Contrary to scary 89% increase prediction, California hospitalizations decreased 14.2%, ICU patients decreased 22.7% in past month, 9/25-10/26, 14 day rolling averages

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Instead of “89% increase in hospitalizations,” Calif. government website rolling average shows 14.2% decrease in hospitalizations over past month, 9/25-10/26 and 22.7% decrease in ICU patients.

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Scary 89% media headlines as requested, eg, 9/25 LA Times and AP/KTLA:

9/25/20, “California COVID-19 hospitalizations could jump 89% in next month amid signs of coronavirus spread," LA Times, Alex Wigglesworth

California government official is “hopeful” that media will help spread the word about government’s “concern:"

“Today’s message is hopeful that all of you as reporters will help us communicate that indeed there is concern and we have the tools to reduce transmission,” Ghaly said.”

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9/25/20, “CA COVID-19 hospitalizations expected to jump 89% over next month amid signs of virus spread," AP via KTLA TV, Los Angeles

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Added: Calif. government Covid website rolling averages show 14.2% decrease in hospitalizations over past month, 9/25-10/26:

Oct. 27, 2020, “Tracking COVID-19 in California,” covid19.ca.gov

(scroll down): “Impact on hospitals and ICUs”

Confirmed and “suspected” COVID-19 hospitalizations in California:

Instead of 89% increase, a decrease of 14.2%:

3535: As of Sept. 25, 14 day rolling average of hospitalized patients

3033: As of Oct. 26, 14 day rolling average of hospitalized patients

Difference: 502 fewer hospitalized, Sept. 25-Oct. 26, 2020, a decrease of 14.2%.

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Added: Rolling average also shows 22.7% decrease in ICU patients over past month:

Confirmed “and suspected” Covid ICU patients:

Sept. 25, 2020: 14 day rolling average of ICU patients was 964

Oct. 26, 2020: 14 day rolling average of ICU patients was 745

Difference: 219 fewer ICU patients, Sept. 25-Oct. 26, 2020, a decrease of 22.7% ICU patients.

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