Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Latest California poll: Trump leads among Hispanic Republican Likely Primary Voters with 53%. Cruz 27, Kasich 4. Overall in Calif., Trump at 54 has 34 point lead. April 27-30, 2016, Survey USA California poll

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Total California:

Trump 54
Cruz 20
Kasich 16

California GOP Hispanic voters:
 
Trump 53
Cruz 27
Kasich 4

April 27-30, 2016. 529 Registered California likely Republican primary voters. Automated voice on landline 61%, text questions on mobile devices, 39%.

5/2/16, "Top 3 CA Primary Contests Not Close At This Hour---Cruz and Kasich No Longer Competitive, Though Congressional-District Delegate-Math Does Matter to Trump," Survey USA

Trump at 54 now has a 34 point lead in the Calif. GOP primary field. Among Hispanic LRCPVs, Trump also has a large lead: 53% are for Trump, 27% for Cruz, 4% for Kasich.  

Second chart below, 53% of Hispanic likely Republican primary voters in California are for Trump, 27% are for Cruz, 4% are for Kasich, 16% are undecided. Hispanic voters comprise 24% of total California likely Republican primary voters, per chart. Third chart below, 65% of Calif. Trump voters are first time GOP primary voters:

















"About: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,400 state of California adults 04/27/16 through 04/30/16. All interviews were conducted after results of the 04/26/16 primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island were known. Of the adults, 2,011 were registered to vote in the state of California. Of the CA registered voters, 529 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 Republican Presidential primary, 826 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 Democratic Presidential primary, 1,502 were determined to be likely to vote in the 06/07/16 open, non-partisan U.S. Senate primary, and 1,683 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (61% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (39% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device."...

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=431efd5f-c395-4390-bfb0-9f7b4d3941ac

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