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11/15/13,
"Saudi billionaire sees a world awash in oil ,"
The Globe and Mail, Toronto, Jacquie McNish
" “He has arrived .” As the hushed alert circulates in the lobby
of Toronto’s Four Seasons Hotel, a dozen employees rush to their
positions near doors and elevators....
Prince al-Waleed bin Talal, the Saudi
billionaire who invests in everything from Twitter to Disney, is
visiting the recently built hotel, the newest addition to his collection
of five-star pleasure palaces....
.
Now he is
emerging as an activist in his home country with a rare public challenge
to Saudi Arabia’s political elite, whom he believes are recklessly
ignoring economic threats posed by shale oil discoveries in the United
States. .
The Prince makes this point repeatedly in an interview
with The Globe and Mail, one of his first since he rattled global oil
markets in July by disclosing on his Twitter account a letter to Saudi
Arabia’s Oil Minister. The missive warned that the American shale oil
boom would soon threaten demand for crude from members of the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
New shale oil discoveries “are threats to any oil-producing country in the world,” he says.
Inside
the Four Seasons, the Prince and his handlers nudge their way through
the hotel’s packed street-level “dbar” (a nod to chef Daniel Boulud) to a
raised dais of taupe couches and chairs at the end of the lounge.
Signalling
his comfort in Western society, the Prince juggles his prayer beads and
Android phone while conducting business in the lobby bar. This is his
custom, an adviser whispers – the Prince likes to make himself visible
when spending time at his five-star resorts....
In less
than two years, Prince al-Waleed says, the United States will be
producing so much oil that it will be a competing exporter of crude. Oil
prices currently hovering a little below $100 (U.S.) a barrel could
sink as low as $80 over the next few years and potentially fall even
further if more shale oil discoveries emerge in the United States,
Europe and Australia.
“It is a pivot moment for any oil-producing
country that has not diversified,” he says. “Ninety-two per cent of
Saudi Arabia’s annual budget comes from oil. Definitely it is a worry
and a concern.” Does Saudi Arabia get it?
“I will make them
get it; there is no doubt about that. I’ll make them get it. It is
matter of survival . There is no choice but to get it. I will keep
pushing until they do.
“The majority of Saudi Arabians get it. We
will mobilize the media ; mobilize the people to put maximum pressure on
the government to do things to rectify the problem.”
The more
emphatic the Prince becomes , the more his attendants nod their heads in
agreement. “He will tweet this all the time,” one pipes up....
Many
Saudis share his concern about an economic reckoning as a result of the
shale oil boom, he says, but powerful political figures continue to
push for the country to expand its oil output. These oil
optimists, he says, have a false sense of security because of the
country’s enormous stockpile of nearly $700-billion in foreign exchange
reserves. As a result of the reserve buffer, he says, Saudi leaders do
not agree that a looming oil glut is an economic “emergency. ”
He
estimates the currency reserves will last another decade if oil prices
continue to fall. “In the life of a nation, 10 years is a blip.”" via CNS News
.
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