Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Voting for Trump is a strategy worth trying because we have nothing to lose. Citizens United enabled GOP E to beat us in primaries. Wall St. is in tank for either Bush or Clinton. GOP E plan in primaries is simply to beat us in Florida-Sundance

"We gave the GOP the House (2010, 2012, 2014) and the Senate (2014) and yet we never have received a single benefit to the election victories We The People provided." This article makes the case that GOP E plan is that in the first 5 primary states, it only needs to beat us in Florida.

Bush and Connie Mack IV

7/13/15, "Why I Support Donald Trump’s Campaign – And It’s Probably Not What You Think…," The Conservative Treehouse, Sundance

"Begin with the end in mind – I’m not trying to convince anyone that Donald Trump is  running a campaign to actually win the GOP nomination.

Factually, I’m as uncertain and perhaps more skeptical as the next person. However, given that Trump has actually done things he normally wouldn’t do if this was a mere publicity stunt (ie. stock divestitures, removal of conflicts etc.), for the sake of intellectual argument, I’m going to assume, cautiously yet optimistically, he’s in it to win it.

So why support him?

Argument #1 – After all, he’s been a democrat, an independent, a Republican, and well, I have consistently despised Charlie Crist.

Counter Argument – Then again, what about Mitch McConnell and John Boehner, and Orin Hatch, and Lindsey Graham, and John McCain, and John Cornyn, and Thad Cochran and, well, you get the point…. What’s the difference between supporting those consistently Republican “Republicans” only to have them advocate for liberal/progressive policies.
Are the aforementioned better because they didn’t change party registration, yet act like Democrats?

Let me first explain something few fully comprehend – and fewer still, are willing accept.

People like us rail against the “establishment” because, despite the GOP claims to the contrary, they never actually do anything to stop the liberal policy agenda. One only has to look at President Obama’s veto record (four in 6.5 years) to accept that only legislation Obama agrees with is reaching his desk.

We gave the GOP the House (2010, 2012, 2014) and the Senate (2014) and yet we never have received a single benefit to the election victories We The People provided.

Why is that?

Here’s where a paradigm shift is needed for many of the political followers who don’t have a deep and specialized knowledge of the Republican agenda.

Citizens United was touted by conservatives as a victory. Why?

Was it because Citizens United was genuinely a win for freedom of speech, or was it actually and substantively because Obama declared it a loss?

Again, paradigm shift time – Citizens United was as much a defeat for “our side” as it was for “their side”.

We didn’t need Citizens United to win a massive electoral victory in 2010, Obama’s “Shellacking”; we just showed up to the polls and voted against his policies.

However, the Republican professional political class did need Citizens United to try and stop our efforts in 2012 and again in 2014. I’ll explain.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, led by President Tom Donohue, is the power brokerage for the GOP “establishment”. In short, whatever the CoC wants, their lobbyists on K-Street will insure the CoC gets through campaign contributions to influence the GOP as a Party.

The U.S. CoC is the operational arm of Wall Street, not, I repeat, NOT, Main Street.

The Citizens United  decision is what allowed Wall Street to fund the U.S. CoC, which in turn funded the GOP establishment machine.  If politics is a blood sport, Citizens United just authorized the unlimited use of STERIODS for the paid gladiators.

How does Wall Street differ from Main Street?

The answer to that question can most easily be reflected by explaining why the Republican Establishment, the professional political class, supports ObamaCare, Common Core and Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty.

Wall Street and ObamaCare:

Wall Street, through the CoC, advocate for policies that benefit their interests; their financial interests. The cost of worker healthcare is a liability embedded in the cost of the products sold. If the United Auto Workers healthcare plan costs $10,000 per person, that cost is embedded in the price to manufacture a car.

Unlike their global competitors U.S. businesses (manufacturers) have these costs as part of their product cost, the cost of goods sold.

Globally, other nations have various forms of “government provided” healthcare, and so their products don’t carry the cost directly. In an effort to level the manufacturing playing field, the U.S. CoC, Wall Street, are firm advocates of removing the cost of healthcare from U.S. goods.

Wall Street supports ObamaCare for an expanded profit margin on financially capitalized businesses – ie. higher profits = higher stock valuations.

Simultaneously, unions support ObamaCare (see SEIU, AFL-CIO et al, visits to White House during ObamaCare construct) because ObamaCare removes the healthcare liability from the union retirees benefits. ie. increased solvency.

The globalists, and progressive Democrats support ObamaCare because it aids their constituency, unions; and also expands the influence of government control which is based on a collective outlook and elimination of the individual freedom.

