Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Trump strong support among Florida Latino voters helps him edge Hillary 43-41 in Florida Atlantic University poll, Aug. 19-22, 2016. 40% of Florida Latino voters choose Trump v 50% for Hillary. Among independent voters Trump leads Hillary by 21 points, 47-26

Trump 43
Hillary 41
Johnson 8
Stein-not mentioned
Undecided 5

Independent voters
Trump 47
Hillary 26

Aug. 19-22, 2016, 1200 registered Florida voters, 2.7 error margin. Trump voters by race: White 49%, Hispanic 40%, Black 20%. Hillary voters by race: White 33%, Hispanic 50%, Black 68%. Male voters: Trump 46, Hillary 36. Female voters: Hillary 45, Trump 41. In core 35-54 age group Trump leads by 23 points, 53 to 30. Methodology not stated, no link to poll.

8/24/16, "FAU Poll Finds Trump Edging Out Clinton in Florida," Florida Atlantic University

"Trump leads among white voters 49 to 33 percent, but trails with African Americans 68 to 20 percent, as well as Hispanics 50 to 40 percent.... 

"“The race between Clinton and Trump among Hispanics in Florida is closer than it is nationally, said Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., director of the BEPI. “Some of that is probably the Cuban vote. Trump’s support among Latinos in Florida is helping him stay competitive.”...

Independents are voting for Trump by a wide margin of 47 percent to 26... 

Trump leads among 35- to 54-year-old voters 53 to 30 percent."...

Hillary only leads in one region of Florida, South Florida. Trump leads in the rest of the state: western, northern, and central:

"Trump’s strongest regional support is in the western part of Florida where he leads 52 to 34 percent, and in the north at 47 to 32 percent. Trump also leads in the central region 44 to 36 percent. Clinton’s support is in South Florida, where she leads 57 to 30 percent. The top issue for voters was dissatisfaction with government at 29 percent, followed by jobs at 18 percent; immigration at 13 percent; and ISIS at 12 percent. The top quality for voters is experience at 27 percent; followed by Commander-in-Chief at 16 percent; trustworthiness at 15 percent; and focus on the economy at 14 percent. Wanting an outsider was mentioned by 12 percent of respondents.... 

The Florida poll was conducted Aug. 19-22. The polling sample was a random selection of registered voters. 

The General election poll consisted of 1,200 registered likely voters with a margin of error of +/-2.7 percent at a 95 percent confidence level."...

For Senate races:

"The Democratic primary consisted of 364 registered Democrat likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/-5.1 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. The Republican primary consisted of 327 registered Republican likely primary voters with a margin of error of +/-5.4 percent at a 95 percent confidence level."


No comments: