Four Quinnipiac Swing State polls, Aug. 29-Sept. 7, 2016. Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania likely voters. Trump and Hillary tied in Florida, Trump ahead in Ohio, Hillary slightly ahead in N. Carolina and Pennsylvania

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(3.6 error margin) 

(Link)


Hillary 43
Johnson 8
Stein 2
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(3.5 error margin) 

       (Link)


Hillary 37
Johnson 14
Stein 4
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North Carolina (3.6 error margin)
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Trump 38
Hillary 42
Johnson 15
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Pennsylvania (3.5 error margin)
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Trump 39
Hillary 44
Johnson 9
Stein 3
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Poll dates Aug. 29-Sept. 7, 2016, including over Labor Day weekend. Land line and cell phone. Error margins: 3.6 in Florida and North Carolina, 3.5 in Ohio and Pennsylvania

Sept. 8, 2016, "Clinton-Trump Close In Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds," Quinnipiac University

"The post-Labor Day presidential campaign begins with Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump locked in close races among likely voters in the critical swing states of Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today."...
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Florida: 761 likely voters in Florida, 31R, 33D, 31 Ind. White 63, black 15, Hipanic 16. (No poll results for Florida Hispanics, only "white" and "non-white.") Independent Florida voters: Trump 41, Hillary 36, Johnson 14. Men 47, women 53. White college degree 28, white no college 35.
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Ohio: 775 likely voters in Ohio, 31R, 30D, 34 Ind. White 83, black 12, Hispanic 2. Independent Ohio voters: Trump 34, Hillary 29, Johnson 24. Men 47, women 53. White college degree 32, white no college 51
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North Carolina: 751 likely voters in North Carolina, 25R, 33D, 36 Ind. White 64, black 22, Hispanic 6, other 8. Men 49, women 51. Independent North Carolina voters, Trump 33, Hillary 33, Johnson 27. White college grad 29%, white no college 35%.

NC poll finds Trump beats Hillary in both white men and white women:

White men: Trump 54, Hillary 25, Johnson 18

White women: Trump 53, Hillary 30, Johnson 14

Non-white (total adults only, no gender given): Trump 10, Hillary 71, Johnson 14.

When including all men, white and non-white: Hillary 40, Trump 39,  Johnson 17. Including all women, white and non-white: Hillary 43, Trump 38, Johnson 13.
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Pennsylvania, 778 likely voters in Pennsylvania, 35R, 36D, 24 Ind. White 80, black 10, Hispanic 3, other 7. Men 45, women 55. White college grad 35, White no college 44. Independent voters: Hillary 45, Trump 32, Johnson 13 

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