Clinton holds 93% of the Democratic base and leads among moderates by
17 points. Although she does have a 21-point edge among just suburban
women, when all women statewide are compiled, Clinton leads by just 4
points, not enough to overcome Trump’s 21-point advantage among men
statewide...
Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of GA voters, extremely unfavorably by 38%.* Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 14% of GA voters, extremely unfavorably by 47%.
Respondent Filtering / Historical Context:
SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of GA adults 10/25/16 through
10/27/16. Of the adults interviewed, 683 were registered to vote in
Georgia. Of the registered voters, 5% say they “almost always” vote in
Presidential elections but will not vote in 2016 because they do not
like any of the candidates on the ballot. An offsetting 5% say they
“almost never” vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016
because they are uniquely drawn to one of the candidates. These
so-called “new” voters split; they do not disproportionately favor
Trump.Of the registered voters, 593 were determined by SurveyUSA to
have already returned a ballot or to be likely to do so before polls
close on 11/08/16.
This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode.
Respondents reachable on a home telephone (64% of likely voters) were
interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a
professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone
(36% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of
their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Georgia last voted
for a Democrat for President in 1992, when Bill Clinton captured the
state’s then 13 electoral votes by 1 percentage point over George H. W.
Bush. In 2012, Mitt Romney carried Georgia by 8 points. In 2008, John
McCain carried Georgia by 7 points. George W. Bush carried Georgia by 17
points in 2004 and by 12 points in 2000."
"With days until election day, Republican presidential candidate
Donald Trump is slated to win Georgia's 16 electoral votes, according to
a new SurveyUSA poll conducted for 11Alive. Democratic presidential
candidate Hillary Clinton trails behind.
The survey shows Trump
with 49 percentof the votein the state; Clinton has 42 percent and
Libertarian Gary Johnson has three percent. Six percent of voters
surveyed are undecided. Trump's 7-point lead is up from 4 points in our
last poll in August.
It's important to note this poll was taken before the revelation by the
FBI Director that he's looking in to new e-mails possibly related to
Clinton's use of a personal server as Secretary of State."...
The USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Pollis part of the ongoing Understanding America Study: (UAS) at the University of
Southern California’s (USC) Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research, in partnership with the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics
and the Los Angeles Times.
Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS election
panel to answer three predictive questions:
What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential
election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and
(3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in,
we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of
all of the prior week’s responses. To find out more about what lies
behind the vote, each week we also ask respondents one or two extra
questions
about their preferences and values. The team responsible for the USC
Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election Poll four years ago developed
the
successful RAND Continuous Presidential Election Poll, which was based
on the same methodology."
On March 19, a Saturday, Podesta received an e-mail--purportedly
from Google--warning him that, “Someone has your password.” The alert
(seen above) informed Podesta that a sign-in attempt from an IP address
in Ukraine was thwarted and that, “You should change your password
immediately.” The e-mail, addressed "Hi John," included a blue “CHANGE PASSWORD” box to be clicked."...
While Delavan protected his Twitter page following the publication of this story, he did offer the public some sage advice earlier this week. In an October 25 tweet,
Delavan wrote, “don’t click on anything ever. delete your email
account. move to the woods.” (1 page) Image above from The Smoking Gun
But the campaign, through its
lawyers, declined to provide the data, deciding that the FBI’s request
for sensitive personal and campaign information data was too broad and
intrusive, the source said.
A
second source who had been briefed on the matter and who confirmed the
Brooklyn meeting said agents provided no specific information to the
campaign about the identity of the cyberhackers or whether they were
associated with a foreign government. The source said the campaign was
already aware of attempts to penetrate its computers and had taken steps
to thwart them, emphasizing that there is still no evidence that the
campaign’s computers had actually been successfully penetrated.
But
the potential that the intruders were associated with a foreign
government should have come as no surprise to the Clinton campaign, said
several sources knowledgeable about the investigation. Chinese
intelligence hackerswere widely reported to have penetrated both the
campaigns of Barack Obama and John McCain in 2008.
The
Brooklyn warning alsocould raise new questions about why the campaign
and the DNC didn’t take the matter more seriously. It came just four
months after the DNC had also been contacted by FBI agents alerting its
information technology specialists about a cyberattack on its computers,
the sources told Yahoo News. As with the warning to the Clinton
campaign, the FBI initially provided no details to the DNC....
By mid-May, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper was telling reporters that US. Intelligence officials “already had some indications” of hacks into political campaigns that were likely linked to foreign governments and that “we’ll probably have more.”
The
FBI’s request to turn over internal computer logs and personal email
information came at an awkward moment for the Clinton campaign, said the
source, familiar with the campaign’s internal deliberations. At the
time, the FBI was still actively and aggressively conducting a criminal
investigation into whether Clinton had compromised national security
secrets by sending classified emails through a private computer server
in the basement of her home in Chappaqua, N.Y. There were already press
reports, to date unconfirmed, that the investigation might have expanded
to include dealings relating to the Clinton Foundation. Campaign
officials had reason to fear that any production of campaign computer
logs and personal email accounts could be used to further such a probe.
At the Brooklyn meeting, FBI agents emphasized that the request for data
was unrelated to the separate probe into Clinton’s email server.
This can't be about pervert Anthony Weiner and his
reported desire for a teenage girl. But it can be about the laptop of
Weiner's wife, Clinton aide Huma Abedin,
and emails between her and Hillary. It comes after the FBI
investigation in which Comey concluded Clinton had lied and been
"reckless" with national secrets, but said he could not recommend
prosecution.
So what should the Democrats do now?
If ruling Democrats hold themselves to the high moral standards they
impose on the people they govern, they would follow a simple process:
They would demand that Mrs. Clinton step down, immediately, and let her vice presidential nominee, Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, stand in her place.
Since Oct. 7, WikiLeaks has released 35,000 emails hacked from Clinton campaign boss John Podesta. Now WikiLeaks, no longer a neutral player but an active anti-Clinton agency, plans to release another 15,000 emails.
What
if she is elected? Think of a nation suffering a bad economy and
continuing chaos in the Middle East, and now also facing a criminal
investigation of a president. Add to that congressional investigations
and a public vision of Clinton as a Nixonian figure wandering the halls,
wringing her hands.
The best thing would be for Democrats to ask
her to step down now. It would be the most responsible thing to do, if
the nation were more important to them than power. And the American news
media--fairly or not firmly identified in the public mind as Mrs.
Clinton's political action committee--should begin demanding it.
But what will Hillary do?
She'll stick and ride this out and
turn her anger toward Comey.For Hillary and Bill Clinton, it has always
been about power, about the Clinton Restorationandprotecting fortunes
already made by selling nothing but political influence.
She'll
remind the nation that she's a woman and that Donald Trump said terrible
things about women. If there is another notorious Trump video to be
leaked, the Clintons should probably leak it now.
Then her allies in
media can talk about misogyny and sexual politics and the headlines can
be all about Trump as the boor he is and Hillary as champion of female
victims, which she has never been.
Remember that Bill Clinton
leveraged the "Year of the Woman."
The Clintons weren't skilled merchants. They weren't
traders or manufacturers. The Clintons never produced anything tangible.
They had no science, patents or devices to make them millions upon
millions of dollars.
If
a presidential election is as much about the people as it is about the
candidates, then we'll learn plenty about ourselves in the coming days,
won't we?"
Cyber-security assessments can be a mixed
blessing. Legal experts say some general counsels advise organizations
against doing such assessments if they don’t have the ability to quickly
fix any problems the auditors find, because customers and shareholders could have cause to sue if an organization knowingly disregards such warnings."...
