Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Donald Trump takes big lead in Florida, at 36 is double nearest in Republican field, poll dates Sun. 11/15-Mon. 11/16, 2015, Florida Atlantic University poll

Trump 36
Rubio 18
Carson 15
Cruz 10
Bush 9
Paul 4
Kasich 3
Fiorina 2

Nov. 15-16, 2015. 297 likely Florida Registered Republican primary voters. Error margin 5.6.

11/18/15, "Florida Atlantic University Poll: Trump Laps Field in Florida GOP Primary, Clinton Dominates in Dem Primary," Florida   Atlantic    University, Jim Hellegaard
"The Florida Atlantic University poll was conducted from Sunday November 15 at 1pm through Monday November 16. The polling sample was a random selection of registered voters purchased through Aristotle Inc. Likely primary voters were classified through a screening question. For non-completes with a working residential phone line, at least five callbacks were attempted (Sunday afternoon, Sunday evening, Monday morning, Monday afternoon and Monday Evening). The Democratic and GOP primaries consisted of 297 and 355 adult registered likely primary voters in Florida, with a margin of error of +/-5.6 percent and +/-5.2 percent respectively. An overall sample of 829 registered voters with a+/-3.3 percent, at a 95 percent confidence level was used for the additional statewide questions. Data was collected using an Interactive Voice Response system and weighted based on race, age, gender and region to reflect likely voter populations in Florida. The full methodology and results can be found at BEPI-polls."...

The poll found that the top 5 Republicans all beat Hillary Clinton in head to head match-ups. (p. 3)


11/18/15,  "Poll: Trump surges ahead in Florida," Florida Sun-Sentinel, William E. Gibson

"The survey was conducted in Florida Nov. 15-16, immediately after the Nov. 14 Democratic debate and in the wake of terrorist attacks in Paris. The poll did not include questions about national security or terrorism. Wagner said the 2016 elections most likely will be decided on economic and other domestic issues."...


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