Tuesday, September 29, 2020

In 2015 Ivanka’s husband’s firm accepted $250 million credit line from convicted felon George Soros. A month before election day, Kushner’s company took out $370 million in new loans including a $285 million Deutsche Bank loan

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In 2015 Jared Kushner’s company accepted a $250 million line of credit from convicted felon George Soros. (paragraph 19 below)…In 2020 your choice is Biden or Ivanka's husband:It’s really up in the air whether two or four or whatever years of Biden is better or worse than four years of Jared.” May 25, 2020, Scott McConnell

May 3, 2017, “Trump Adviser Kushner’s Undisclosed Partners Include Goldman and Soros, Wall St. Journal, Jean Eaglesham, Juliet Chung, Lisa Schwartz

[“The Unusual Power of Jared Kushner,” Time cover, Jan. 16, 2020]

“Investments show ties to major finance and technology names.”

“Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law and senior adviser, is currently in business with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and billionaires George Soros and Peter Thiel, according to people familiar with the matter and securities filings.

The previously undisclosed business relationships with titans of the financial and technology worlds are through a real-estate tech startup called Cadre that Mr. Kushner cofounded and currently partly owns.

Goldman and Messrs. Soros and Thiel, as well as other billionaires’ firms, also have stakes in the company, which is based in a Manhattan building owned by the Kushner family’s company, according to people close to Cadre.

The Cadre stake is one of many interests–and ties to large financial institutions—that Mr. Kushner didn’t identify on his government financial-disclosure form, according to a Wall Street Journal review of securities and other filings. Others include loans totaling at least $1 billion, from more than 20 lenders, to properties and companies part-owned by Mr. Kushner, the Journal found.He has also provided personal guarantees on more than $300 million of the debt, according to the analysis.

In his disclosure form filed earlier this year, Mr. Kushner didn’t identify Cadre as among his hundreds of assets. The Journal identified his Cadre stake through a review of securities and other filings as well as interviews with people familiar with the company and Mr. Kushner’s finances.

Jamie Gorelick, a lawyer representing Mr. Kushner, said in a statement that his stake in Cadre is housed in a company he owns, BFPS Ventures LLC. His ownership of BFPS is reported on his disclosure form, although it doesn’t mention Cadre.

Ms. Gorelick said the Cadre stake is described in a revised version of his disclosure form that will be made public after it has been certified by ethics officials. She said Mr. Kushner has previously discussed his Cadre ownership with the Office of Government Ethics and that Mr. Kushner has “resigned from Cadre’s board, assigned his voting rights and reduced his ownership share.”

A spokesman for the Office of Government Ethics didn’t respond to a request to comment.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ms. Gorelick said it is “very normal” for a financial-disclosure form to be revised and that the form was prepared by Mr. Kushner’s lawyers on his behalf. A White House spokeswoman referred questions to Mr. Kushner’s lawyer.

Trevor Potter, a Republican former chairman of the Federal Election Commission, and other ethics experts said investments such as Mr. Kushner’s ownership of Cadre typically need to be disclosed. They said Mr. Kushner didn’t appear to violate disclosure rules by not publicly reporting his business-related debts and guarantees. But they said such arrangements ideally should be disclosed, in part because they could force Mr. Kushner to recuse himself from certain issues involving the lenders.

“Anything that presents a potential for the conflict of interest should be disclosed so that the public and the press can monitor this,” Mr. Potter said.

Ethics experts’ concern is that Mr. Kushner’s business connections could jeopardize his impartiality in certain areas and that, absent disclosures, the public is in the dark about potential conflicts.

Mr. Kushner’s rapidly expanding responsibilities range from working on a Middle East peace deal to making the federal government operate more efficiently. As a senior federal official, he is bound by ethics laws that require him to recuse himself from matters that would directly affect his financial interests.

Ms. Gorelick, who was deputy attorney general in former President Bill Clinton’s administration, said Mr. Kushner will “recuse consistent with government ethics rules.”

Mr. Kushner, the 36-year-old scion of a real-estate family, agreed with federal ethics officials to divest himself of more than 80 assets after he and his wife, Ivanka Trump, were hired by her father, President Donald Trump, as senior aides. White House officials have said some of the sales were needed to avoid potential conflicts between Mr. Kushner’s far-reaching job duties and his personal financial interests.

Mr. Kushner is retaining more than 200 other assets, worth a total of at least $116 million, according to his disclosures. These are mostly apartments and office blocks around the U.S. Like his father-in-law, he has declined to put these assets in a blind trust, which ethics experts regard as the cleanest way to avoid conflicts of interest. Someone close to Mr. Kushner said there are practical problems that made a blind trust not a realistic option.

