4/15/13, "Climate Change Didn’t Cause the Big Drought," rendezvous.blogs.nytimes.com, Christopher F. Schuetze
"In an email, Dr. Hoerling of NOAA explained that the effects of climate change on the natural variability of weather become less significant over shorter periods of time — in this case the summer of 2012 — or specific locations, such as the Great Plains in the United States.
Predicting or explaining droughts using global warming as the key factor, then, is still difficult.
“Global warming itself fails to give the very critical features of specificity that make a forecast practical,” he wrote.
When asked about the criticism leveled against the findings in the report, Dr. Hoerling wrote that he welcomes criticism, as long as it is based on scientific reasoning.
“Detracting criticism based solely on not liking the result of scientific findings need themselves to be criticized, however,” he wrote. “Science by assertion is merely pseudo-science.”...
“The event was rare, and we estimated maybe a once in a couple of hundred years event,” Dr. Martin Hoerling, a meteorologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the senior author of the report, told the media.
“I’m an advocate of global warming because science tells me that greenhouse gases have warmed the planet by about 1 degree Celsius in the last 100 years,” he said. “But the science also tells that every drought that’s occurring isn’t a result of climate change.”"...via Climate Depot
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In his 2013 State of the Union speech Obama mistakenly cited US 2012 drought as proof of global and US human-caused CO2 terror, said "overwhelming science" backs him up. Science actually says unless excess human CO2 can be linked to a climate event, it's not "man-caused global warming or "man-caused climate change." The entire theory of man-caused global warming rests on CO2 emissions, not hot days on 1% of the planet. Unfortunately for CO2 profiteers, US CO2 emissions have plunged dramatically to the point experts predicted US energy policy would change to reflect reduced danger of CO2. That hasn't happened yet because it would collapse the CO2 industry and embarrass many people:
Feb. 12, 2013, "Obama’s 2013 State of the Union Address," NY Times
page 3, NY Times: "But for the sake of our children and our future, we must do more to
combat climate change. Yes, it’s true that no single event makes a
trend. But the fact is, the 12 hottest years on record have all come in
the last 15. Heat waves, droughts, wildfires, and floods – all are now
more frequent and intense. We can choose to believe that Superstorm
Sandy, and the most severe drought in decades, and the worst wildfires
some states have ever seen were all just a freak coincidence. Or we can
choose to believe in the overwhelming judgment of science – and act
before it’s too late...
I urge this Congress to pursue a
bipartisan, market-based solution to climate change, like the one John
McCain and Joe Lieberman worked on together a few years ago. But if
Congress won’t act soon to protect future generations, I will. I will
direct my Cabinet to come up with executive actions we can take, now and
in the future, to reduce pollution, prepare our communities for the
consequences of climate change, and speed the transition to more
sustainable sources of energy."...
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4/15/13, "Lead author of 2012 federal drought report responds to critics," examiner.com, Thomas Richard
Separate from the CO2 issue, the scientific consensus states that the planet hasn’t warmed in at least 15 years.
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Obama's premature 2012 drought scare claim (for which he calls for "market-based" climate legislation to cure, see above) is an embarrassment:
4/12/13, "Re: all clear on the climate front: Drought not a human work," Die Welt blog, von Ulli Kulke, donnerunddoria, (google translation from German)
"Barack Obama can not stand for election. Otherwise, he would think it over well three times if he and his party in the heated climate debate in the U.S. have the courage again and should ascribe individual weather events on a man-made climate change, as happened last summer and fall during the presidential campaign. Hurricane Sandy and record drought in the U.S. were the ones Obama cited as evidence of the crime of humanity on Earth's ecosystem, and over again.
Embarrassing: Now was a scientific study published in the clear message was: The tragic drought in many U.S. states had no relation to climate change, at least not significantly. Even more embarrassing: The study was created by scientists from the U.S. government and was on Thursday of five various government institutions published."...
"Barack Obama can not stand for election. Otherwise, he would think it over well three times if he and his party in the heated climate debate in the U.S. have the courage again and should ascribe individual weather events on a man-made climate change, as happened last summer and fall during the presidential campaign. Hurricane Sandy and record drought in the U.S. were the ones Obama cited as evidence of the crime of humanity on Earth's ecosystem, and over again.
Embarrassing: Now was a scientific study published in the clear message was: The tragic drought in many U.S. states had no relation to climate change, at least not significantly. Even more embarrassing: The study was created by scientists from the U.S. government and was on Thursday of five various government institutions published."...
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6/4/12, “Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,” Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage
“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.…
Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American’s CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 --over half a century ago. …Coal is the number two source of CO2 for Americans. Today the average American burns an amount similar to what they did in 1955, and even less than they did in the 1940s. …It is exactly America’s historical role of biggest and dirtiest that makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy and potentially game changing at the global level.”...
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“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.…
Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American’s CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 --over half a century ago. …Coal is the number two source of CO2 for Americans. Today the average American burns an amount similar to what they did in 1955, and even less than they did in the 1940s. …It is exactly America’s historical role of biggest and dirtiest that makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy and potentially game changing at the global level.”...
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"Virtually everyone believes the shift could have major long-term implications for U.S. energy policy.”…
8/16/12, “AP IMPACT: CO2 emissions in US drop to 20-year low,” AP, Kevin Begos
“In a surprising turnaround, the amount of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere in the U.S. has fallen dramatically to its lowest level in 20 years, and government officials say the biggest reason is that cheap and plentiful natural gas has led many power plant operators to switch from dirtier-burning coal.
Many of the world’s leading climate scientists didn’t see the drop coming, in large part because it happened as a result of market forces rather than direct government action against carbon dioxide, a greenhouse gas that traps heat in the atmosphere.
Michael Mann, director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State University, said the shift away from coal is reason for “cautious optimism” about potential ways to deal with climate change….
In a little-noticed technical report, the U.S. Energy Information Agency, a part of the Energy Department, said this month that energy related U.S. CO2 emissions for the first four months of this year fell to about 1992 levels. Energy emissions make up about 98 percent of the total. The Associated Press contacted environmental experts, scientists and utility companies and learned that virtually everyone believes the shift could have major long-term implications for U.S. energy policy.”…
8/16/12, “AP IMPACT: CO2 emissions in US drop to 20-year low,” AP, Kevin Begos
“In a surprising turnaround, the amount of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere in the U.S. has fallen dramatically to its lowest level in 20 years, and government officials say the biggest reason is that cheap and plentiful natural gas has led many power plant operators to switch from dirtier-burning coal.
Many of the world’s leading climate scientists didn’t see the drop coming, in large part because it happened as a result of market forces rather than direct government action against carbon dioxide, a greenhouse gas that traps heat in the atmosphere.
Michael Mann, director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State University, said the shift away from coal is reason for “cautious optimism” about potential ways to deal with climate change….
In a little-noticed technical report, the U.S. Energy Information Agency, a part of the Energy Department, said this month that energy related U.S. CO2 emissions for the first four months of this year fell to about 1992 levels. Energy emissions make up about 98 percent of the total. The Associated Press contacted environmental experts, scientists and utility companies and learned that virtually everyone believes the shift could have major long-term implications for U.S. energy policy.”…
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Global warming pause, Der Spiegel, Jan. 2013: .
1/18/13, “Climate change: scientists puzzle over halt in global warming,” Der Spiegel, by Axel Bojanowski (translation from German by google)
.
“How much our climate is warming real? NASA researchers have shown that the temperature rise in 15 years takes a break. At the same time, there are indications that shifts the problem: The environment could be a completely different place preliminary heat….
“The stalemate has led to the suggestion that global warming had stopped,” admits the Nasa.
The British Met Office forecast even more recently that the temperature interval could continue at a high level until the end of 2017 - despite the rapid increase in greenhouse gas emissions . Then global warming would pause 20 years. How many years, this is a now common question, because the temperature would still falter, climate scientists to rethink their forecasts of future warming?…Scientists previously thought, fourteen years without further warming were to bring into line with their forecasts – but not “15 years or more,” as NASA scientists four years ago in the journal “Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society” konstatierten . A renowned scientist wrote on 7 May 2009 in an e-mail to colleagues, as the heating pause had lasted eleven years: “The non-trend [of temperatures] would take 15 years before we need to worry about [our results].”
15 years without warming the air near the ground is now over. The stalemate in the average temperature shows that the uncertainties of climate predictions are surprisingly large.”…
.
“How much our climate is warming real? NASA researchers have shown that the temperature rise in 15 years takes a break. At the same time, there are indications that shifts the problem: The environment could be a completely different place preliminary heat….
“The stalemate has led to the suggestion that global warming had stopped,” admits the Nasa.
The British Met Office forecast even more recently that the temperature interval could continue at a high level until the end of 2017 - despite the rapid increase in greenhouse gas emissions . Then global warming would pause 20 years. How many years, this is a now common question, because the temperature would still falter, climate scientists to rethink their forecasts of future warming?…Scientists previously thought, fourteen years without further warming were to bring into line with their forecasts – but not “15 years or more,” as NASA scientists four years ago in the journal “Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society” konstatierten . A renowned scientist wrote on 7 May 2009 in an e-mail to colleagues, as the heating pause had lasted eleven years: “The non-trend [of temperatures] would take 15 years before we need to worry about [our results].”
15 years without warming the air near the ground is now over. The stalemate in the average temperature shows that the uncertainties of climate predictions are surprisingly large.”…
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6/22/12, As seen in NY Times Op-ed, the climate industry abuses children by scaring them about non-existent CO2 terror, then sends kids to UN climate summits where they cry because they've been scared by adults. NRDC then uses kids' crying as "proof" that Americans are bad and must turn over billions more taxpayer dollars:
6/22/12, "We Have Met the Solution and It Is Us," NY Times Op-ed, By Frances Beinecke and Trip Van Noppen
"We heard it from the young people who spoke at Rio+20 — sometimes through tears and with cracking voices — about the fears they have for the world we’re leaving for them."
(Op-ed co-author Frances Beinecke is longtime executive director of NRDC, which orchestrated the failed alar-apple scare.)
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