Wednesday, December 9, 2015

Trump at 38% leads GOP field by 25 points in new Zogby national poll conducted entirely after Dec. 7 remarks. In his highest result yet in a Zogby poll, Trump is favored by conservatives, moderates, men, and women, and 'wallops everyone with 56% among independents'-Zogby, Forbes

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Donald Trump: 38%
Ben Carson: 13%
Marco Rubio: 12%
Ted Cruz: 8%
Jeb Bush: 7%
Chris Christie: 4%
Carly Fiorina: 3%

271 likely GOP voters, error margin 6 points. Poll date not given, though seems to be sometime between Monday evening, 12/7/15, and Wed. morning, 12/9/15.

12/9/15, "Trump Leads By 25 Points Over Nearest Rival In New Zogby Poll," John Zogby, Forbes

"A new poll of Republican primary and caucus voters by Zogby Analytics shows developer Donald Trump widening his nationwide lead to 25 points over his nearest rival, neurologist Dr. Ben Carson. The new Zogby Poll of 271 likely GOP voters has a margin of sampling error of +/-6 points and has the following results:

Donald Trump: 38%
Ben Carson: 13%
Marco Rubio: 12%
Ted Cruz: 8%
Jeb Bush: 7%
Chris Christie: 4%
Carly Fiorina: 3%
Others/Not Sure: 16%
 
No other candidate received more than 1%. Trump leads among self-identified Republicans (33% to Rubio’s 16%, Carson’s 12%, Bush’s 8%, and Cruz’s 6%), but wallops everyone with 56% among independents (followed by Carson’s 15% and Cruz’s 9%).

Conservatives favor Trump with 34% over Carson 14%, Rubio 12%, Cruz 10%, and Bush 7%. And moderates now prefer Trump with 44% to Carson 13%, Rubio 9%, and Bush 6%.

Trump also leads among men by 26 points – 43% to Carson’s 17%, Rubio’s 15% and Cruz’s 11% — and among women by 17 points – 32% to Carson’s 15%, Rubio’s 9%, and Bush’s 8%.

The entire poll was conducted after Trump’s controversial remarks about banning Muslims from entering the United States. His 38% is the highest percentage he has received yet in a Zogby Poll."
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Above Zogby link referencing "Trump's controversial remarks" doesn't go to Trump's 12/7/15 press release, rather to a Zogby opinion article condemning Trump as "a threat to our security":

12/7/15, "Condemn Donald Trump Now," John Zogby, Forbes

"I honestly cannot say that Donald Trump has finally crossed the line. He actually did that the day he announced his candidacy for President. Then he kept crossing the line repeatedly after that. I honestly do not care if his poll numbers were and continue to be high. My own polls show strong support for him and if they continue to do so I will honestly report the numbers as they are. We all need to know the truth. Even when it hurts people....

Trump’s arguments are vicious and have no place in the public discourse. While he has the right to speak them, he should be roundly criticized by the entire GOP, the entire Democratic Party, the Chamber of Commerce, government officials, leaders of non-profits, everyone one of us who writes for Forbes, everyone.

He has crossed the line and he is a threat to our security. We live in world of 1.6 billion Muslims and this is offensive and counterproductive."

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Following is Donald Trump's 12/7/15 press release that Mr. Zogby wants the US Chamber of Commerce and others to condemn:

12/7/15, "Donald J. Trump Statement on Preventing Muslim Immigration," New York, NY

"Donald J. Trump is calling for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States until our country's representatives can figure out what is going on. According to Pew Research, among others, there is great hatred towards Americans by large segments of the Muslim population. Most recently, a poll from the Center for Security Policy released data showing "25% of those polled agreed that violence against Americans here in the United States is justified as a part of the global jihad" and 51% of those polled, "agreed that Muslims in America should have the choice of being governed according to Shariah." Shariah authorizes such atrocities as murder against non-believers who won't convert, beheadings and more unthinkable acts that pose great harm to Americans, especially women. 

Mr. Trump stated, "Without looking at the various polling data, it is obvious to anybody the hatred is beyond comprehension. Where this hatred comes from and why we will have to determine. Until we are able to determine and understand this problem and the dangerous threat it poses, our country cannot be the victims of horrendous attacks by people that believe only in Jihad, and have no sense of reason or respect for human life. If I win the election for President, we are going to Make America Great Again." - Donald J. Trump"



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