Monday, March 14, 2016

Trump up 15 points in North Carolina in March 11-13, 2016 Public Policy Poll, leads Republican field at 44. 749 likely Republican primary voters. NC primary is Tues., March 15

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Trump 44
Cruz 33
Kasich 11
Rubio 7  
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Poll dates, March 11th to 13th, 2016. 749 likely Republican primary voters, 3.6 error margin. North Carolina GOP primary is Tues., March 15, 2016

3/13/16, "Trump Still Leads NC; Bond Likely To Pass," Public Policy Polling

"Way back on July 8th PPP released a North Carolina poll that was the first survey to find Donald Trump leading the Republican race anywhere in the country. 8 months later our final poll of the GOP race finds Trump primed to book end that first poll with a victory in the Tar Heel State. Trump is polling at 44% to 33% for Ted Cruz, 11% for John Kasich, and 7% for Marco Rubio.

Compared to a month ago Trump's support is up 15 points and Cruz's is up 14 points. Kasich's remained in place, and Rubio has seen his support collapse 9 points. Trump appears to already be building up a lead among early voters- he's at 46% to 38% for Cruz, 11% for Kasich, and 4% for Rubio. Among those planning to vote on election day Trump gets 43% to 32% for Cruz, 11% for Kasich, and 8% for Rubio....

One big thing Trump has going for him is that he has the most committed supporters. 89% of Trump voters say they'll definitely cast their ballots for him, compared to 84% of Cruz, 68% of Rubio, and 65% of Kasich supporters who say the same for their candidate....

Continuing the recent trend Rubio is now under water in his image with North Carolina Republicans as just 39% see him favorably to 48% who have a negative opinion....Full Results Here."

p. 3: "Public Policy Polling surveyed 749 likely Republican primary voters and 746 likely Democratic primary voters, from March 11th to 13th. The margin of error is +/-3.6% for both the Republicans and the Democrats. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel." 

 

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