Friday, October 28, 2016

Hillary lead shrinks to 4 points with 3 point error margin, Oct. 23-26, 2016, Washington Post ABC News poll, Trump 44, Hillary 48. Trump has 12 point lead among independent voters, 5 point lead among white women-Washington Post


Trump 44
Hillary 48
Johnson 4
Stein 1

Independent voters
Trump 49
Hillary 37

White women voters 

Trump 48
Hillary 43

Poll dates: Oct. 23-26, 2016 (Sun-W), 1150 likely voters nationwide, error margin 3.0, land lines and cell phones. 37D, 28R, 29 Ind. (p. 7) See Clinton and Trump support among key voting groups...Read full poll results here

10/27/16, Washington Post ABC News poll

Excludes Alaska and Hawaii (p. 7).

10/28/16, "Clinton lead shrinks, even as nearly 6 in 10 expect her to win, Post-ABC tracking poll finds," Washington Post, Clement and Guskin

"Donald Trump has gained on Hillary Clinton during the past week, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, solidifying support among core Republican groups as well as political independents.... 

Clinton holds a slight 48-44 percent edge over Trump among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 4 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 1 percent in the survey completed Sunday through Wednesday. Clinton held a six-point edge in the previous wave and a 12-point edge in the first wave of the tracking poll by ABC News Sunday (50 percent Clinton vs. 38 percent Trump)....

Trump’s growth in support from 38 percent to 44 percent is fueled by shored-up support among Republican-leaning voting groups as well as a significant boost among political independents. Trump has made up ground among whites, particularly those without college degrees and women. Trump now leads by a 30 percentage point margin among white voters without college degrees, up from 20 points from this weekend. White women now tilt toward Trump by 48 to 43 percent after leaning 49 to 43 percent in Clinton’s favor before.

Trump saw his biggest gains among political independents, favoring Trump by a 12-point margin in the latest tracking poll, 49 to 37 percent, after giving Clinton a narrow edge in late last week. Neither candidate has maintained a consistent lead among independent likely voters in Post-ABC polling this fall."...

Religion, likely voters (blue=Hillary, red=Trump)


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