Sunday, September 27, 2015

Donald Trump up two points from July NBC WSJ poll, Jeb Bush down 7 points from July. Trump leads GOP field at 21, poll dates 9/20-9/24/15, 6.5% margin of error-NBC News

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Poll dates: 9/20-9/24/15. Sample of 230 Republicans nationwide. Margin of error 6.5%

Trump 21
Carson 20
Fiorina 11
Rubio 11
Bush 7
Kasich 6
Cruz 5
Paul 3
Christie 3
Huckabee 2
Santorum 1
Jindal 1

9/27/15, "NBC/WSJ Poll: Trump and Carson Lead GOP; Clinton Loses Ground," NBC News, Mark Murray, Sr. Political Editor

"Donald Trump and Ben Carson are running neck and neck in the national Republican presidential horserace, while Carly Fiorina is now tied for third place with Marco Rubio, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.... 












In the GOP race, Trump is the first choice of 21 percent of Republican primary voters — followed by Carson at 20 percent and Rubio and Fiorina tied at 11 percent each. 

Jeb Bush, meanwhile, is at 7 percent, John Kasich at 6 percent and Ted Cruz at 5 percent. No other Republican gets more than 3 percent. 

Back in July's NBC/WSJ poll, Trump was in first place at 19 percent, Scott Walker (who exited the race on Monday) was second at 15 percent, Bush third at 14 percent and Carson fourth at 10 percent. Rubio was just at 5 percent, and Fiorina didn't register at all in the poll....

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Sept. 20-24— so mostly after Walker suspended his campaign on Sept. 21. Only one GOP primary voter (out of 59 interviews) had selected Walker before he was removed from the survey....

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Sept. 20-24 of 256 Democratic voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 6.1 percentage points) and 230 GOP primary voters (plus-minus 6.5 percentage points). The rest of the poll will be released Monday."

Image above from NBC News
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Added: Caveat by Business Insider about large margin of error of 6% in July WSJ/NBC poll. In the above Sept. poll, it's even higher, 6.5%..............

8/2/15, "Donald Trump is dominating another new poll," Business Insider, Maxwell Tani

"There are a few caveats. The Journal/NBC poll of Republican candidates has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 6%, a figure made particularly significant due to the fact that support is spread thin over the large Republican field."...
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Added: The above 9/27 poll's author, Mark Murray, NBC's Senior Political Editor, is married to an Obama appointee, FAA Chief of Staff, Sasha Johnson. Such marriages aren't unusual but are important to keep in mind if  you thought media was supposed to protect the populace against behemoth government (like they did in Watergate):
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6/1/2013, "ABC, CBS media linked to the Obama administration, NBC link uncovered today," examiner.com, Christopher Collins
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"NBC's Mark Murray, senior political editor for NBC News wife, Sasha is an Obama appointee but never publicly disclosed it.

Grenell asked Murray yesterday if he was married to an Obama appointee and why it was not disclosed. Murray told him that...he told NBC officials and they didn’t care. Murray also told Grenell that his first wife worked for Ray Lahood so disclosing her as an Obama appointee wasn't necessary.

Murray’s wife, Sasha Johnson who will assume Obama's FAA Chief of Staff position is also a former CNN producer and Assistant to the Secretary and Director of Public Affairs with the Department of Transportation."...
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Added: Real Clear Politics averages Sept. 17-Sept. 24, 2015:





Trump +6.4
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Trump 23.4
Carson 17.0
Fiorina 11.6
Rubio 9.6
Bush 9.2
Cruz 6.2
Kasich 3.6
Christie 3.4
Huckabee 3.2
Paul 2.4
Santorum .6
Jindal .4
Pataki .4

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Real Clear Politics GOP primary polls from late 2014 to present



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