Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Trump at 37 leads Florida field by 20 points in latest poll, 10/28-11/1/15. Trump also beats Clinton in matchup for presidency by 4 points. Most GOP voters have minds made up, only 3% undec-SurveyUSA poll

Trump 37
Carson 17
Rubio 16
Cruz 10
Bush 7
Fiorina 3
Kasich 3
Huckabee 1

10/28-11/1/15 poll dates. 922 likely Fla. Republican primary voters. 69% reached by phone, 31% reached by internet. Error margin not mentioned

11/3/15, "Exclusive Poll: Trump dominates among Florida voters," baynews9.com, by Caitlyn Jones and Mike Westfall, Team Coverage, Orlando, Fla., Brighthouse Networks

"Donald Trump is dominating in our exclusive Florida Decides presidential poll released Tuesday, both among his fellow Republican candidates and likely Democratic challengers in a head-to-head general election.

Here are some of the main highlights of the Bay News 9 / News 13 Florida Decides Poll, conducted via telephone from Wednesday, Oct. 28 through Sunday, Nov. 1.

Jump to the view the complete poll results ▼

The poll found 37 percent of Floridians likely to vote in the Republican primary on March 15 said they would vote for Trump if the primary were held today (View Results: GOP Primary).

Trump had a large, 20 percent lead over his closest runner-up, Ben Carson, who got 17 percent support from likely Republican voters. Not far behind Carson was Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, with 16 percent.

We asked our Republican political analyst, former U.S. Rep. Lou Frey, what makes Trump a Florida favorite, overpowering both Rubio and former Gov. Jeb Bush in their home state.

"I don't understand how he's gotten so many votes, actually, in Florida, but I think he's earned them. He's worked hard at it," Frey said....

Voters surveyed picked both Trump [by 4 pts.] and Carson [by 3 pts.] over Clinton in a head-to-head matchup on Election Day 2016.  (View Results: Clinton vs. Trump | Clinton vs. Carson)

Clinton's chances were better against he lower-polling Bush and Carly Fiorina, but against Rubio, Florida is too close to call. (View Results: Clinton vs. Bush | Clinton vs. Rubio | Clinton vs. Fiorina)

In each matchup, however, 9 percent of voters said they were still undecided. One thing that surprised both analysts was the low number of undecided voters when it came to each party's primary: 6 percent among likely Democratic voters and only 3 percent among Republicans polled.... 

Poll Results and Highlights 

If the primary election were today, who would you vote for? 

1. Republican Primary ▼ 

2. Democratic Primary


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