Independent voters (p. 109)
Don't know, no opinion 23
Women Independent voters (p. 109)
Men Independent voters
August 24-26, 2016 online poll, 2007 registered voters nationwide (not stated to be likely voters), 2% error margin. 47% male, 53% female (p. 10). 35D, 33Ind, 32R (p. 10). 81% white, 9% Hispanic, 13% black, 6% other (p. 11). Country on right track 21%, country on wrong track 71% (p. 1). #1 issue economy (36%), #2 issue security (21%), p. 12. (21% in this poll didn't vote in 2012 elections, of those who did 43% for Obama, 33% for Romney. 28% didn't vote in 2014 midterms, p. 12).
8/28/16, "Trump Gains Ground on Clinton; Black Voters Still Wary," Morning Consult, Fawn Johnson
"Donald Trump trails Democratic rival Hillary Clinton by only 3
percentage points in a new national poll from Morning Consult, shrinking
Trump’s gains on Clinton tighten to within the margin of error when
accounting for other presidential candidates. In that matchup, Clinton
leads Trump by just 2 points, 39 percent to 37 percent....
In a survey taken Aug. 24 through Aug. 26, Trump halved the 6-point
distance between himself and Clinton from the previous week’s poll. In
the most recent head-to-head matchup, 43 percent of registered voters
say they will vote for Clinton, and 40 percent say they will vote for
Trump; 17 percent don’t know or have no opinion.
The matchup hasn’t been this close since late July, when Morning
Consult’s poll showed a 3-point Clinton lead over Trump, 43 percent to
The poll results come after Clinton gave her most direct speech thus
far attacking Trump on his racial rhetoric, while the GOP nominee
continued his bid to woo black and Hispanic voters.
Trump’s campaign also floated new ideas about allowing immigrants who
are illegally residing in the United States to stay in the country, an
attempt to soften the real estate mogul’s harsh immigration rhetoric.
But the mixed signals from the Trump campaign aren’t winning over
Clinton has also faced questions about her ties to the Clinton Foundation while she was secretary of state.
Trump’s outreach to African American voters appears to be falling
flat among that demographic, with only 5 percent of black voters saying
they will vote for Trump; 79 percent of African American respondents say
they will vote for Clinton, with 16 percent undecided.
Trump also significantly trails Clinton among women voters — 44
percent to 35 percent — with 21 percent saying they don’t know or have
Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein
are struggling to gain traction with voters and, barring a major shift,
are unlikely to make the debate stage scheduled for late September.
Johnson, a former Republican governor of New Mexico, has support from 8
percent of respondents, while Stein is the first choice for 3 percent of
The poll was conducted among a national sample of 2,007 registered
voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See
toplines and crosstabs."