Above, "asked of registered voters who identified as Republican." p. 49
10/28/15, "Trump leads GOP nationally ahead of third debate," today.yougov.com, Kathy Francovic
"The Economist/YouGov Poll includes the responses of 2,000
adults nationwide. The larger sample size means there are about 500
self-identified Republicans, and it is possible to look at subgroups
within the party. Trump runs equally well with men and women, though his
first choice margin over Carson is bigger among men than it is with
women. Carson runs ahead of Trump in the Midwest; Trump leads in all
41% of Republicans this week believe Trump is their party’s likely
nominee. And three in four Republicans think he can defeat the
Democratic nominee, whomever that is."...
"October 23-27, 2015"
"Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2010 American Community Study. Voter registration was imputed from the November 2010
Current Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement.
Religion, political interest, minor party identification, and
non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Pew
Religion in American Life Survey. The sample was weighted using
propensity scores based on age, gender, race, education, news interest,
voter registration, and non-placement on an ideology scale. The weights
range from 0.2 to 4.2, with a mean of one and a standard deviation of
"Margin of error +-3"...