Poll dates 9/25-10/5/15, asked of Registered Republicans, live interviews on land lines and cell phones.
Florida: 461 Republicans, 4.6 margin of error.
Ohio: 433 Republicans, 4.7 margin of error.
Penna.: 427 Republicans, 4.7 margin of error.
"The Swing State Poll
focuses on Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania because since 1960 no candidate has won the
presidential race without taking at least two of these three states.....
Trump tops the Republican primary list in Florida with 28 percent, up from 21 percent in
Quinnipiac University's August 20 Swing State Poll."...
""The generally more energized Republican party members, who backed former Gov.
Bush and Sen. Rubio when they ran for office in the Sunshine State, are deserting the
establishment candidates for the outsiders - specifically Trump and Carson," (Quinnipiac's) Brown said."...
""Gov. John Kasich's big card was his enormous popularity in Ohio, generally considered
the most important swing state in the November election," (Quinnipiac's) Brown said. "But with Trump
zooming well past him in the Buckeye State and Kasich's numbers in Florida and Pennsylvania
in low single digits, the Ohio governor's campaign is going in the wrong direction.""...
10/7/15, "Poll: Trump leads swing states of Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania," USA Today, On Politics, David Jackson
"Donald Trump continues to lead the Republican presidential contest,
not just in early contests states like Iowa and New Hampshire, but in
the key swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
A new Quinnipiac University Poll
illustrates Trump’s leads in those latter three states, two of which
are homes to Republican opponents Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and John
“Those who were waiting for Donald Trump’s campaign to collapse will
need to wait longer, at least in the three key states of Ohio, Florida
and Pennsylvania,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the
Quinnipiac University Poll.
In Florida, Trump leads with 28%, followed by retired neurosurgeon
Ben Carson with 16%. Rubio, a U.S. senator from the Sunshine State, is
third at 14%. Bush, a former governor of Florida, is fourth at 12%,
followed by businesswoman Carly Fiorina (7%) and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz
The Quinnipiac Poll in Ohio puts Trump first at 23%, with Carson
second at 18%. Kasich, the sitting governor of Ohio, is third at 13%,
followed by Cruz (11%), Fiorina (10%), Rubio (7%), and Bush (4%).
In Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac has Trump at 23%, Carson at 17%, and
Rubio at 12%, followed by Fiorina (8%), Cruz (6%), and New Jersey Gov.
Chris Christie (5%). Bush and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee are
both at 4%.
In analyzing the poll, Quinnipiac’s Brown noted that Fiorina and
Carson — “the other two outsider candidates in the GOP race — also “seem to be making progress. But Bush, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas seem to be treading water.”"
MSNBC image at top via Dan Scavino twitter