Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Science by press release: "It's happening...global warming is real"...

.
4/9/13, "New study gives first independent confirmation of global land warming," researchmatters.noaa.gov

"A unique and innovative new observational study that did not use temperature recordings from land stations has confirmed global land warming, according to a scientist at NOAA's Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) at the University of Colorado. The finding refutes concerns that artifacts in land-based observing systems have led to an artificial global land warming trend.  

"This shows that global warming over land is real," said CIRES scientist lead author Gilbert Compo who works at NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory. "It is not an artifact of the observing system. It is happening." The scientists published their findings in the journal Geophysical Research Letters on April 8.  

Since 1952, using a network of weather stations dotted around the globe to take daily readings, scientists have recorded an increase of 1.2 degrees Celsius in Earth's air temperature over land."...

--------------------

[Ed. note: "Since 1952" and ending when? Ending in 1997 as UK Met Office and UN's Pachauri say or 10 years ago as NASA says? So far this press release twice disputes authorities, saying, "Global warming over land is real," and, "It is happening." It also disputes a Jan. 2013 peer reviewed study stating humans don't influence atmospheric CO2 anyway.]

--------------------- 

(continuing): "Several scientists have, however, questioned the accuracy and representativeness of the land station observations that were used to determine this warming trend, and therefore do not have confidence in it....

"Urban warming is real, but local," Compo said. "So you need to remove the contribution of it to try and get rid of that unrepresentative warming."

Scientists have made corrections to the recorded temperatures to compensate for urban warming and have also corrected several other factors that would cause the observed data to inaccurately represent the true situation. "The question is: Did those corrections work out?" Compo said. 

To answer this question and determine whether the observed warming trend is real and accurate, Compo, CIRES Fellow Prashant Sardeshmukh, NOAA scientist Jeff Whitaker and their colleagues used an entirely different approach to investigate land surface temperature trends. The scientists used an approach termed the 20th Century Reanalysis (20CR), a physically based, state-of-the-art data assimilation system that circumvents the problems faced in using weather station temperature data.  
"20CR doesn’t have those problems because we never used a thermometer over land to determine air temperatures over land," Compo said.  

Given the variables of barometric pressure, sea surface temperature, sea-ice concentration, and carbon dioxide, volcanic and solar variations, the scientists were able to use the 20CR to infer the air temperatures over land across the globe. The derived temperatures agreed both annually and centennially with those found by weather stations.  

"One thing we found was that the barometer is even more valuable than we thought," Compo said. "We were able to reproduce the hour-by-hour, day-by-day variations in temperature using only barometric pressure as a starting point."...

It also affirms that the conclusions based on large-area averages of land temperatures are robust, i.e., the climate is warming, he said."...

---------------------

[Ed. note: Again, press release says "climate is warming," gives no dates, disputes UK Met Office, UN's Pachauri, and James Hansen formerly of NASA who say global climate has not warmed in 15 yrs., 17 yrs., and 10 yrs. respectively. UK Met Office says no warming is expected until at least 2017.]

----------------------
(continuing): ""Do we have global warming if you only specify the sea surface temperatures and update with the pressure?" Compo said. "The answer is yes.""...

----------------------

[Ed. note: For the 4th time this release disputes authorities, "Do we have global warming," "The answer is yes." From 1952 to when? The words in this press release have the full force of the President of the United States and his armed forces, and will be seen by some as justification for further confiscation and no-strings transfer of billions of chump US taxpayer dollars]. 
 
---------------------- 
 
(continuing): "Coauthors on the project are CIRES scientist Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, NOAA scientist Jeffrey S. Whitaker, Philip Brohan from the Met Office Hadley Center in the UK, Philip D. Jones from the University of East Anglia, UK and Chesley McColl from the Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research, Saudi Arabia." via Junk Science


===================================
.

3/26/12, "Obama Requests $770 Million to Fight Global Warming Overseas," CNS News, Matt Cover

"The figure, from a recent report from the Congressional Research Service (CRS), shows that despite another year of $1 trillion deficits, the Obama administration continues to pursue its policy of using foreign aid funds for anti-global warming measures – known as the Global Climate Change Initiative (GCCI).

According to CRS, the government has spent a total of $2.5 billion on GCCI since 2010 on overseas anti-global warming efforts in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.

For 2013, the Obama administration has requested an additional $770 million for its policy, a figure that if approved by Congress would bring total foreign climate change spending to $3.3 billion."...

 

========================= 

US 'climate action' in Nov. 2012  included giving $6 billion US taxpayer dollars for 'clean energy' to the Sultan of Brunei who owns 5000+ cars and to the Pres. of Indonesia, whose country is so corrupt even the World Bank says crime adds 20% to costs.   


Below, one of the Sultan of Brunei's cars:






 
 



 




===================================

11/18/10, "UN IPCC Official Admits 'We Redistribute World's Wealth By Climate Policy'," NewsBusters, Noel Sheppard

==================================

Global warming pause, Der Spiegel, Jan. 2013:
.
1/18/13, “Climate change: scientists puzzle over halt in global warming,” Der Spiegel, by Axel Bojanowski (translation from German by google)
.
“How much our climate is warming real? NASA researchers have shown that the temperature rise in 15 years takes a break. At the same time, there are indications that shifts the problem: The environment could be a completely different place preliminary heat….

“The stalemate has led to the suggestion that global warming had stopped,” admits the Nasa.

