Monday, August 17, 2015

Trump more than double nearest competitor in latest national poll, August 11-13, 2015

Fox News Poll released Sun., August 16, 2015

Poll dates: Tues.-Thurs. August 11-13, 2015

page 5, Question 8, For likely Republican Primary voters, which one would you like to see as Republican presidential nominee?

Donald Trump 25
Ben Carson 12
Ted Cruz 10
Jeb Bush 9
Mike Huckabee 6
Scott Walker 6
Carly Fiorina 5
John Kasich 4
Marco Rubio 4
Rand Paul 3


page 1, "Methodology"

"The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) andShaw and Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewersAugust 11-13, 2015among a random national sample of 1,008 registered voters (RV). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points."...

[Ed. note: Individual party margin of error is five points.*

(continuing): "Landline and cell phone telephone numbers were randomly selected for inclusion in the survey using a probability proportionate to size method, which means that phone numbers for each state are proportional to the number of voters in each state.Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted." 


*Source for 5% margin of error in individual party samples is last sentence of last paragraph of 8/16/15 Fox News article. The poll (above) noted margin of error of both parties combined was 3%, but didn't mention margin of error for individual parties:

"The poll has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points for all registered voters, and five points for both Democratic and Republican primary voters."

8/16/15, "Fox News Poll: Shakeup in GOP field after first debate, Sanders gains on Clinton," Fox News, Dana Blanton



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