Mr. Kushner co-founded Cadre in 2014 with his brother, Joshua Kushner, and Ryan Williams, a 29-year-old friend and former employee of Kushner Cos., the family-controlled business that Mr. Kushner ran until recently. Cadre markets properties to prospective investors, who can put their money into specific buildings or into an investment fund run by Cadre, which collects fees on each deal.

To get off the ground, Cadre turned to a Goldman Sachs fund and a number of high-profile investors. Among them were the venture-capital firms of Mr. Thiel, Silicon Valley’s most prominent supporter of the GOP president, and Vinod Khosla, a co-founder of Sun Microsystems Inc., according to Cadre’s website. Personal backers include Chinese entrepreneur David Yu, co-founder with Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s Jack Ma of a Shanghai-based private-equity firm, hedge-fund manager Daniel Och and real-estate magnate Barry Sternlicht, people close to Cadre said.

Cadre also secured a $250 million line of credit from the family office of Mr. Soros, a top Democratic donor who Mr. Trump [allegedly] criticized during his presidential campaign, the people close to the company said. Mr. Soros’s family office is also an investor in Cadre.

The investors declined or didn’t respond to requests for public comment on their backing of Cadre, but a person familiar with Mr. Soros’s family office said it had invested [in Kushner’s business] in early 2015 before Mr. Trump declared his presidential candidacy.

Cadre has solicited money from investors for several Kushner Cos. real-estate projects, according to information sent to prospective investors and reviewed by the Journal. Jared Kushner personally has stakes in some of the real-estate projects for which Cadre has raised money, according to Cadre documents and his disclosure form.

While Mr. Williams acts as the public face of Cadre, Mr. Kushner remains one of the owners, with the power to “influence the [firm’s] management or policies,” according to the latest public information on file with the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. Mr. Kushner’s company JCK Cadre LLC is shown as owning 25% to 50% of Quadro Partners Inc., which owns at least 75% of RealCadre LLC, which does business as Cadre. Mr. Kushner has reduced his ownership stake to less than 25%, his lawyer Ms. Gorelick said. [“Common stock and 35 investments had been sold to a trust overseen by Kushner’s mother, Seryl, with other assets going to his brother, Josh, and some more to third parties.]

Mr. Williams, chief executive of Cadre, said the company has been working with regulators to update its public filings to “reflect Jared’s nonoperational, nonmanagement relationship with the company, which has been in place since the inauguration.”

BFPS Ventures, the company that Mr. Kushner’s lawyer said holds his Cadre stake, is shown on his financial-disclosure form as owning unspecified New York real estate valued at more than $50 million. The form adds that “the conflicting assets of this interest have been divested.”

Beyond Cadre, some of the assets Mr. Kushner is holding on to are hard to pinpoint, partly because they are housed in entities with generic names such as “KC Dumbo Office,” according to the disclosure form.

The Journal matched many of the assets to specific real-estate investments. An analysis of the debts on those properties, using real-estate data services PropertyShark and Trepp LLC as well as property records, found ties to a broad swath of U.S. and foreign banks, private-equity firms, real-estate companies and government-owned lenders.

Lenders to Mr. Kushner, either directly or via properties he co-owns, include Bank of America Corp. , Blackstone Group LP, Citigroup Inc., UBS Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG and Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC. Royal Bank of Scotland didn’t respond to requests for comment; representatives of the other firms declined to comment.

Mr. Kushner will recuse himself from matters to which Deutsche Bank or RBS are parties because he has provided personal guarantees on their loans, said a person familiar with his ethics arrangement.”

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Added: 6/25/2017, Washington Post: Jared and his mother have a personal line of credit with Deutsche Bank worth up to $25 million. A month before election day, Kushner with brother Joshua received a $285 million refinancing loan form Deutsche Bank with only their personal guarantee as collateral. Also, “Kushner’s company took out $370 million in new loans in October 2016:”

June 25, 2017,Jared Kushner’s firm given $285 million Deutsche Bank loan just a month before Election Day,” Washington Post, Michael Kranish

One month before Election Day, Jared Kushner’s real estate company finalized a $285 million loan as part of a refinancing package for its property near Times Square in Manhattan….

The White House, in response to questions from The Post, said in a statement that Kushner “will recuse from any particular matter involving specific parties in which Deutsche Bank is a party.” Kushner and Deutsche Bank declined to comment….

