Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Donald Trump leads Republican field at 34, up 3 points in new Morning Consult national poll, Nov. 5-8, 2015

Trump 34
Carson 19
Bush 8
Cruz 7
Rubio 7
Huckabee 3
Christie 2
Paul 2
Fiorina 2
Jindal 1
Kasich 1
Santorum 1

Poll dates, Nov. 5-8, 2015. 1567 Registered Republican or Republican leaning Independents, error margin 2.4

11/9/15, "New Poll: Carson Continues Rise in Popularity Despite Scrutiny Over Personal Story," Morning Consult press release, Jeff Cartwright

(scroll down): "Trump continues to lead the Republican field with 34 percent of the vote, the new tracking poll shows, with Carson running in second place, at 19 percent. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) wins 8 percent of the vote, followed by Rubio and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) at 7 percent. No other contender scores more than 3 percent of the vote.

Forty-two percent of Republican men say that they will support Trump. And among Republicans who say national security is their paramount concern, Trump takes 44 percent of the vote. Carson performs better among Republican women voters than among men, and among those who say they care most about education, Medicare and Social Security....

The Morning Consult tracking survey polled 4,002 registered voters between Nov. 5-8, for a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. The poll included subsamples of 1,567 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, and 1,739 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. The full survey carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points; the subsamples of Republicans and Democrats carried margins of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points and 2.3 percentage points, respectively.

For complete cross tabs see here. For topline results see here."


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