

in the current conditions,

more often refuse to participate in surveys,

that those who agreed to take part again

give more positive assessments of ongoing events

than participants in monthly

surveys. [These hypotheses proved false.]

The main results of the experiment:…

………………

In following five examples, poll results were the opposite of hopes or assumptions:

…………………….

[One] “The share of those who declare

their confidence

in Vladimir Putin (+16%) [up 16% from last survey]

and want to see him in the presidency after 2024

(+14%) [up 14% from last survey]

has increased….

Respondents who agreed to take part in the re-survey were

asked to answer several questions about the current situation,

including a question about trust in Vladimir Putin and

support for his new term.”…

………………………………………….

[Two]: “Political preferences:…

It was assumed

that respondents who previously did not support

the president

may now more often refuse to participate in the survey.

The methodological experiment

did not confirm

this hypothesis….

The assumption

that respondents who were previously opposed

more often refuse to participate in polls,

was not confirmed….

The rejection rate in both groups (who supported and who

did not support the president in 2021)

is about the same level….

Respondents agree to re-participate in the survey,

regardless of how they previously answered the question

about support for the authorities….

We used questions from

previous measurements on

attitudes towards Vladimir Putin’s presidency after 2024

and on trust in the president.”

………………………………………..

[Three]: The assumption

was not confirmed

that people who are ready to re-participate in telephone surveys

generally give more positive assessments of ongoing events

and speak more freely about their attitude to politics.”…

………………………………………….

[Four]. “The experiment did not confirm

the assumption

that respondents who do not approve

of the activities of the

country’s leadership

are more likely to refuse to participate

in the survey.”…

………………………………………..

[Five]: Telephone vs in person responses “generally similar:

In person Levada surveys are conducted at the respondent’s

home by the method of personal interview.”]

The assumption

was not confirmed

that people who repeatedly participate in telephone surveys

assess events more positively…

[Additionally,] estimates of the respondents of the

telephone survey

are generally similar to the answers of the participants in the…

door-to-door surveys

for March and April 2022.”…

………………………………………..

Additional 3 items of general interest from poll:

…………………………………

One: Men and women agree/refuse interviews at same rate:

“Socio-demographic characteristics of respondents and

non-participants:

The results of the experiment showed that the proportion of

successful interviews (achievability level) among men and

women is approximately the same.”…

………………………………

Two: Education:

“As a rule, people with higher education

are much more likely to take part in telephone surveys (if this

feature is not controlled in a special way with the help of quotas).

In the experimental survey, the proportion of successful

interviews among participants with higher education was

also higher than among participants without higher education.

This happened because respondents

without higher education

answered the phone much less frequently.

At the same time, the level of refusals among respondents

with different levels of education turned out to be

approximately the same (the only exception was Moscow:

Muscovites with higher education more often agreed to take part

in the survey). As a result, the largest share of successful

interviews was among Muscovites with higher education,

and the smallest

among rural residents

without higher education….

Among those who took part in the survey,

compared with the sample, there are

more respondents with higher education (as noted earlier,

they answered the phone more often), and more Muscovites –

due to the fact that Muscovites with higher education answered

the phone more often than others,

and refused less often.”…

…………………………………………..

Three: Opinion of Pres. Putin wasn’t predictive either way

of those who agreed to re-survey:

In addition, those who agreed to take part in the re-survey

and those who refused it

did not practically differ from each other

in terms of indicators of support for the president.”…

……………………………………………………

 

Friday, October 14, 2022

Racist Latvia beats and tortures migrants, especially non-whites, tasers genitals, detains children. Latvia Ombudsman says can’t comment, is “classified”-Amnesty International, Oct. 12, 2022

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Latvia is a member of NATO, the EU, the UN, the IMF, the Council of the Baltic Sea States, the Nordic-Baltic Eight, the Nordic Investment Bank, and the World Trade Organization, among others. Though it “contravened EU law,” Latvia in 2021 declared a state of emergency” for the purpose of closing its borders to asylum seekers and refugees.

10/12/22, “Latvia: Return home or never leave the woods: Refugees and migrants arbitrarily detained, beaten and coerced into “voluntary” returns," Amnesty.org

In August 2021, Latvia introduced a state of emergency

at the Belarus border,

preventing people from seeking asylum and legalizing pushbacks.