The [$285 million] refinancing loan with Deutsche Bank is mentioned in documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission as part of a public offering of mortgage-backed securities. It states that Kushner and his brother, Joshua, “will be guarantors” under what was called a “nonrecourse carve-out.” Such guarantees require more than a loan default to kick in….The terms of the guarantee, which generally are not secured by collateral, are negotiated between lender and borrower….

The corporate loan and Kushner’s personal guarantee are not mentioned on his financial disclosure form, filed with the Office of Government Ethics. Blake Roberts, a lawyer who represented Kushner on the matter, said in a statement to The Post that Kushner’s form “does not list the loan guarantee” because the disclosure relied on “published guidance” from OGE that he said “clearly states that filers do not have to disclose as a liability a loan on which they have made a guarantee unless they have a present obligation to repay the loan.”

The Post sent the language cited by Kushner’s lawyer to Don Fox, a former general counsel and acting OGE director. After reviewing the wording, he said in an interview that he would have advised Kushner to disclose the personal guarantee of the $285 million corporate loan because of its size and possible implications….

[Don] Fox said in a follow-up email to The Post that even if OGE “advised there was no requirement to disclose,” he would not have argued that point but “I would have nonetheless recommended Jared over report in this instance given the magnitude of the contingency and the public interest in liabilities – actual and potential – to Deutsche Bank.”

Separately, Kushner disclosed that he and his mother have a personal line of credit with Deutsche Bank worth up to $25 million.

The Deutsche Bank deal was one of the last Kushner orchestrated before joining the White House. It is among the dozens of complex transactions that he was involved with during his decade in the real estate business.

Although Kushner divested some properties in an effort to address potential conflicts, he retains an interest in nearly 90 percent of his real estate properties, including the retail portion of the former New York Times headquarters, and holds personal debts and loan guarantees….

Kushner’s company took out $370 million in new loans in October 2016, giving it $74 million more than the purchase price a year earlier. Along with $285 million from Deutsche Bank, Kushner’s firm received $85 million from SL Green Realty.”…

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Added: May 9, 2017, CBS News: Some of Jared’s divested interests are in trust with his mother and brother: “His common stock and 35 investments had been sold to a trust overseen by Kushner’s mother, Seryl, with other assets going to his brother, Josh, and some more to third parties….Jared remains the beneficiary of family trusts worth $600 million to him and his wife, Ivanka.”

May 9, 2017, “Are Kushner family real estate assets a conflict for Jared?“ CBSNews.com, Larry Light

It remains murky just how much Kushner has rid himself of family-related assets. In a White House briefing on March 31, officials said Kushner had resigned from more than 266 entities and “divested from most of those that may have created a conflict of interest.“ A report in Politico said his common stock and 35 investments had been sold to a trust overseen by Kushner’s mother, Seryl, with other assets going to his brother, Josh, and some more to third parties.

Nevertheless, The New York Times reported on Monday that Jared remains the beneficiary of family trusts worth $600 million to him and his wife, Ivanka, the president’s daughter.

What’s to stop Kushner later, after he leaves the White House, from becoming a beneficiary again and rejoining Kushner Cos.? Apparently nothing, according to Richard Painter, the White House ethics lawyer under President George W. Bush. Painter, now a professor at the University of Minnesota Law School, said the assets Kushner shipped to the trust “belong to the family,” and so he can reclaim them in the future.”...


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End of mask penalties in Florida, Gov. DeSantis completely opens state as of Sept. 25, 2020, ends all restrictions on people and businesses, 6 months after “two weeks to flatten the curve,” with backing from academics Dr. Michael Levitt of Stanford, Dr. Martin Kulldorff of Harvard, and Dr. Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford

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He [Gov. DeSantis] spoke about how it was supposed to be two weeks to flatten the curve. Then it became 30 days."….Below, deaths in Florida as of 9/27/20, Dept. of Health, State of Florida. 40% of Covid deaths in Florida, 5721, took place in nursing homes.

No more fines, penalties, or prohibitions against any person or business for an alleged Covid related reason including masks. Florida 9/25 Executive Order

9/27/20, Emancipation From Lockdown in Florida,AIER, Jeffrey A. Tucker…………….

[Chart: Florida median age of Covid deaths is 79, through 9/27/20, Dept. of Health, State of Florida]

“Governor Ron DeSantis has proven it: it is actually possible for a politician to wise up and do the right thing. In a sweeping order announced September 25, the governor has opened up the entire economy. He has even limited the ability of local governments to impose more restrictions and collect fines for mask violations.

