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10/6/19, “Don’t Bet on Republicans Saving Trump," Strategic Culture, Tom Luongo
(11 parags. from end): “Impeachment is a political process. The House will impeach Trump. That’s a given.
They want it. And they see it as a way to hurt him and gain the White
House. They know their field of candidates is terrible and this is the
Hail Mary to win.
But this is bigger than that. The shenanigans in Ukraine cut across so many different fiefdoms in the US government that a lot of people fear what happens if Trump isn’t removed from the White House.
So, when I do the calculus it is as follows. The Democrats have 47 votes in the Senate. They need 20 to find Trump guilty. The first five votes against him are easy: Mitt Romney, who is as implicated as Biden is over Burisma, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Lindsay Graham and Marco Rubio.
These are arch Neocons and are hopping mad at Trump for refusing to attack Iran for Israel.
Getting another 15 votes doesn’t really seem that hard does it?
Look, the GOP has not helped Trump one whit since he’s been President. They have left him to twist in the wind on every issue unless he’s backing more war and more military adventurism. That is the bottom line.
And if the calculus is that backing him means implicating themselves
and who they are beholden to Trump is toast, right or wrong.
The GOP has been nothing but an albatross around Trump’s neck from the beginning. They will very likely rollover here and allow Mike Pence to play the part of Gerald Ford against whoever the Democrats put up.
I’ve given Trump a lot of grief over his foreign policy and personnel choices because he’s deserved it. But, for all of his faults, his instincts about keeping the wars to a low simmer have held sway.
This tactic by his opponents reeks of desperation and cover up. It smells like a coup, no different than the Mueller investigation. When the stakes are this high it is better to expect the worst rather than the middle ground. Because as bad as Trump is he is far better than what comes next.”
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