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BBC, June 8, 2020:
“The [Imperial College] model also predicted that the outbreak would be nearly over by now [June 8, 2020] without lockdown, as so many people would have been infected” leading to herd immunity.…
More than seven in 10 people in the UK would have had Covid, leading to herd immunity and the virus no longer spreading.”…
June 8, 2020, “Coronavirus: Lockdowns in Europe saved millions of lives,” BBC,
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Added: Ohio, June 29, 2020: Physician in Ohio freely admits the obvious: that lockdowns don’t stop the virus or save lives, they merely guarantee a longer life for the virus:
Dr. Thomas File: “While the state [Ohio] “flattened the curve,” the move pushed out infections for a longer period of time. [Are “infections” the same as positive “cases?”]
“This is still the first wave as you might consider it,” said Dr. Thomas File, an infectious diseases expert from Summa Health and the Northeast Ohio Medical University….
The elderly, especially those in nursing homes, remain the most at-risk group. The average age of death is 81, according the ODH reports. And about 90 percent of deaths involve patients over 60 years old….
“Ohio closed down most businesses in mid to late March in an effort to spare hospitals from being inundated from the highly-contagious virus. DeWine started to lift the orders in May, in staggered phases.”…
June 29, 2020, “3News Investigates: The numbers behind Ohio’s COVID-19 case surge,” wkyc news, Cleveland, Ohio, Polansky, Trexler
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In a nutshell: By March 13, 2020 Trump had already planned 18 months of “emergency” government via 18 months of intermittent “lockdowns” and “multiple waves of illness:“
Added: On March 13, 2020, US released an 18 month Covid plan following findings of Imperial College London:
March 18, 2020, “U.S. Coronavirus Plan [published March 13] Warns Pandemic ‘Will Last 18 Months or Longer’,“ NY Mag., Matt Stieb
“On Friday [March 13]...the Department of Health and Human Services warned lawmakers that the pandemic “will last 18 months or longer” and that it could include “multiple waves of illness.” A copy of the unclassified 100-page report obtained by the New York Times also stated that “critical infrastructure and communications channels” between state and local governments “will be stressed and potentially less reliable.”…
The Trump administration’s solemn 18-month estimate is consistent with the recent findings of epidemiologists at Imperial College London, who determined that social distancing practices would need to be in effect “until a vaccine becomes available (potentially 18 months or more),” so that hospitals would not be inundated with cases in the interim.”
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Added: From US 18 month plan:
“PanCap Adapted US Government Covid-19 Response Plan,“ HHS
page 4, subhead, “Assumptions” [with lockdown], “slow the spread”
“2 . A pandemic will last 18 months or longer and could include multiple waves of illness.” [What is definition of “illness?” As everyone knows, if you for example “test positive” you may never experience “illness” or symptoms. This is especially so with a PCR test.]
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Added: More from US 18 month plan:
page 97 (page 100 pdf), subhead, “Definitions,” Mitigation”
“Mitigation – The Mitigation Phase, often referred to in CDC doctrine as community mitigation, leverages individual and community nonpharmaceutical interventions ( ) to help slow the spread of respiratory virus infections. Early, targeted, and layered use of multiple NPIs should be initiated early in a pandemic before local epidemics grow exponentially, be targeted toward those at the nexus of transmission (in affected areas where the novel virus circulates), and be layered together to reduce community transmission as much as possible. These include actions an individual or family can take, actions our healthcare system can take , and actions our community (schools , faith -based organizations, businesses ) can take. Examples of NPIs include voluntary home isolation of ill persons (staying home when ill); respiratory etiquette and hand hygiene; self-monitoring for illness and understanding homecare and knowing when to seek care; taking infection control measures when caring for patients who may be ill; telecommuting and remote-meeting options in workplaces; mass gathering modifications , postponements , or cancellations; and routine cleaning of frequently touched surfaces and objects in homes, child care facilities , schools, and workplaces.”
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