More on Miami Dade, 2012 v 2016 to date: 10/27/16, "Update Florida and North Carolina – Early Vote/Ballot Data Show Advantages for Donald Trump," tcth, sundance
"Hillary at 55.3% is doing 6 points worse than Obama did in 2012 at 61.6%. Meanwhile Trump at 44.7% is doing 7 points better than Romney did in 2012 with 37.9%. If this trend continues Clinton will have nowhere near enough votes to make up for the areas she is guaranteed to lose in the state. This is why President Obama was campaigning in Miami."..."Dade County:
◊ 2016 General Mail-in-Ballots
♦ Republicans – 60,694
♦ Democrats – 72,162
Other – 1,987
Independents – 34,404
Total Returned – 169,247
◊ 2016 General Early Voting♦ Democrats – 72,162
Other – 1,987
Independents – 34,404
Total Returned – 169,247
♦ Republicans – 29,441
♦ Democrats – 51,336
Other – 1,282
Independents – 21,158
Total Voted – 103,217"
......................... ♦ Democrats – 51,336
Other – 1,282
Independents – 21,158
Total Voted – 103,217"
10/27/16, "Judge fears 25,000 voters won’t be eligible for election, demands explanation," Miami Herald, via Times-Herald Tallahassee Bureau,
"Through Wednesday, more people in Miami-Dade have voted than anywhere else: about 272,000 or 20.2 percent of the county electorate, based on September registration numbers.
If that pace continues, Miami-Dade turnout would match or exceed the state as a whole.
That would be an anomaly and a major advantage for Clinton and the Democrats because Miami-Dade consistently votes Democratic in statewide elections....
In the last presidential election in 2012, statewide turnout was 71.5 percent, but the three South Florida counties trailed that rate from 2 to 5 percentage points.
Those percentages will keep growing daily and are subject to fluctuations in the days ahead as mail ballots pour in and as early voting hits a peak with “Souls to the Polls” on the 14th and final day, Sunday, Nov. 6.
One positive sign for Trump is that voters in three counties on the state’s deep red southwest coast — Collier, Lee and Charlotte — are turning out in droves. As of Thursday, Lee County reported a turnout of 33 percent, and the other two weren’t far behind....
A wild card in Florida is the growing pool of voters with no party affiliation. They make up 24 percent of the total voter pool but so far account for 16 percent of early voters....
Nearly 2.5 million had cast ballots by Thursday, according to the Division of Elections.
Republicans and Democrats equally account for 41 percent of votes cast so far with no-party and minor-party voters making up the remaining 18 percent."...
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