Friday, October 9, 2015

Trump at 31.5 in New Hampshire, Gravis poll, Oct. 5-6, 2015. Nineteen points ahead of Republican field

Oct. 5-6, 2015, 662 New Hampshire Registered R's, 3.8 margin of error, Gravis automated phone poll

Trump 31.5
Carson 12.5
Kasich 10
Rubio 8.3
Fiorina 8.2
Bush 7.5
Cruz 5.3
Christie 2.9
Paul 1.5
Graham 1.4
Santorum .5
Jindal .4
Huckabee .3
Pataki .1

10/8/15, "Current New Hampshire Polling," Gravis Marketing

"Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,035 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election and other areas. The poll was conducted October 5-6, 2015. The sample includes 662 Republicans, 373 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.1% [3.8% for Republican Caucus/5.1% for Democratic Caucus]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted separately for each population in the question presented. Crosstabs by race, gender, education category, religious affiliation, and other variables are available upon request."


Added: No mention of whether an outside party paid for the poll.


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