Monday, November 2, 2015

If Trump and Clinton were the two candidates and presidential election were held today, Trump would beat Clinton 47-36 among all Georgia voters-Survey USA Poll, 10/15-10/26/15

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Among 629 likely Georgia Republican primary voters, 4% error margin:

Trump 35
Carson 28
Rubio 12
Cruz 8
Bush 4
Fiorina 3
Huckabee 3
Kasich 2

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If 2016 presidential election were held today, 1554 likely Georgia voters of all parties, 2.5 error margin:

Trump 46
Clinton 37

Among Georgia Independent voters, Trump beats Clinton 45 to 26.

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Survey USA poll dates, Oct. 15-26, 2015. Methodology, 68% telephone, 32% internet.

11/2/15, "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Georgia wants Trump as president," 11alive.com (NBC affiliate WXIA), Jennifer Leslie and Julie Wolfe, Atlanta

"One year out from the presidential general election and four months to Super Tuesday, Georgia voters are leaning towards Donald Trump as their candidate of choice.

In an exclusive scientific poll commissioned by 11Alive News and conducted by SurveyUSA, Donald Trump would win the Republican primary with 35% of the vote. Ben Carson is his closest competitor with 28% of likely Republican voters. Marco Rubio pulled in 12%. Five other Republican candidates were in the single digits.

When likely Republican voters were asked what they would do if Trump does win the Republican nomination, 74% said they would definitely vote for him, 7% said they'd definitely vote for a third party instead, 2% said they'd cross party lines and vote Democratic, 18% said it was too soon to decide.

The exclusive 11Alive News poll was conducted  in the days leading up to last week's Republican debate....

The 11Alive News poll  shows Trump leads by 11 points with moderates. He also leads by 20 points among the least educated and least affluent voters. Trump and Carson are tied among the most educated voters. The most affluent give Carson a three-point lead....

In the much smaller Democratic field, the 11Alive News poll shows Hillary Clinton with a crushing lead, with 73 percent support among likely Democratic primary voters.

Bernie Sanders follows with 16 percent support, then Martin O'Malley with 4 percent. Those results lead SurveyUSA pollsters to conclude "Sanders is not today competitive in Georgia"....


If the general election was Trump vs. Clinton, 46% of Georgians polled said they'd vote for Trump, compared with 37% for Clinton.

Poll details: 2,075 adults from the state of Georgia were interviewed 10/15/15 through 10/26/15. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device."
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Methodology from Survey USA website:

"Filtering: 2,075 adults from the state of Georgia were interviewed 10/15/15 through 10/26/15. Of the adults, 1,787 were registered to vote in the state of Georgia. Of those registered to vote, SurveyUSA determined that 629 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Republican primary and 481 would be likely to vote in the 03/01/16 Democratic primary; 1,554 would be likely to vote in the November 2016 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.


 

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