Latvia’s abuse of emergency powers

escalated into acts constituting torture and other ill-treatment,

arbitrary detention, and the use of intimidation and violence to force people

to return “voluntarily.” While Latvia sought

to keep refugees and migrants

from racial or ethnic minorities out,

it welcomed 35000 refugees from Ukraine.”…

page 32: “USE OF TASERS

A number of people described commandos administering electric shocks to

various parts of people’s bodies with objects that Amnesty International has

concluded were tasers. While the SoE legislation in Latvia allows for the use of force by law enforcement officials in some cases, incidents documented in this

report indicate that commandos used tasers in a gratuitous or punitive manner

rather than in selfdefence or with a view to restraining people presenting a real threat.

Adnan recounted: I asked them for food, and the guard said come with me

I will give you food

and attacked me with electric shock.”

He recounted that they would normally be attacked

from the neck down,

including genitals.

155 Representatives of the Latvian Ombudsman told Amnesty International that they had heard allegations regarding the use of tasers in September 2021 but noted that in the specific case presented to their attention and considering “the information provided by State Border Guard about their equipment while doing border monitoring,

they could not verify the allegation.

The Ombudsman stated that the incident in question

involved classified information

and the office could not provide further information about it; they

referred to another incident being forwarded to the Internal Security Bureau.

It should be noted that Latvia’s regulations on the use of “special means”

specifically allows both the police and the border guard 

to use electroshock devices.156 On the occasion of the LIBE Committee’s visit to Latvia,

authorities maintained that “Border guards were not equipped with electroshock devices.” 157  

Whether tasers may be part of the equipment of

the police or the army, in the exercise of their powers while assisting the border guard’s operations,

was left unaddressed.

As previously mentioned, Aleksandra Jolkina maintains that the Latvian Police

declined to disclose any details to her “about the police units assisting the border

………………………..

“155 Remote interviews with Adnan of 10 March, 17 May, 7 June and 11 July.

156 See: Regulations of the Cabinet of Ministers No. 55 of 18 January 18 (prot. No. 5 § 21) Rules on the types of special means and the procedure for their use, (Noteikumi par speciālo līdzekļu veidiem un to lietošanas kārtību), para.7, https://likumi.lv/ta/id/224905noteikumi
parspecialolidzekluveidiemuntolietosanaskartibu

157 In the context of LIBE’s meeting with the Ministry of Interior and the State Border Guard including regional Frontex Liaison officer based in Riga. LIBE Committee, Mission Report following the LIBE mission to Vilnius, Lithuania, and Riga, Latvia, 2022, page 4″

……………………..

page 33:

guards at the Belarus border.158 Based on publicly available document, the use of electroshock devices is part of the curriculum offered by the State Police.159

“When [Latvian officers] arrived, they started hitting us,

and they told us to look down

and sit on our knees and put our hands on our head. The whole group was put in a van.

They used electricity, like electric shock. They used it on my shoulder, back. They were

using it freely, whatever part was close to them, biceps, hands etc.  

We stayed close to three months [at the border], when people were coming, they were using it

[electrocution], hitting people.”

Zaki, a man from Iraq, who spent around three months at the border since December 2021….

The unregulated and reckless use of tasers in the absence of a threat, as described in the cases above, constitutes torture; the relevant incidents should be urgently and effectively investigated.

OTHER FORMS OF VIOLENCE AND DEGRADING TREATMENT UPON APPREHENSION OR TRANSFER, INCLUDING OTHER ACTS AMOUNTING TO TORTURE

In addition to the use of tasers, people described

beatings by kicks and punches,

and in some cases attacks with objects or weapons.

Several people stated that commandos committed violence against them while making them board vans or inside vans, during or before transfers. Omar and Bilal, two men from Iraq who were at the border together in fall of 2021 recounted: “Commandos in black outfits took us two hours after we crossed into Latvia. 

They took us to the forest, to the tent and while they were taking us to the tents, they attacked us and used the electric shocks.

They hit us all, there was no difference.

They would punch us until we got in the van and after

Sometimes when you tried to look, they hit you,

if you only look up you are done. They can hit you for up to 50 minutes.

Before entering the van, they hit you with hands, legs. Then in the van with the taser.”…

page 7: “CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS…

Since August 2021, Latvian authorities have exploited

unjustified emergency powers

to target certain groups of nonwhite refugees and migrants,

systematically deny them access to asylum, and harassing, and coercing them

into returning to their countries of origin under duress.

Latvia should withdraw the state of emergency order

and refrain, in the future, from invoking a state of emergency or other exceptional measures to derogate from the state’s human rights obligations in the migration context…Latvian authorities should eradicate, in law and practice, 

the systematic use of migrationrelated detention of people admitted from the border and

the detention of accompanied and unaccompanied children.

They should also ensure the regular and unimpeded access of NGOs and independent observers to border and detention facilities and treat detainees in accordance with international law and standards.”…

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