Thursday, April 7, 2016

Continuing trend in 2016 Republican primaries, Wisconsin Republican primary voters broadly favored Trump proposal to temporarily ban Muslims entering US-ABC News Exit poll, 4/5/16

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70% of Wisconsin Republican Primary Voters favor Trump proposal:

4/5/16, "Live: Republican Primary Exit Poll Analysis," ABC News

"Who turned out in Tuesday's Wisconsin primary and what motivated their votes? Here are some of our observations of exit poll results from Republicans voting in the primary tonight.... 
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scroll to subhead: "Muslim ban"
 
"As has been the case throughout the GOP primaries this year, there’s broad support in these preliminary Wisconsin results (seven in 10) for Trump’s proposal to ban non-U.S. Muslims from entering the country. Trump’s won 47 percent of these voters in previous states, vs. Cruz’s 28 percent, but Cruz was much closer to Trump among these voters in some recent contests, notably in North Carolina and Missouri."...
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http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-republican-primary-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=38164180 

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Comment: The word "temporary" isn't used above to accurately describe the proposal. It's not clear how the question was phrased to voters. It's commonly presented two ways. For example, below, the word "temporarily" is included in first sentence of 4/4/16 Rasmussen article on the proposal but is omitted in Rasmussen headline:

4/4/16, "GOP Voters Still Support Trump’s Muslim Ban," Rasmussen

"Support remains high and unchanged among Republicans for GOP front-runner Donald Trump’s controversial proposal to temporarily ban Muslims from entering the United States.
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A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 67% of Likely Republican Voters favor a temporary ban on all Muslims entering the United States until the federal government improves its ability to screen out potential terrorists from coming here. Just 23% are opposed, while 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is unchanged from early December when Trump first made the proposal following the terrorist massacre in San Bernardino, California."...
 
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Added: Washington Post: Wisconsin and nationally, no change in Trump women numbers despite media narrative:

4/6/16, "What happened to that ‘women will turn against Donald Trump’ narrative?" Washington Post, Philip Bump
  
"So how did women feel about Trump's bad week with women? They didn't care. There's no statistical significance to the differences....
 
What we can say with certainty is that Trump's comments didn't hurt him with Republican women in Wisconsin and don't seem to have hurt him with women anywhere else, either."






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