This can't be about pervert Anthony Weiner and his
reported desire for a teenage girl. But it can be about the laptop of
Weiner's wife, Clinton aide Huma Abedin,
and emails between her and Hillary. It comes after the FBI
investigation in which Comey concluded Clinton had lied and been
"reckless" with national secrets, but said he could not recommend
prosecution.
So what should the Democrats do now?
If ruling Democrats hold themselves to the high moral standards they
imposeon the people they govern, they would follow a simple process:
They would demand that Mrs. Clinton step down, immediately, and let her vice presidential nominee, Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia, stand in her place.
Since Oct. 7, WikiLeaks has released 35,000 emails hacked from Clinton campaign boss John Podesta. Now WikiLeaks, no longer a neutral player but an active anti-Clinton agency, plans to release another 15,000 emails.
What
if she is elected? Think of a nation suffering a bad economy and
continuing chaos in the Middle East, and now also facing a criminal
investigation of a president. Add to that congressional investigations
and a public vision of Clinton as a Nixonian figure wandering the halls,
wringing her hands.
The best thing would be for Democrats to ask
her to step down now. It would be the most responsible thing to do, if
the nation were more important to them than power. And the American news
media--fairly or not firmly identified in the public mind as Mrs.
Clinton's political action committee--should begin demanding it.
But what will Hillary do?
She'll stick and ride this out and
turn her anger toward Comey.For Hillary and Bill Clinton, it has always
been about power, about the Clinton Restorationandprotecting fortunes
already madeby selling nothing but political influence.
She'll
remind the nation that she's a woman and that Donald Trump said terrible
things about women. If there is another notorious Trump video to be
leaked, the Clintons should probably leak it now.
Then her allies in
media can talk about misogyny and sexual politics and the headlines can
be all about Trump as the boor he is and Hillary as champion of female
victims, which she has never been.
Remember that Bill Clinton
leveraged the "Year of the Woman."
The Clintons weren't skilled merchants. They weren't
traders or manufacturers. The Clintons never produced anything tangible.
They had no science, patents or devices to make them millions upon
millions of dollars.
If
a presidential election is as much about the people as it is about the
candidates, then we'll learn plenty about ourselves in the coming days,
won't we?"
The poll is not the only one to show Mr. Trump in the lead. A Bloomberg/Selzer poll, which is methodologically similar to the New York Times Upshot/Siena poll, showed Mr. Trump with a two-point edge last week."...
Mr. Trump won 86 percent of self-identified
Republicans — the highest percentage of that group in any Upshot/Siena
survey so far this year.
He had the support of 84 percent of registered
Republicans, up from 72 percent in September and also the highest of any
Upshot/Siena survey this year.
Mr. Trump’s consolidation of Republican-leaning
voters is a trend in national surveys, and it comes alongside a
corresponding decline in the number of supporters for Gary Johnson, the
Libertarian candidate, who received just 4 percent of the vote in our
survey — the lowest of any Upshot/Siena poll. Republicans have been
likelier than Democrats to support Mr. Johnson in most of our polls.
Even college-educated white voters, who have
been skeptical of Mr. Trump nationwide, are showing less skepticism in
Florida. He has a lead of 51 percent to 35 percent among those voters in
our survey.
Clinton weakness among white working-class Democrats.
The homeowner claims that the man has been charged with trespassing. Watch the video HERE."
[Comment: Oct. 30, 2016: You Tube has removed the video. The above image is a screen shot from the now removed video, via WDBO. I saw the video before it was removed. The hooded guy is first seen walking along the street at the top of the photo, as he walks he eyes the Trump sign, disappears down the street, then comes back, heads for the property with the Trump sign, puts his hand on the sign, then immediately jumps several inches. Susan]
The USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll is part of the ongoing Understanding America Study: (UAS) at the University of
Southern California’s (USC) Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research, in partnership with the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics
and the Los Angeles Times.
Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS election
panel to answer three predictive questions:
What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential
election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and
(3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in,
we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of
all of the prior week’s responses. To find out more about what lies
behind the vote, each week we also ask respondents one or two extra
questions
about their preferences and values. The team responsible for the USC
Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election Poll four years ago developed
the
successful RAND Continuous Presidential Election Poll, which was based
on the same methodology."
"RUSH: Folks, I want you to be very, very aware of something. I
wouldn't put anything past anybody on the left in this election. I'm
here to tell you, as much as we have talked about it, I don't think
we've gotten close to describing and nailing the sheer panic that exists
on the left at the thought of losing this....
If you were about to lose
everything, if you knew that you were going to lose everything in a week
to 10 days, what would you be thinking, what would you be doing, how
would that affect you? That's what we're talking about here.
Being in the establishment, being in the political power structure is
everything. People in that club or in that group of people, it is how
they derive practically 100 percent of their self-worth. It is how they
derive their standard of living, their lifestyle. It is how they secure
the future for their kids.This network of wires and conventions and connections, networking and
so forth, is how they live.
It's how they insulate themselves from the
everyday forces of life that people not in that club don't have as much
ability to insulate themselves.And it's a very, very special thing to
be in the establishment. Oftentimes you get in there by birth, you get
in by family name, you get in by resume, you get in by where you went
to school. A lot of it is legacy. You're in it because your parents or
your family was in it.
It's very rare for outsiders to come in and crash it and stay there. It happens. But it's very rare. If you're on the verge of losing
everything -- and whether it's everything for real or not, but in your
mind, losing this election means you lose everything....And for people on our side, it's the country....And this election, to
many people, represents a closing down of those opportunities because of
a dramatic transformation of the country.
People inside the establishment don't depend on the country, they don't
depend on the principles of the founding per se. They depend on the
connections being in the club gives them....
The United States of America, with its focus on individual freedom
and liberty, merit-based achievement, all of that, that has been what
has made the United States exceptional and different from practically
all other nations in human history on earth. And if we are to lose that
status by virtue of losing an election because the people who will win
want to close off those opportunities, want to basically say that
America as founded is corrupt, America as founded is unfair, America
needs to be transformed -- and you know the drill... So people on our side have the same attitude about this election that
people in the establishment do; but the people in the establishment
have much more power, individually and within their group. They run
everything. And the prospect of losing it, I cannot describe to you the
kind of fear and panic it causes. And that's why I think all bets are
off in terms of what those people would do to hold onto what they've
got. It's human nature.
And I just want to reemphasize this, because there's still a lot of
time, and there's a lot of tricks that can still be pulled. What
happens, let's say here's the Washington Post tracking poll,
Hillary's lost eight points in four days, and they're all out there
making a big deal of it. I could cite you a lot of other polls where a
similar downward trajectory by Mrs. Clinton is taking place. What
happens if the polls on Monday or Tuesday next week show her regaining
it all, how are you gonna feel? You're gonna say, "Aw, no, oh, no."
You're gonna be one measure of angry, another measure of depressed. And I just want to take the occasion of the program here today again to
once again tell you, nobody knows. It isn't over. There are too many
factors in this election that do not have enough precedents for there to
be accurate projections, predictions, calculations. That's primarily
because of the presence of Trump....
So let's deal with what we have today. If the polls change
dramatically and the other way next week, we'll deal with that if that
happens. Not gonna predict it; I just want to warn you that they will
do anything. "They" -- meaning the Democrats and Republicans, the
Washington-New York-Boston power corridor -- are not going to just sit
by and let this happen.They're going to do everything they can to
influence the outcome. They have the power to do so. That's one of the
perks of being in the establishment. You run the American political system. You run the government.
Comment: Rush Limbaugh himself is a member of the Establishment. He could've taken down the Establishment a long time ago if he wanted to, but obviously has chosen not to do so. He likes his life the way it is. For people like me, he's an occasional Aspirin to ease the pain. He's uniquely able to consume massive amounts of information, see the important points, and converse about them every day.
