8/19/16, The USC Dornsife LA Times Presidential Election Daybreak Poll: Trump 44.2, Hillary 43.6
"The 2016 USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll
represents a pioneering approach to tracking changes in Americans'
opinions throughout a campaign for the White House. Around 3000
respondents in our representative panel are asked questions on a regular
basis on what they care about most in the election, and on their
attitudes toward their preferred candidates. The "Daybreak poll" is
updated just after midnight every day of the week.
Presidential Election Vote
This chart tracks our best estimate, over time, of how America plans to vote in November
The final blue and red figures on the right side of the chart represent
our most recent estimates of Hillary Clinton's vote (blue squares) and
Donald Trump's (red diamonds). These estimates represent weighted
averages of all responses in the prior week. The gray band is a
"95-percent confidence interval". Figures lying outside the gray band
mean that we are at least 95% confident that the candidate with the
highest percentage will win the popular vote."...