NY Times opening sentence/paragraph invites readers to believe that emerging US energy independence is an Obama "achievement." Under Obama, oil and gas development on US public land has declined. US achievement is from state and private land.
11/28/14, "Free Fall in Oil Price Underscores Shift Away From OPEC," NY Times, Clifford Krauss, Houston
"Since the economically crippling oil embargo of 1973, every American president has pledged to seek and achieve energy independence.
That
elusive goal may finally have arrived, at least for the foreseeable
future, with the failure of Saudi Arabia and its 11 oil cartel partners
in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to agree to a production cut that would put a brake on plummeting crude prices.
On
Friday, the benchmark American price for crude oil continued the free
fall that began on Thursday, closing at $66.15, its lowest price in more
than four years.
The inability or unwillingness of OPEC
to act showed that the cartel was no longer the dominating producer
whose decisions determine global supplies and prices. Suddenly, the
United States — which is poised to surpass Saudi Arabia as the world’s
top producer, possibly in a matter of months — is in that position,
although the resiliency of that new command must still be tested.
“This is a historic turning point,” said Daniel Yergin, the energy historian. “The defining force now in world oil today is the growth of U.S. production. The outcome of the OPEC meeting is a clear indication that the oil exporters now recognize that this is a new market.”
For
decades, the United States faced dwindling domestic production and
rising demand, leading President George W. Bush to call on the country
to get off its “addiction” to imported oil. But around eight years ago a
few small oil companies began experimenting to produce oil from hard
shale rocks in North Dakota and Texas, using hydraulic fracturing —
fracking — and horizontal drilling techniques that proved effective in
producing natural gas a few years earlier.
Domestic
oil production has soared more 70 percent over the last six years, to
roughly nine million barrels a day. The country is still a net importer,
but with production growing by more than a million barrels a day every
year, it is importing less and less almost every month.
Imports
from OPEC producers have been cut by more than a half in recent years,
forcing increasing competition among Saudi Arabia and other exporting
countries seeking to replace the American market with Chinese and other
Asian markets. That has produced more cracks in an organization in which
competition between Saudi Arabia and Iran is already fierce.
That
remarkable global turnaround has been a windfall for the United States,
helping keep inflation in check, lower the trade deficit, strengthen
the American dollar and bring relief to consumers.
On
Friday, Americans paid an average of $2.79 a gallon for regular
gasoline, according to the AAA motor club, nearly 50 cents less than a year ago.
.
For
David Goldwyn, the State Department’s coordinator for international
energy affairs in the first Obama administration, OPEC’s decision not to
cut was “strategic.”
“What
we have now is a yearlong game of chicken,” he said. “The Saudis are
waiting to see how much U.S. production adjusts because of prices and
they are waiting to see how much pain the other major oil producers can
take before they are willing to make meaningful cuts.” Referring to the
global oil benchmark, he added, “If Brent sinks below $60, I think you
will see OPEC hit the panic button pretty fast.” That would mean an
extraordinary OPEC meeting, and emergency cuts in production.
The Brent price has fallen more than a third since June and closed on Friday at $70.15 a barrel. For
OPEC producers like Venezuela and Iran, the tumbling price in oil has
produced economic hardship and potential political problems.
Venezuela
and Algeria contend that OPEC needed to band to together to cut
production and raise prices. But Saudi Arabia has by far the most sway
in OPEC, since the kingdom produces roughly one-third of OPEC output
alone. It also has the financial muscle and spare capacity to lower or
raise production whenever the Saudi royal family deems necessary.
Saudi
Arabia resisted calls for lower production mainly because the countries
that were most vociferous in calling for cuts would be the countries
least able to actually cut their production since their cash-short
governments are dependent on more, not less oil revenue.
And
there was no guarantee that a cut in OPEC production would raise
prices. Even if it did, that would only encourage more American output.
So far, United States oil production has proved resilient no matter the
price.
Even
as prices slid in October, production in the Bakken shale field in
North Dakota and the Eagle Ford field in Texas— the two primary
promoters of the American oil production boom — increased more than 3
percent over the month before.
That
is because American producers keep improving the efficiency and output
of their wells with new technology, and because in the short run, lower
prices can actually encourage companies to produce more to pay debts and
dividends.
Energy
experts caution that there is no guarantee that the United States will
permanently keep its new powerful edge on world markets. Eventually, low
oil prices will drive down production in higher-cost fields, drive
marginal companies that are deeply in debt out of business and encourage
major companies to slow down their investment in new wells. Several
companies have already shaved their 2015 exploration budgets.
And
OPEC has been weakened before, only to stage a comeback. The cartel is
still able to produce about a third of the global oil market.
After
the oil price spikes of the 1970s, the United States and other
industrialized countries raised their strategic reserves, put into
effect conservation policies and incentivized oil production. New output
from places like Alaska and the North Sea in the 1980s helped produce a
glut, sending oil prices plummeting. Saudi Arabia lobbied its OPEC
partners for production quota cuts, and the kingdom cut its own
production. When other OPEC members failed to comply with the new
quotas, prices collapsed in 1986, and Saudi Arabia lost valuable markets
for years to come.
OPEC
has never completely regained the power it once had, but in the early
2000s, oil prices spiked again primarily because of the rapid growth in
demand from China and other developing countries and increasing unrest
in several oil-producing countries like Nigeria and Venezuela. With the
oil market growing tighter, Saudi Arabia expanded its spare capacity and
kept a lid on spiraling prices.
An
equilibrium price of around $100 a barrel kept producing and consuming
countries reasonably happy. But now the United States production, combined with slowing economic activity, in China and Europe, have broken
the balance.
“OPEC
still has power in that they can still cut production and raise price
if they choose to do so,” said Michael C. Lynch, president of Strategic
Energy and Economic Research and sometimes an adviser to OPEC. But he
added, “They don’t have the same power they once did because so many of
the members are in bad financial condition and so it’s harder for them
to cut production and lose revenues in the short term to raise prices.”"
"A version of this article appears in print on November 29, 2014, on page B1 of the New York edition with the headline: Free Fall in Oil Price Underscores Power Shift."
====================
From 2009-2013 production of crude oil dropped by 6 percent and natural gas by 28 percent on US federal lands and offshore areas:
11/21/14, "WH Vows to Boost Fossil Fuel Production – in Ukraine," CNS News, Penny Starr
"The Obama administration, no fan of fossil fuels, has delayed a decision on the Keystone XL pipeline for six years, but today it announced its support for fossil fuel production in Ukraine.
“We are supporting Ukrainian efforts to enhance its own energy production, including through technical assistance to help restructure Ukraine’s national oil and gas company, Naftogaz, and through the introduction of new technologies to boost outputs from existing and new conventional gas fields in Ukraine,” says a fact sheet released by the White House.
The fact sheet, which lists all the ways the U.S. is assisting Ukraine, was issued in conjunction with Vice President Joe Biden’s visit to that country.
There is no mention in the fact sheet of developing alternative energy sources such as solar or wind energy generation in Ukraine, as the Obama administration insists the U.S. must do.
Moscow cut off gas supplies to Ukraine over unpaid debts in June, and Ukraine is now relying on domestic supplies and shipments from other countries.
The development of oil and gas resources on public lands in the United States has declined under the Obama administration, which is making a multi-billion investment in renewable energy.
U.S. production of crude oil and natural gas on state and privately owned lands rose from 2009 to 2013 by 61 percent and 33 percent, respectively, according to the Congressional Research Service. But on federal lands and offshore areas, production of crude oil dropped by 6 percent and natural gas by 28 percent over the same period.
While he's in Ukraine, Biden will announce that the U.S. is giving $3 million to the United Nation’s World Food Program to help “displaced” people and others suffering from the ongoing conflict with Russia in eastern Ukraine.
That brings the total U.S. financial commitment to Ukraine to $320 million for the year. “The United States stands ready to continue to work with our partners to provide Ukraine with sufficient financing as it stabilizes its economy and carries out urgently needed reforms,” the fact sheet states.
The fact sheet also includes a wide range of other assistance, from defending human rights to trade diversification.
According to the White House, Biden, who is traveling with his wife, Jill, is meeting today with Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and will next travel to Turkey."
From 2009-2013 production of crude oil dropped by 6 percent and natural gas by 28 percent on US federal lands and offshore areas:
11/21/14, "WH Vows to Boost Fossil Fuel Production – in Ukraine," CNS News, Penny Starr
"The Obama administration, no fan of fossil fuels, has delayed a decision on the Keystone XL pipeline for six years, but today it announced its support for fossil fuel production in Ukraine.
“We are supporting Ukrainian efforts to enhance its own energy production, including through technical assistance to help restructure Ukraine’s national oil and gas company, Naftogaz, and through the introduction of new technologies to boost outputs from existing and new conventional gas fields in Ukraine,” says a fact sheet released by the White House.
The fact sheet, which lists all the ways the U.S. is assisting Ukraine, was issued in conjunction with Vice President Joe Biden’s visit to that country.
There is no mention in the fact sheet of developing alternative energy sources such as solar or wind energy generation in Ukraine, as the Obama administration insists the U.S. must do.
Moscow cut off gas supplies to Ukraine over unpaid debts in June, and Ukraine is now relying on domestic supplies and shipments from other countries.
The development of oil and gas resources on public lands in the United States has declined under the Obama administration, which is making a multi-billion investment in renewable energy.
U.S. production of crude oil and natural gas on state and privately owned lands rose from 2009 to 2013 by 61 percent and 33 percent, respectively, according to the Congressional Research Service. But on federal lands and offshore areas, production of crude oil dropped by 6 percent and natural gas by 28 percent over the same period.
While he's in Ukraine, Biden will announce that the U.S. is giving $3 million to the United Nation’s World Food Program to help “displaced” people and others suffering from the ongoing conflict with Russia in eastern Ukraine.
That brings the total U.S. financial commitment to Ukraine to $320 million for the year. “The United States stands ready to continue to work with our partners to provide Ukraine with sufficient financing as it stabilizes its economy and carries out urgently needed reforms,” the fact sheet states.
The fact sheet also includes a wide range of other assistance, from defending human rights to trade diversification.
According to the White House, Biden, who is traveling with his wife, Jill, is meeting today with Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk and will next travel to Turkey."
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