Thursday, February 25, 2016

Trump at 44 tops Florida Quinnipiac poll, Feb. 21-24, 2016. Rubio 28, Cruz 12

Trump 44
Rubio 28
Cruz 12
Kasich 7
Carson 4

Feb. 21-24, 2016 (Sun-Wed), 705 Florida likely Republican primary voters, 3.7 error margin, live interviews on land lines and cell phones. Fla. primary, March 15, 2016.

2/25/16, "Trump Trumps Rubio Among Florida Republicans, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Leadership Is Important Factor In Race," Quinnipiac University

""The size and shape of Trump's lead is impressive. He leads in every age group by 9 to 19 percentage points. He does better among men than among women and, despite being a New York multi-billionaire, he leads among those who identify with the Tea Party," Brown added.

"He also does twice as well among white evangelicals as does Sen. Ted Cruz, who is trying to make this group his core constituency. 

"A third of likely primary voters say a candidate who is a strong leader is key to their choice and 66 percent of them support Trump."

Trump is the choice of 66 percent of Florida likely Republican primary voters who most want a candidate with strong leadership, with only 16 percent for Rubio....

"Florida is the single biggest prize of the primary season because it is the largest state to allocate its delegates on a winner-take-all basis. If Sen. Rubio can't win in his own home state, it is difficult to see how he can win elsewhere," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Florida election law makes this contest more uncertain than earlier primaries. Only registered Republicans may vote here, which raises the question of whether the flood of new voters Donald Trump seemed to bring to earlier contests will be able to participate in Florida."...

Trump tops Rubio 51 - 28 percent among voters who list the economy and jobs as the most important issue, 44 - 34 percent among those who cite terrorism and 66 - 12 percent among those who say immigration is most important."...


From the Florida poll, pdf:


Trump 42
Rubio 28
Cruz 19


Very conservative

Trump 42
Rubio 26
Cruz 22


Somewhat conservative

Trump 42 
Rubio 34
Cruz 6



Trump 48
Rubio 26
Cruz 4 



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