Wall Street therefore supports both Republicans and Democrats when it comes to the retention of ObamaCare.

That’s why you don’t see Republican Majorities trying to remove it– it’s all hat and no cattle; a ruse, a fraud. Only the promises of actual removal being used to get Pavlov’s sheeple masses to pull levers with hopes/promises of getting repeal pellets.

The GOP has NO INTENTION of removing ObamaCare.  
Wall Street and Immigration: 


Like ObamaCare, Wall Street wants comprehensive immigration reform to include amnesty. Again, focused almost entirely on the reduction of the labor costs for goods and services. 

These are financial balance sheet determinations, not considerations of what’s best for the middle class U.S. worker.

Democrats and Republicans both want immigration reform to include amnesty. Democrats for a voting block and more collectivist ideological approaches, Republicans to do the bidding of their financial interests – The CoC, Tom Donohue, etc.

Neither Democrats nor Republicans are willing to build a border wall to stop illegal immigration.

Wall Street and Common Core Education:

Like ObamaCare and Immigration, Wall Street wants the federalization of education. In part because it generates a consistently similar pool of eligible, who are increasingly Latino, workers; and in part because education is BIG BUSINESS.

Just look at your property taxes to see how much of your local property tax dollars are apportioned to public School and Education funding.

Democrats and Republicans both support Common Core. Democrats because it expands the financial base of local schools to allow greater room for increased labor union (teacher, NEA) wages; and because Common Core affords, yet again, an ideological watering down of individualism in favor of collectivism. Republicans support Common Core because it’s big business, and the CoC funds their advocacy.

Both Democrats and Republicans support Common Core.

In 2013 CoC President Tom Donohue went on record saying his 2014/2015 legislative priorities were:

1 – Full implementation of ObamaCare without repeal.
2 – Comprehensive Immigration Reform to include Amnesty.
3 – Full implementation of Common Core educational standards.

Wall Street, through K-Street, through the CoC, fund these legislative priorities.

The Citizens United decision allowed Wall Street, through K-Street, through the CoC to fund established legislative representatives to continue these legislative priorities.

Conversely, Citizens United, through Wall Street, through K-Street, through the CoC, fund attacks against any political opponent who would unseat their selected and established candidate. You only need to look at 2014’s Virginia (Ken Cuccinelli), or Mississippi (Chris McDaniels), or Kentucky (Matt Bevin) to see how strongly they will work to insure victory.

So now that you know why both Republicans and Democrats support ObamaCare, Amnesty and Common Core; what exactly is the difference between a Jeb Bush and a Hillary Clinton?

Some social issues, maybe – gay marriage, legalized pot? A SCOTUS appointment? Do you really think that Bush or Clinton would select a totally divergent SCOTUS, when their intents and purposes are essentially the same?

Wall Street needs Bush V Clinton in 2016 because they are two different sides of the same professional political coin. 

Wall Street doesn’t care which one, because Wall Street wins with either candidate.

How does Wall Street insure their desired candidate outcome?

Quite simple. WE’VE REPEATEDLY OUTLINED IT HERE It’s a simple five state strategy, almost identical to their previously selected candidate, Mitt Romney, in 2012.
What makes Donald Trump different?

This is where you accept the value of Donald Trump; because despite opinion to the contrary, Donald Trump is Main Street – not Wall Street.

Trump’s wealth is tied directly to the success of Main Street. Trump builds things, actual things – which he then owns.

Trump does not make money from capitalization of financials – Trump makes money from traditional business models, owning and operating stuff.

Both Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton are Wall Street candidates.
IDEOLOGICAL EXAMPLE: The IRS weaponization of government against people, as within the Lois Lerner IRS scandal, is an issue which Trump can breech. Both Democrats and Republicans benefit from the destruction of the Tea Party; neither Bush not Clinton bear any interest in exposing the IRS scandal itself.

When you accept that without Donald Trump you get Bush V Clinton, you begin to understand why it’s beneficial to support Donald Trump.

Quite simply, there’s nothing to lose.

As we previously shared, numerous times, you can get angry, mad, upset etc. about the reality of the 2016 GOP Five State roadmap, but that’s not going to change the path we are on to Bush V Clinton. Here it is again:

Exactly a year ago, May 2014, we shared the predictable factual activities, specific tripwires, which outline a specific path to a very specific destination.  Every single one of those tripwires has been reached exactly as predicted.

