Saturday, September 5, 2015

Donald Trump #1 in favorability among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in latest Gallup Poll, Aug. 19-Sept. 1, 2015

Aug. 19-Sept. 1, 2015. Trump #1 in favorability among Republicans with 63 per Gallup:

9/4/15, "Trump's Image Up Sharply Among Republicans," Gallup, Frank Newport

(Scroll down, this chart last on page)

Trump 63
Carson 57
Cruz 55
Rubio 55
Bush 52
Fiorina 45
Walker 44
Perry 43

"Bottom Line...

Despite some political analysts' expectations that Trump's bombastic style and controversial statements could begin to weaken his standing among Republicans, the businessman and TV personality's net favorable score has actually jumped over the past two weeks, and he is now in a much stronger position image-wise than in mid-July. From a broad perspective, these data show no signs yet of an overall backlash among rank-and-file Republicans to his campaign, style or issue positions."...

"Survey Methods

"Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted July 8-Sept. 1, 2015, on the Gallup U.S. Daily survey, with a random sample of 13,996 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Each candidate was rated by a random subset of respondents during this period, with the sample sizes rating each candidate averaging about 1,000 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents within each two-week interviewing period.

For results based on the total sample of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, rating each candidate at each time period, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.

Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 50% cellphone respondents and 50% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods."...


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