Saturday, October 29, 2016

Trump and Hillary in statistical tie in New Hampshire, Oct. 23-25, 2016 Emerson College New Hampshire poll

Trump 43.1
Hillary 46.3
Johnson 5.9
Stein 1.9
(page 5)

Poll dates Oct. 23-25, 2016, 600 likely New Hampshire voters, error margin 3.9, automated poll, land lines only. (3.2 difference between Trump and Hillary is within poll's 3.9 error margin)

10/28/16, "Emerson College Polls..."

"The Emerson College New Hampshire poll was conducted October 23‐25 (Su-Tu), under the Supervision of Professor Spencer Kimball. The sample consisted of likely general election voters, n=600, with a margin of error (MOE) of +/-­‐3.9 percentage points. Data was weighted by 2012 election results, age, gender, district and party affiliation.... Data was collected using an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only."

Trump reduced 8 point difference on Oct. 19 to 3 points on Oct. 28, per Emerson poll, chart, page 1:

This Emerson sample in 2012 voted +6 for Obama: (p. 4):

52% Obama
46% Romney


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