Team Jeb’s path is brutally obvious to those willing to accept it. Intellectual honesty is required in order to accept what each of the tripwires represent. Here it is again, as written previously:

It is not far away from the Romney path, although the GOP learned a lesson from when Ronald Reagan beat “their guy” Bush in 1980, and therefore with a few minor modifications it is considered a successful strategy in the GOP primary.

Iowa kicks off the campaign, but Iowa is not strategically as important as the Fourth GOP Primary state, Florida. The establishment plan for Iowa has always been just to show face, make nice, and move on. Iowa is mandatory, but essentially irrelevant. [In 2012 Rick Santorum won Iowa]

New Hampshire is more important than Iowa – but again, it’s not important to win per se’. A top three finish is all that’s needed and a little money will get that done. A centrist GOPe will place in the top media tier for New Hampshire and rarely will the Iowa winner stand a chance. The decepticon establishment’s goal in Iowa is a top three finish.

The race then moves to South Carolina. South Carolina becomes more important than the prior two, but only slightly. The State that has given the conservative base such solid leaders as Jim DeMint and Tim Scott has also continued to deliver the ever pliable Lindsey Graham. Graham is to South Carolina what his buddy John McCain is to Arizona.

In South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley is the wild card, but can generally be predicted to come down on the side of the GOPe. More so now than years past as her record aligns with more in-state political adversaries having issues with her.

Between Iowa and New Hampshire the media will stick relentlessly with discussions of the two completed primaries and will focus on South Carolina only right before the actual voting (a week or less).

For the establishment the goal in South Carolina is to thread the needle between the Demint/Scott minded folks, and the in-their-pocket Graham voter. There’s usually a debate in this mix which can sway this outcome. A GOPe win would be great, but a second or even a third place finish is ok too.

Then comes the BIGGIE, Florida. A massive and immensely expensive market for a closed GOP only primary.

99 Electoral Votes – Winner Take All

Florida is big in both geography and diversity of opinion. At 800 miles tip to stem it takes a long time to campaign inside Florida and the apparatus within the state must be top shelf.

This is a financial and logistical nightmare for any campaign not prepared. Such a construct favors the establishment from the outset, so any candidate not part of the GOPe national apparatus will have a tough time.

You might remember that strong candidate, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, emphasized Florida 100% in his 2008 GOP primary bid. But even with his approach to focus -almost exclusively- on Florida, he failed. Although most of that failure was due to the Florida economy in absolute freefall (turning attention away from national security) his failure in Florida reflects a reality; Florida can be, and is, exhausting for a candidate in numerous ways – and it is a financial bottomless pit.

The 2016 establishment GOPe know they will hold favor in the Miami-Dade area (South East) where there is a large population. The decepticons also know the Panhandle (NW) is too conservative, but fortunately not population dense.

The GOPe will spend most of their efforts in the I-4 corridor between Tampa (large population) and Orlando (another large population) – with less, but still considerable, effort in the Jacksonville/Tallahassee market.

Florida costs BIG BUCKS, but also holds BIG BUCKS. Events in the Country Club cocktail class areas will yield huge financial fundraisers. However, the mindset within those Bentley polished communities, filled with unused marble swimming pools, is that no-one likes to be on the losing side. Having been their Governor, Jeb already has all the GOPe constructs to succeed.

Oh yeah, and… Mr. Jeb also has a Latino wife, family, and speaks fluent Spanish. “Fluent” as in “better than” Marco Rubio….

The thought of Scott Walker and/or Ted Cruz vs. Jeb Bush in Florida is a formidable exercise. For all of the aforementioned reasons Jeb Bush holds an arguably solid advantage. 

He can speak Spanish at outside events in Miami-Dade, Tampa and Orlando, and still raise his pinkie higher at the 5:00pm cocktail party hour.

One can easily see the GOPe winning the South-East (Miami Dade), South-West (Naples/Ft. Myers), West/Center (Tampa/St. Pete to Orlando) and North East (Tallahassee/Jacksonville down to Daytona) and only losing the North West and North Center.

I predict that prior to Florida Chris Christie will be the attack dog for Jeb Bush as Christie positions himself favorably with the GOP apparatus. Similarly, when the race reaches Florida Marco Rubio will take that role.

Yes, Rubio will run in 2016 also, {ADD: as predicted he did} but he’ll be the type of candidate perfect for the GOPe plan. Rubio would split the Walker/Cruz constituents and take 3rd in Iowa, 2nd(ish) in New Hampshire, and skewer the field with a possible win in South Carolina.

Do you really think a single term Senator, with no accumulated wealth, would mount a presidential bid without a financial safety net under him? The reward for Rubio’s loyalty is the CoC/Wall Street golden parachute.

