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11/12/2020, “Exit polls show both familiar and new voting blocs sealed Biden’s win,” brookings.edu, William H. Frey
“2020’s exit polls indicate that in key Rust Belt and Sun Belt battlegrounds, Biden benefitted from lower Republican margins among some of the groups that handed Trump his 2016 victory.
Exit polls released by the national election consortium Edison Research (accessed November 11, 2020) allow for national- and state-level comparisons with those from 2016….
Take Arizona. It is a state that has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1996. While rapidly diversifying, its older white population has leaned heavily toward Republicans. This time was different; white college graduate women and men flipped sharply toward Democrats,
from 2016 Republican advantages of 2% [women] and 12% [men], respectively,
to 2020 Democratic advantages of 15% [women] and 3% [men].
Likewise, white noncollege men reduced their Republican support from 28% to 10%.
In addition, Arizona’s senior population flipped from Republican support to even Democratic-Republican support.
These shifts, as well as increased Democratic support among 18- to 29-year-olds and continued Democratic support from the state’s Latino or Hispanic voters, contributed to Biden’s vote gains in Arizona.”…
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Added: “The three crucial northern battlegrounds of both 2016 and 2020 are the relatively “white” states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Each one flipped for Biden this election.”…
In early October [2020], amid tight Midwestern races, Trump Campaign Manager Jared cancelled millions in tv ad buys in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. Trump lost all three of these states. The campaign had a surplus of $7 million after the election.
Image: Jared Kushner on Time cover, Jan. 16, 2020: “The Family Business: The Unusual Power of Jared Kushner”
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