6/3/16, "Weak U.S. employment report dims prospect of Fed rate hike," Reuters, Lucia Mutikani
"The U.S. economy created the fewest number of jobs in more
than 5-1/2-years in May as manufacturing and construction employment
fell sharply, which could make it harder for the Federal Reserve to
raise interest rates.
Nonfarm
payrolls increased by only 38,000 jobs last month, the smallest gain
since September 2010, the Labor Department said on Friday. Employment
gains were also restrained by a month-long strike by Verizon workers,
which depressed information sector payrolls by 34,000 jobs.
Underscoring
the report's weakness, employers hired 59,000 fewer workers in March
and April than previously reported. While the unemployment rate fell
three-tenths of a percentage point to 4.7 percent in May, the lowest
level since November 2007, that was because 458,000 Americans gave up
the search for work.
"This
is not a good report, and it may well give Fed officials second
thoughts about increasing interest rates again this month or next, as
some have suggested lately," said Peter Ireland, an economics professor
at Boston College....
Fed
Chair Yellen said last week that a rate increase would probably be
appropriate in the "coming months," if those conditions were met. The
U.S. central bank hiked its benchmark overnight interest rate in
December for the first time in nearly a decade....
Economists had forecast payrolls rising by 164,000 in May and the unemployment rate falling to 4.9 percent.
The
weak report bucks data on consumer spending, industrial production and
housing that have indicated the economy was gaining momentum after
growth slowed to a 0.8 percent annualized rate in the first quarter.
In
separate reports on Friday, the Commerce Department said goods exports
rebounded strongly in April and orders for manufactured goods recorded
their biggest gain in six months.
A survey by the Institute for Supply Management, however, showed a significant cooling in services sector activity in May.
DELAYED RESPONSE
Some
economists said the sharp slowdown in employment last month was payback
after unseasonably warm weather boosted hiring in February and March.
They also viewed the weak payroll growth as a delayed response to tepid
economic growth in the previous two quarters.
"The
simplest explanation is that job growth tends to respond with a lag to
GDP growth, and GDP growth was rather weak around the turn of the year.
This would suggest job growth should recover along with overall growth
in economic activity," said Michael Feroli, an economist at JPMorgan in
New York...
Last
month, the goods producing sector, which includes mining, manufacturing
and construction, shed 36,000 jobs, the most since February 2010. Even
excluding the Verizon strike, payrolls would have only increased by just
over 70,000....
Other
details of the employment report were not encouraging. Average hourly
earnings rose five cents, or 0.2 percent. That was a slide from April's
0.4 percent increase and left the year-on-year rise at 2.5 percent.
A
broad measure of unemployment that includes people who want to work but
have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot
find full-time employment held steady at 9.7 percent."
.................
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