This will position Rubio to be the ultimate decision-maker/power-broker in Florida AND provides him the ultimate opportunity to repay his friend, colleague and father-like mentor, Jeb Bush.

BOOM – 2016 primary over.

Here’s the scenario as predicted. However, you can move the candidate bits around as much as you want to – and you’re still going to come up with the same outcome. Pick your favorite, put him/her into any combination, the outcome remains the same:

#1 Iowa = Walker/Cruz, Rubio, Bush

#2 New Hampshire = Rubio/Walker, Bush, Cruz

#3 South Carolina = Rubio/Walker/Cruz, Bush

#4 Florida = Bush/Rubio, Walker, Cruz… field.

#5 Nevada – After Florida it’s over, save for the details!

DETAILS (specific and predictable tripwires):

→ Exiting Iowa the GOP will work diligently to continue the Ted Cruz too polarizing message. They’ll want to keep him in the race, but only so that folks will be torn away from Walker.  The media will be more than happy to assist in selling a Polarizing Ted Cruz.

→ Entering New Hampshire the GOP will leverage Rubio to tamp down Walker and they’ll attack Walker as unintellectual, stupid, Midwestern, not smart enough. The GOP will use Rubio to ‘Out-Intellect’ Walker and make Walker appear small, over-his-head. The media will be more than happy to assist.

→ Exiting New Hampshire both Walker and Cruz will be damaged goods. Both Campaigns physically, emotionally and financially being drained from the onslaught. Enter Chris Christie to finish them off and continue the marginalization. Christie’s goal is to aid the GOP and he’ll be the attack dog going into SC.

→ Entering South Carolina Nikki Haley will be leveraged by the GOP with a possible VP spot teased to media on Team Jeb. The goal is to keep her from endorsing Walker or Cruz and rescuing their now exhausted campaigns. If she wants to endorse Rubio, fine. If she wants to endorse Jeb, even better. If Haley endorses Rubio that will only aid Bush when Rubio endorses him later.

→ Exiting South Carolina Bush and Rubio enter their massive home state with friendly and large political constructs already in place. They tour the state as their campaigns talk to each other insure their paths don’t cross, and they don’t hit the same donors too closely together. 

The airwave campaign is massive and $$$$$$$$. Cruz/Walker or Walker/Cruz are ground up like cornmeal for cornbread, and exhausted as donors begin to worry if they stand a chance.

√ Exiting Florida the Decepticon GOP machine has ground-up their opposition and Bush / Rubio teams enter negotiations to divide up the spoils in what they both hope will be another Bush administration.…. and so it goes.

Things could be different than this; however, it would take different actions than are currently visible to avoid it – and highly doubtful.

If we are to accept history, and also openly accept what is evident, well, this is what you get:

When we wrote this a year ago we established specific tripwires which would indicate that this was exactly what the GOP machine would intend to do.

All of those tripwires, every-single-one, and all of those exact candidates, have done exactly what was predicted.  Including the Florida GOP changing the electoral vote distribution (which we also predicted they would) they have followed the exact path and triggered every single tripwire in sequential order.

This is not some grand Nostradamus-like brilliant insight. Quite the contrary, it’s just common sense. It’s just accepting what the GOP said they were going to do, when they said they were going to do it, and how they announced they were going to do it back in 2013.
Nothing more, nothing less.

We are not smart – we just accept what is before us.

However, you’ll note we also included a very specific caveat:

…”Things could be different than this; however, it would take different actions than are currently visible to avoid it – and highly doubtful”….

Donald Trump is the absolute personification of that caveat. Trump is the only visible method to defeat the GOP/CoC/Professional political class scheme.

He, not him as a person, but rather Trump as a strategy – is the only strategic possibility that can upset the entire construct of years of careful Machiavellian planning.

That’s why I support Donald Trump.

I support him as a strategy to defeat the GOP and Democrat Party Machines:


Comment: I agree up to near the end, the part about--"in what they both hope will be another Bush administration.…." Their only hope is that the country doesn't get the candidate it needs. A democrat administration would be fine. GOP E desperately wanted the democrat to win in 2008 and 2012, whomever it was. The GOP has virtually no structure in states whereas Democrats are always active, don't wait til elections to put together a token staff. They had more staff in Florida than we had in the country, and for longer," said Romney adviser Ron Kaufman." In any case, Jeb Bush is almost a non-entity in Florida  as of 2015. In 2000 at the height of his alleged popularity he couldn't even deliver the state of Florida to his brother George. In 2012 Jeb was a big backer of Connie Mack IV for Senate and Mack lost in a landslide. Mack was a bad candidate, but the point is Bush was supposed to be the difference maker and he wasn't:

In 2012 Jeb Bush backed Connie Mack IV who lost by 13 points.


