Wednesday, September 16, 2015

Trump leads in California among registered Republican voters, LA Times poll, Aug. 29-Sept. 8, 2015 (Sa-Tu). Trump also #1 in GOP field among Latinos. Only 5 pts. 'humbling' for Fiorina who 'spent tens of millions to impress' Californians just 4 yrs. ago-LA Times

9/13/2015, "California Republicans echo U.S. trends, favoring outsiders Donald Trump and Ben Carson," LA Times, Cathleen Decker

"Donald Trump has vaulted to the top of the Republican race for president among California voters, a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll has found.

Trump won the support of 24% of California Republicans surveyed, while Ben Carson, a retired neurosurgeon and lesser-known conservative favorite, was backed by 18%. More than a dozen other candidates, most of them elected politicians, resided in the single digits, far behind the leaders....

[approx. 23rd parag.] The voters' early verdict was perhaps most humbling for Fiorina. Just four years after she spent tens of millions to impress them, fewer than half of California Republicans surveyed would consider voting for her, and 23% said they would never consider it."...

Added: USC Dornsife/LA Times Crosstabs

Trump #1 among California Latinos:

Trump 22
Bush 13
Carson 9
Cruz 6
Rubio 6
Fiorina 5
Paul 2
Huckabee 1

Added #2: How I got to above crosstabs chart:

1. "New University of Southern California Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times poll," linked in above LA Times article in parag. 11.
2. Scroll to "Key Findings"
3. Click on USC Dornsife/LA Times Crosstabs
4. An Adobe Acrobat window appears


9/12/15, "California Presidential Poll," LA Times

"The USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll was conducted Aug. 29-Sept. 8 among a random sample of 1,500 registered California voters, including 422 eligible to participate in the Republican primary, which is open only to registered Republicans, and 819 eligible to participate in the Democratic primary, which is open to registered Democrats and voters who decline to state a party. The margin of error for the Democratic subsample is +/- 3.6 percentage points. The margin of error for the Republican subsample is +/- 5.3 percentage points."

No comments: