"The conclusions with respect to hurricanes and drought both represent a walking back from more aggressive conclusions reported in 2007."
9/28/13, “Five Points on the IPCC Report (Wonky, Long),” Roger Pielke, Jr.
“5. There is not a strong scientific basis for claiming a discernible effect of human-caused climate change on hurricanes, floods, tornadoes or drought.
This is a familiar conclusion to readers of this blog, so I won’t belabor it (more to come soon on this). Here is what the IPCC SPM [Summary for Policy Makers] says about each:
- Hurricanes (tropical cyclones): ”Low confidence” in both a “human contribution to observed changes” and “likelihood of future changes”
- Floods: No comments in the SPM
- Tornadoes: No comments in the SPM
- Drought: “Low confidence” in both a “human contribution to observed changes” and “likelihood of future changes”
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