9/4/15, "Poll: Trump beats Hillary head-to-head," The Hill, by Elliot Smilowitz
"Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton head-to-head, according to a new poll released Friday.
The poll by SurveyUSA finds that matched up directly, Trump garners 45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent.
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In other head-to-head matchups, Trump beats out Sen. Bernie Sanders
(I-Vt.) by 44 percent to 40 percent; Vice President Joe Biden by 44
percent to 42 percent; and former Vice President Al Gore by 44 percent
to 41 percent.
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The poll also found that 30 percent of respondents believe Trump will eventually be the Republican nominee, leading the field.
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Former
Florida Gov. Jeb Bush came in second, with 20 percent saying they
expect him to win the nomination. Following Bush in order were retired
neurosurgeon Ben Carson, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Sen. Marco Rubio
(R-Fla.).
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The poll surveyed 1,000 adults across the nation Sept. 2-3, and it had a margin of error of 3.3 percent."
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From SurveyUSA:
31% of Hispanics would vote for Trump over Clinton.(chart posted below).
From SurveyUSA:
31% of Hispanics would vote for Trump over Clinton.(chart posted below).
9/4/15, "Labor Day Look at the 2016 General Election For President: Every Democrat Trails Trump, Though Narrowly:" SurveyUSA
"In an election for President of the United States, today, Labor Day, business provocateur Donald Trump narrowly defeats Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Al Gore, in head-to-head matchups, according to nationwide polling conducted by SurveyUSA.
Today it's:
* Trump 45%, Clinton 40%. (There is a 20-point Gender Gap; Trump leads by 18 points among seniors.)
* Trump 44%, Sanders 40%. (Trump leads by 10 among independents and by 6 among moderates.)
* Trump 44%, Biden 42%. (Trump leads by 10 among the best educated
; Biden leads by 17 among the least educated.)
* Trump 44%, Gore 41%. (Trump leads by 12 among men and by 18 among voters age 50+.)
Among a subset of registered voters who tell SurveyUSA that they pay "a lot" of attention to politics, the scale tilts to the right: Today it's:
* Trump 54%, Clinton 36%.
* Trump 53%, Sanders 39%.
* Trump 53%, Biden 37%.
* Trump 54%, Gore 36%....
Voters were asked, regardless of whether they were Democrats or Republicans, and regardless of whom they might vote for in a primary, who they thought would be the major party nominees. Today, Labor Day, voters handicap the primary contests this way:
44% say Clinton will be the Democratic Party nominee.
* 22% say Biden will be the nominee.
* 14% say Sanders will be the nominee.
* 3% say Gore.
* 9% say someone else.
* 30% say Trump will be the Republican party nominee
.
* 20% say Jeb Bush will the the GOP nominee.
* 14% say Ben Carson will be the GOP nominee.
* 6% say Ted Cruz will be the nominee.
* 4% say Marco Rubio will be the nominee.
* 4% say John Kasich will be the nominee.
* 3% say Carly Fiorina will be the nominee.
* 2% say Scott Walker will be the nominee.
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Cell-phone and home-phone respondents are included in this survey. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 USA adults 09/02/15 and 09/03/15. Of the adults, 900 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 58% (522) pay "a lot" of attention to politics. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (62% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home (landline) telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (38% of registered voters) were shown a question on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Cell respondents, as is typically the case, vote more Democratic than do landline respondents. Among just the universe of cell-phone respondents, Clinton defeats Trump by 16 points; Sanders defeats Trump by 12 points; Biden defeats Trump by 17 points; and Gore defeats Trump by 17 points. The more cell-phone respondents a pollster includes in its "mix" of voters, the more Democratic the poll results will be. "
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Race splits, Trump v Clinton, 31% of Hispanics would vote for Trump over Clinton:
5 lines are ascribed as follows: Clinton, Trump, Undecided, Total, Composition of Registered voters.
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