Monday, August 24, 2015

Candidate Trump has three distinct audiences for his message: The Electorate, Wall St., and The RNC Machine-Conservative Treehouse

8/23/15, "It’s Not 3D Chess – Candidate Donald Trump Has Three Audiences…," Conservative Treehouse, sundance

"GOP Candidate Donald Trump has three distinct audiences for his message: The 1.) The Electorate; 2.) Wall Street, and 3.) The RNC machine.

One audience, the electorate, is a friend, the other two are potential foes. Each audience requires a strategic approach, and when you are listening to his openly visible campaign”messaging” don’t get confused on interpretation based on your place within the audience.

♦  Toward THE ELECTORATE – Trump is explaining why he is running, and what he intends to do to “Make America Great Again”. Unfortunately, in many cases he has to message through the prism of the media, so it’s best to listen directly to his words – rather than listen to the interpretation, by the media, of what those words mean.

♦  At the same time, Trump is also speaking to The RNC Machine writ large. Trump knows full well the RNC machine is not his friend. The RNC Machine wants Jeb Bush, their preferred candidate.  In order to keep them in retreat, Trump needs to make their preference transparent – and he knows exactly how to draw them out and force them to do so. He’s quite masterful at exposing them; everyone (within the electorate audience) is witnessing that right now.

  Lastly, Donald Trump is talking to Wall Street. Like the RNC, Trump knows full well the preferred candidate for Wall Street is Jeb Bush. He needs to make their support for Bush a losing proposition; no-one on Wall Street likes to lose. In essence he is creating a self fulfilling prophecy for them. Again, he’s masterful at exposing their weakening flank, their only winning play will be to support him, reluctantly–on his terms.

Remember, this is an insurgency.The enemy of the RNC is not Democrats, it’s Grassroots Conservatives. The Republican Party views us as their enemy. We are the enemy they need to protect themselves from:

In 2014, the RNC approved selection rules that govern how each state’s delegates are portioned out from the primaries. Under one of the changes, states holding their primaries between March 1 and March 14 will have their delegates doled out proportionately with election results, a change that will likely stymie a movement candidate

States that have primaries on or after March 15 will be winner-take-all states.
That’s important because another RNC rule change requires that a candidate must win a majority of delegates in eight or more states before his or her name may be presented for nomination at the 2016 Republican National Convention.

With 18 GOP presidential candidates, for now, it will be that much harder for any candidate to win a majority in any state, let alone eight.  (Article July 2015)
Now, ask yourself, why would the RNC want to “stymie a movement candidate“? Who exactly does that benefit? Obviously, the “non-movement” candidate, ie “the turtle“.
Isn’t the entire reason for campaigning in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina etc. to make a movement/momentum?

In addition Rule #40 changed in 2014 from previously five needed state wins, to a newer threshold of eight (8):

Officially, it’s Rule 40 in the RNC handbook and it states that any candidate for president “shall demonstrate the support of a majority of the delegates from each of eight (8) or more states” before their name is presented for nomination at the national convention. (article March 2014)
Again, ask yourself who does this benefit? A candidate can win seven states outright, and still not have their name presented for nomination?

These rules were made/affirmed in 2014 – Who or what exactly was the GOP concerned about blocking in 2016 that would necessitate such rules? When combined with other rule changes you can clearly identify a consolidation of power within the RNC apparatus intentionally constructed to stop the candidate of the GRASSROOTS from achieving victory.

It’s all part of their GOPe Roadmap.


RNC Rule Changes
RNC Rule Battles"


Added: In 2014 "who or what exactly was the GOP concerned about blocking in 2016?" Answer: Per Sept. 2013 polls, Ted Cruz: 
Sept. 2013 PPP national poll. Cruz's 21-hour stand against ObamaCare funding began on Tuesday and spilled into Wednesday (9/24 and 9/25). PPP conducted its poll Wednesday and Thursday, 9/25-9/26/13:

9/27/2013, "Cruz emerges as GOP leader," Public Policy Polling

"PPP's newest national poll finds Ted Cruz is now the top choice of Republican primary voters to be their candidate for President in 2016. He leads the way with 20% to 17% for Rand Paul, 14% for Chris Christie, 11% for Jeb Bush, 10% each for Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan, 4% for Bobby Jindal, and 3% each for Rick Santorum and Scott Walker.

Cruz has gained 8 points since our last national 2016 poll in July while everyone else has more or less stayed in place. He's made himself the face of a government shutdown over Obamacare, and the Republican base supports that by a 64/20 margin. It's not surprising that Republicans identifying as 'very conservative' support a shutdown 75/10, but even the moderate wing of the party supports it by a 46/36 margin.
Cruz is leading the GOP field based especially on his appeal to 'very conservative' primary voters, who he gets 34% with 17% for Rand Paul and 12% for Paul Ryan. Voters who fall into that ideological group make up the largest portion of the Republican electorate at 39%. With moderates Cruz gets only 4% with Christie leading at 34% to 12% for Jeb Bush and 10% for Marco Rubio, but they only account for 18% of GOP voters and thus aren't all that relevant to Cruz's prospects for winning a Republican nomination.

Our numbers also suggest that Cruz is now viewed more broadly as the leader of the Republican Party. When asked whether they trust Cruz or GOP leader Mitch McConnell more, Cruz wins out 49/13. When it comes to who's more trusted between Cruz and Speaker John Boehner, Cruz has a 51/20 advantage. And when it comes to Cruz and 2008 GOP nominee and Senate colleague John McCain, Cruz wins out 52/31. He now has more credibility with the GOP base than the folks who have been leading the party for years....

Full results here"

9/27/2013, "Poll: Ted Cruz Is Now The Top Choice For GOP Primary Voters In 2016," Talking Points Memo, Tom Kludt

"Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) hasn't even been in Washington for a full year, but Republicans already appear eager to tap him as the party's next presidential nominee.
The latest survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released Friday found Cruz as the top choice for 2016 among Republicans nationwide. With 20 percent support, Cruz narrowly edged Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), who claimed the support of 17 percent of GOP primary voters. New Jersery Gov. Chris Christie (R) trailed the two junior senators with 14 percent, followed by 11 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R). Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) each picked up 10 percent.
Cruz has asserted himself as a legitimate 2016 contender in recent months, gaining eight points among Republicans nationally since PPP's previous survey in July and emerging as the face of the party's conservative wing. According to PPP, Cruz won 34 percent among "very conservative" primary voters, easily outpacing Paul (17 percent) and Ryan (12 percent).
Cruz's 21-hour talkathon to protest funding for Obamacare began on Tuesday and spilled into Wednesday, meaning that the poll included at least some respondents who were aware of the stunt.
PPP conducted its survey on Wednesday and Thursday using automated interviews with 743 GOP primary voters. It has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points."


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