  • Jeb Bush and Connie Mack IV, getty

Total Romney staff in all states: 500 
Total Obama staff in all states: 3000
Florida Romney staff: 200 (almost half his total US staff)
Florida Obama staff: 770 
Ohio Romney offices: 40 
Ohio Obama offices: 123
Colorado Romney offices: 15 
Colorado Obama offices: 59 
"Building on its 2008 field organ­ization, Obama’s campaign had far more people on the ground, for longer periods, and backed by better data. In Florida, for example, the Romney campaign said it had fewer than 200 staff members on the ground, a huge commitment of its total of 500 nationwide. But the Obama campaign had 770 staff in Florida out of 3,000 or so nationwide.
“They had more staff in Florida than we had in the country, and for longer,” said Romney adviser Ron Kaufman.
In swing state after swing state, the Obama field team was much bigger than the Romney troops. Obama had 123 offices in Ohio, compared with Romney’s 40. Obama had 59 offices in Colorado, compared with Romney’s 15, according to statistics compiled by the Obama campaign."...

High Political Drama Afoot: Jeb Bush, Connie Mack to Utah for Weekend with Mitt Romney

- See more at: http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/high-political-drama-afoot-jeb-bush-connie-mack-utah-weekend-mitt-romney#sthash.hAkHhrky.dpuf

High Political Drama Afoot: Jeb Bush, Connie Mack to Utah for Weekend with Mitt Romney

June 20, 2012 - 6:00pm
With Republican leaders and donors converging on Park City, Utah, this weekend for a retreat with presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, two of the leading figures from the Florida GOP will be on hand -- former Gov. Jeb Bush and U.S. Rep. Connie Mack.
While Bush is a dark-horse prospect to wind up on the ticket with Romney, some of the leading contenders for the job -- including Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, former Gov. Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, U.S. Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio, former U.S. Secretary of State Condi Rice, U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and U.S. Sen. John Thune of South Dakota -- will be on hand. U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., whose name has also garnered buzz as a possible running mate for Romney, was invited to the event but could not make it due to other obligations.
While Bush has publicly downplayed his chances and pushed Rubio for the vice presidential spot, the former Florida governor remains a possible pick for Romney. On Thursday, pundit Larry Sabato from the University of Virginia listed Bush as a second-tier contender to end up as Romneys running mate. While noting that Bush has the wrong last name and doesnt seem to want the job, Sabato pointed to his strong gubernatorial resume," ties to Hispanics and his family's political and financial backing as reasons why Bush could end up on the ticket.
Mack, who is a heavy favorite to win the Republican nomination to challenge Democrat incumbent U.S. Sen. Bill Nelson, has been a longtime Romney supporter, endorsing the former Massachusetts governor early in the 2012 campaign cycle. Before his big win in the Florida presidential primary in January, Mack took to the campaign trail to stump across the Sunshine State with Romney.
Romney repaid Mack by endorsing him in the Senate race over Republican rivals, including former U.S. Sen. George LeMieux, former U.S. Rep. Dave Weldon and businessman and retired Army officer Mike McCalister. While LeMieux dropped out of the race and endorsed him earlier in the week, Mack has outdistanced his remaining primary rivals in polls as well as in garnering the support of prominent GOP leaders.
Mack is the only nonincumbent Senate hopeful to be included at the weekend event, which shows that the GOP leadership expects the congressman to emerge in the August primary as Nelsons opponent.
A source familiar with both the Romney and Mack campaigns in Florida informed Sunshine State News on Thursday that the congressmans inclusion at the weekend retreat was very significant."
Expect a very synergized Florida campaign between Mack and Romney, the source informed Sunshine State News.
Besides donors and politicians, a series of political strategists and conservative commentators is scheduled to appear at the weekend event. Karl Rove will address guests at the event and there will be other Bush hands -- including former U.S. Secretary of State Jim Baker and former Gov. Jon Sununu -- in attendance. Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus and Bill Kristol, the editor of the influential Weekly Standard, are also scheduled to attend.

Reach Kevin Derby at kderby@sunshinestatenews.com or at (850) 727-0859.
- See more at: http://www.sunshinestatenews.com/story/high-political-drama-afoot-jeb-bush-connie-mack-utah-weekend-mitt-romney#sthash.hAkHhrky.dpuf

No comments: