Poll dates Oct. 29-Nov. 3, 2015. Registered Republican and Republican leaning Independent voters in California and nationwide. Conducted online by Survey Monkey. Nationwide and California only. Confidence interval, 2.5 nationally, 3 Calif. National GOP total p 37. Calif. GOP total p. 19.
11/8/15, "Poll: On the left and right, voters express anxiety over future," LA Times, David Lauter
"Concerns--detailed in a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll,
conducted online by SurveyMonkey--have been driving voter decisions
about which candidates they favor for president. Both in California and
nationwide, they have helped propel two nontraditional candidates,
businessman Donald Trump and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, to the forefront of the Republican field.
Trump tops the field nationally, but barely, the poll
found. He has support of 25% of registered Republican voters to Carson's
21%. Statewide, the two are essentially even, with Trump at 20% and
Carson at 19%....
who has gained endorsements from several GOP elected officials in recent
days, moved into third place, with support of 14% of Republican voters
in California and 12% across the country; Cruz got 11% statewide and 10%
The statewide figures represent significant moves by
both Cruz and Rubio since a USC/Times poll of California voters taken in
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, the party's onetime front-runner, fell to
4% both in California and nationwide. Nationally, that puts him in a tie
with Carly Fiorina. Statewide, Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard
chief executive who ran unsuccessfully for the Senate from California
five years ago, drew 6%....
USC/Times poll, conducted online in English and Spanish, questioned two
representative samples of registered voters — 2,009 statewide and 3,035
nationally — from Oct. 29 to Nov. 3.
The respondents were drawn
from the roughly 3 million Americans who take SurveyMonkey polls each
day and weighted to match demographic factors measured by the census,
including age, race, gender and education level. The results have an
error estimate of plus or minus 3 percentage points for the statewide
sample and 2.5 percentage points for the national sample....
Pessimism is particularly profound
among white voters, especially those without a college education. In
California, fewer than 1 in 4 non-college-educated whites say the
country is on the right track, and 70% say they are worried about the
way the economy has changed. Nationally, the worried share among the
group is even higher, 74%....
Nationally, whites without college degrees outnumber college-educated
minorities by about 3 to 1....
Only 1 in 10
voters nationwide, and 1 in 8 in California, say that the federal
government "increases opportunities for people like me." Half of voters
nationally and 4 out of 10 in California say the government "gets in the
"Survey Monkey USC-Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Poll"
"Because the sample is based on those
who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability
sample, no estimates of sampling error can be calculated. All surveys
may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited
to sampling error, coverage error, and measurement error. Polls
conducted in one day may include additional error due to the limited
time period that panelists have to respond to and complete the