“The Mail on Sunday has also seen an earlier draft of the report, dated October last year. There are many striking differences between it and the current, ‘final’ version.”
9/14/13, “Global warming is just HALF what we said: World’s top climate scientists admit computers got the effects of greenhouse gases wrong,” UK Daily Mail, David Rose
“Leaked report reveals the world is warming at half the rate claimed by IPCC in 2007,” “Scientists accept their computers ‘may have exaggerated‘,” “Met Office to examine the report and ‘respond in due course’”
One of the report’s own authors, Professor Myles Allen, the director of Oxford University’s Climate Research Network, last night said this should be the last IPCC assessment – accusing its cumbersome production process of ‘misrepresenting how science works’.
Despite the many scientific uncertainties disclosed by the leaked report, it nonetheless draws familiar, apocalyptic conclusions – insisting that the IPCC is more confident than ever that global warming is mainly humans’ fault."...
[Ed. note: Determining fault was never the mission of course. IPCC was set up in 1988 assuming human caused CO2 terror was fact. Even if the fantasy of human CO2 poisoning were true, global CO2 is controlled by China. It's not a 'global' issue.]
(continuing): "It says the world will continue to warm catastrophically unless there is drastic action to curb greenhouse gases – with big rises in sea level, floods, droughts and the disappearance of the Arctic icecap.
Last night Professor Judith Curry, head of climate science at Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, said the leaked summary showed that ‘the science is clearly not settled, and is in a state of flux’.
She said it therefore made no sense that the IPCC was claiming that its confidence in its forecasts and conclusions has increased.
For example, in the new report, the IPCC says it is ‘extremely likely’ – 95 per cent certain – that human influence caused more than half the temperature rises from 1951 to 2010, up from ‘very confident’ – 90 per cent certain – in 2007.
Prof Curry said: ‘This is incomprehensible to me’ – adding that the IPCC projections are ‘overconfident’, especially given the report’s admitted areas of doubt.
- the unwieldy and expensive IPCC assessment process has now run its course.
Climate change sceptics are more outspoken. Dr Benny Peiser, of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, described the leaked report as
- a ‘staggering concoction of confusion, speculation and sheer ignorance’.
.
The Mail on Sunday has also seen an earlier draft of the report, dated October last year. There are many striking differences between it and the current, ‘final’ version.
.
The 2012 draft makes no mention of the pause and, far from admitting that the Middle Ages were unusually warm, it states that today’s temperatures are the highest for at least 1,300 years, as it did in 2007. Prof Allen said the change ‘reflects greater uncertainty about what was happening around the last millennium but one’.
A further change in the new version is the first-ever scaling down of a crucial yardstick, the ‘equilibrium climate sensitivity’ – the extent to which the world is meant to warm each time CO2 levels double.
As things stand, the atmosphere is expected to have twice as much CO2 as in pre-industrial times by about 2050. In 2007, the IPCC said the ‘likeliest’ figure was 3C, with up to 4.5C still ‘likely’.
Now it does not give a ‘likeliest’ value and admits it is ‘likely’ it may be as little as 1.5C – so giving the world many more decades to work out how to reduce carbon emissions before temperatures rise to dangerous levels.
As a result of the warming pause, several recent peer-reviewed scientific studies have suggested that the true figure for the sensitivity is much lower than anyone – the IPCC included – previously thought: probably less than 2C.
Last night IPCC communications chief Jonathan Lynn refused to comment, saying the leaked report was ‘still a work in progress’.
The Met Office said it would examine the paper and respond in due course.”"
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“IPCC History,” IPCCfacts.org
“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established in 1988 by two United Nations Organizations, the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme to assess “the scientific, technical and socioeconomic information relevant for the understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change.” Review by experts and governments is an essential part of the IPCC process. For its first task, the IPCC was asked to prepare, based on available scientific information, a report on all aspects relevant to climate change and its impacts and to formulate realistic response strategies.
The first assessment report of the IPCC served as the basis for negotiating the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).”…
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Over 30 years ago the US began diverting taxpayer dollars in the name of climate terror–before UN IPCC even existed or most people had ever heard of climate science. It’s never been about anything except money. UN IPCC officials freely admit this.
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.““For over 25 years there have been federal programs directly or indirectly related to climate change.”
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12/14/2005, “Climate Change: Federal Expenditures for Science and Technology,” CongressionalResearch.com
.
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“Climate Change: Federal Expenditures for Science and Technology, “ Michael
M. Simpson, Specialist in Life Sciences, Resources, Science, and
Industry Division, John R. Justus, Specialist in Earth and Ocean
Sciences Resources, Science, and Industry Division, Congressional Research Service, ˜ The Library of Congress
.
“For over 25 years there have been federal programs directly or indirectly related to climate change. This report identifies and discusses direct climate-focused scientific and research programs of the federal government, as well as an array of energy programs that relate indirectly to climate change.”…
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