The British Met Office forecast even more recently that the temperature interval could continue at a high level until the end of 2017 - despite the rapid increase in greenhouse gas emissions . Then global warming would pause 20 years. How many years, this is a now common question, because the temperature would still falter, climate scientists to rethink their forecasts of future warming?…Scientists previously thought, fourteen years without further warming were to bring into line with their forecasts – but not “15 years or more,” as NASA scientists four years ago in the journal “Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society” konstatierten . A renowned scientist wrote on 7 May 2009 in an e-mail to colleagues, as the heating pause had lasted eleven years: “The non-trend [of temperatures] would take 15 years before we need to worry about [our results].”

15 years without warming the air near the ground is now over. The stalemate in the average temperature shows that the uncertainties of climate predictions are surprisingly large.”…


================================

2/21/13, "IPCC Head Pachauri Acknowledges Global Warming Standstill," The Australian, Graham Lloyd

"The UN’s climate change chief, Rajendra Pachauri, has acknowledged a 17-year pause in global temperature rises, confirmed recently by Britain’s Met Office, but said it would need to last “30 to 40 years at least” to break the long-term global warming trend.

Dr Pachauri, the chairman of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, said that open discussion about controversial science and politically incorrect views was an essential part of tackling climate change.

In a wide-ranging interview on topics that included this year's record northern summer Arctic ice growth, the US shale-gas revolution, the collapse of renewable energy subsidies across Europe and the faltering European carbon market, Dr Pachauri said no issues should be off-limits for public discussion.


In Melbourne for a 24-hour visit to deliver a lecture for Deakin University, Dr Pachauri said that people had the right to question the science, whatever their motivations.

“People have to question these things and science only thrives on the basis of questioning,” Dr Pachauri said....


Unlike in Britain, there has been little publicity in Australia given to recent acknowledgment by peak climate-science bodies in Britain and the US of what has been a 17-year pause in global warming. Britain’s Met Office has revised down its forecast for a global temperature rise, predicting no further increase to 2017, which would extend the pause to 21 years.

Dr Pachauri said global average temperatures had plateaued at record levels and that the halt did not disprove global warming.
 

“The climate is changing because of natural factors and the impact of human actions,” Dr Pachauri said."...
 

 ================================
.
News of US CO2 plunge has been described as:

================================

Recent peer reviewed study says humans do not influence atmospheric CO2:

 January 2013, "The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature," Global and Planetary Change, ScienceDirect.com

Ole Humluma, b, Corresponding author contact information, E-mail the corresponding author,Kjell Stordahlc, Jan-Erik Solheimd 

a Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1047 Blindern, N-0316 Oslo, Norway, b Department of Geology, University Centre in Svalbard (UNIS), P.O. Box 156, N-9171 Longyearbyen, Svalbard, Norway, c Telenor Norway, Finance, N-1331 Fornebu, Norway, d Department of Physics and Technology, University of Tromsø, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway

"Abstract


"Using data series on atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperatures we investigate the phase relation (leads/lags) between these for the period January 1980 to December 2011. Ice cores show atmospheric CO2 variations to lag behind atmospheric temperature changes on a century to millennium scale, but modern temperature is expected to lag changes in atmospheric CO2, as the atmospheric temperature increase since about 1975 generally is assumed to be caused by the modern increase in CO2.  

In our analysis we use eight well-known datasets: 1) globally averaged well-mixed marine boundary layer CO2 data, 2) HadCRUT3 surface air temperature data, 3) GISS surface air temperature data, 4) NCDC surface air temperature data, 5) HadSST2 sea surface data, 6) UAH lower troposphere temperature data series, 7) CDIAC data on release of anthropogene CO2, and 8) GWP data on volcanic eruptions. Annual cycles are present in all datasets except 7) and 8), and to remove the influence of these we analyze 12-month averaged data. We find a high degree of co-variation between all data series except 7) and 8), but with changes in CO2 always lagging changes in temperature.
The maximum positive correlation between CO2 and temperature is found for CO2 lagging 11–12 months in relation to global sea surface temperature, 9.5–10 months to global surface air temperature, and about 9 months to global lower troposphere temperature. The correlation between changes in ocean temperatures and atmospheric CO2 is high, but do not explain all observed changes.


Highlights

Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 11–12 months behind changes in global sea surface temperature.
Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging 9.5–10 months behind changes in global air surface temperature. ► Changes in global atmospheric CO2 are lagging about 9 months behind changes in global lower troposphere temperature. ► Changes in ocean temperatures explain a substantial part of the observed changes in atmospheric CO2 since January 1980. ►
Changes in atmospheric CO2 are not tracking changes in human emissions."

========================

NASA climate scientist Hansen says ’5 yr. mean global temp. flat for past decade,’ climate predictions hampered by lack of scientific data, notes 2011 NASA satellite to measure aerosols crashed on take-off, no plans to re-start mission. Page 1 notes lack of scientific data on aerosols makes it impossible to accurately interpret global climate.


Jan. 15, 2013, “Global Temperature Update Through 2012, 15 January 2013,” Columbia University, J. Hansen, M. Sato, R. Rudy
.
(page 1): “Summary. …”The 5-year mean global temperature has been flat for a decade, which we interpret as a combination of natural variability and a slowdown in the growth rate of the net climate forcing….
.
(page 1, parag. 3): “The approximate stand-still of global temperature during 1940-1975 is generally attributed to an approximate balance of aerosol cooling and greenhouse gas warming during a period of rapid growth of fossil fuel use with little control on particulate air pollution, but satisfactory quantitative interpretation has been impossible
  • because of the absence of adequate aerosol measurements 3,4.”…
===================== 

6/4/12, Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,” Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage




“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.

Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American’s CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 --over half a century ago. …Coal is the number two source of CO2 for Americans. Today the average American burns an amount similar to what they did in 1955, and even less than they did in the 1940s. …It is exactly America’s historical role of biggest and dirtiest that makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy and potentially game changing at the global level.”...



 
 .

No comments: