Thursday, October 27, 2016

Trump preferred in Montana by all age groups, both males and females, all education levels, Montana poll, Oct. 3-10, 2016. Plurality in Montana say government is most important problem facing US today, ahead of both terrorism and economy-Montana State Billings poll

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Trump 43
Hillary 27
Johnson 7
Stein 2
 
Oct. 3-10, 2016, 590 adult Montanans, 48 male, 51 female, 70% cell phone, 48R, 28D, 16 Ind. (p. 32). Error margin 4% (p. 4)

Oct. 2016, "Montana Poll 2016," Montana State University Billings

p. 16, Trump is favored by plurality of both males and females: Trump: 50% of males, 37% of females. Hillary: 33% of females, 22% of males

p. 16, "Education: A plurality of respondents among all education groups supports Trump.

p. 16, "Age: A plurality of respondents among all age groups supports Trump." 

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p. 11, If voting for House candidate today, Republican candidate would be preferred over Democrat candidate 45-27

p. 12, If voting for State Senate candidate today, Republican candidate would be preferred over Democrat candidate 44-25.

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p. 15, Impact of ObamaCare on Montana:

22% positive
58% negative
12% neither positive nor negative 
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p. 18, "Approval of US Congress:"

12% approve
73% disapprove

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p. 20, "Most important problem facing US today:"

1. Government (15%)
Tied for second place:
2. Terrorism and Economy (13%)














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p. 21, Should undocumented immigrants without criminal record be allowed to say in US?

Yes 42

No 48
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p. 29, In general how involved should US be in foreign conflicts and crises?

Very involved 10% (down from 16.5% in 2015) 
Involved in limited way 75%
Not involved 12% (up from 7.4% in 2015) 

"None of the demographic variables (gender, ideology, party ID, income, education, and age) are statistically significant."...

"This report summarizes the results of a statewide random sample telephone survey of 590 adult Montanans. 70% of the survey respondents were contacted via cellphone and 30% were contacted via landlines. The sample was acquired from Marketing Systems Group. The poll was conducted from October 3-10, 2016." Image above from Montana poll



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