Inevitably, the announcement was decried by the lockdowners, even though, as the governor pointed out:

  • Covid+ hospitalizations have declined by 77% since the July peak.
  • Covid+ ICU hospitalizations have declined 72% since the July peak.
  • ED visits for Covid-like illness have declined by nearly 80% since the July peak.
  • Daily hospital admissions for Covid have declined by 81% since the July peak.
  • The percentage of positive diagnostic test results for new cases was reported at 4.32%.
  • 24% of hospital beds are empty; so are 23% of ICU beds.

Most impressively, the governor did this despite a trend in deaths that does not look particularly great. For this he is being blasted but it misses the point entirely. His actions were particularly brave, bold, and wise precisely because he didn’t wait for some magic turning point in the data to permit Floridians to exercise their rights and freedoms.

DeSantis came to the realization – as everyone should – that these freedom-crushing measures were not actually addressing the medical problem. The best hope for prevailing in a viral pandemic is the normal functioning of society so that the disease can be treated therapeutically rather than coercively.

That statement strikes me as incredibly obvious. But for politicians who imposed lockdowns, it’s a hard realization. They fear that opening up will just make them look stupid for having locked down in the first place. Many politicians around the country are keeping restrictions in place – despite no shred of evidence that they are saving lives – simply to save face. It’s become an exercise in ego management at this point.

The frustration in the governor’s voice was apparent in his press conference announcing the dramatic change. He spoke about how it was supposed to be two weeks to flatten the curve. Then it became 30 days. He didn’t specifically apologize for going along with all the gibberish back in the day but it did cast some serious doubt on whether any of this had ever been necessary.

He was later interviewed on the torrent of criticism. You can see that he has mastered the medical facts here, very much under the influence of some serious people who are calling for an immediate opening and a much wiser policy.

And here is the text of the executive order. [Posted below]

Very crucially, what made the difference here were three (at least) important academics: Michael Levitt of Stanford, Martin Kulldorff of Harvard, and Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford. They along with Sunetra Gupta (and Scott Atlas) have been intellectual leaders against the lockdown mania. The governor held an event in which these epidemiologists testified about the virus and the cruelty of lockdowns. 

Keep in mind that these intellectuals could easily have sat on the sidelines. They have tenure. They have prestige. They are comfortable. But watching the tremendous confusion sewn by bad policy [enacted by Trump based on an unverified UK computer model], disease panic, and confused experts such as Anthony Fauci caused them to go public with their own expertise. Their efforts broke the opinion monopoly and caused some much-needed rethinking.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

In other words, what they did required moral courage. And they have all paid a high price for doing so. In this highly politicized environment they have been accused (like Scott Atlas) of doing the bidding of the Trump administration, which is utterly ridiculous. Most serious scientists are apolitical or lean left. And this speaks to the true tragedy of our times: we [specifically] imposed a political solution on a medical problem and ended up creating a tremendous mess. Now trying to unravel that fake solution and pursue rational approaches is itself bound up in a political thicket.

In any case, today is a day for celebration. Under the influence of some courageous and brilliant intellectuals with a conscience, Florida has joined South Dakota and Indiana in the land of the living. Governor DeSantis has shown that it can be done, and that not all is lost.”

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Added: As of 9/27/20, 40% of Covid deaths in Florida, 5721, took place in nursing homes: Dept. of Health, State of Florida

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Added: Text of 9/25/20 State of Florida Executive Order:

“STATE OF FLORIDA OFFICE OF THE GOVERNOR EXECUTIVE ORDER NUMBER 20-244 (Phase 3; Right to Work; Business Certainty; Suspension of Fines.) WHEREAS, on March 9, 2020, I issued Executive Order 20-52 declaring a state of emergency for the entire State of Florida as a result of COVID-19; and WHEREAS, on April 29, 2020, I issued Executive Order 20-112 initiating Phase 1 of the Safe. Smart. Step-by-Step. Plan for Florida’s Recovery; and WHEREAS, on May 14, 2020, I issued Executive Order 20-123 for Full Phase 1; and WHEREAS, on June 3, 2020, I issued Executive Order 20-139 initiating Phase 2 of the Safe. Smart. Step-by-Step. Plan for Florida’ s Recovery. WHEREAS, the State of Florida has suffered economic harm as a result of COVID-19-related closures, exacerbating the impacts of the State of Emergency, and Floridians should not be prohibited by local governments from working or operating a business. NOW, THEREFORE, I, RON DESANTIS, as Governor of Florida, by virtue of the authority vested in me by Article IV, Section (l)(a) of the Florida Constitution and Chapter 252, Florida Statutes, and all other applicable laws, promulgate the following Executive Order:

Section I. Phase 3 This order supersedes and eliminates any and all restrictions of Executive Orders 20-112, 20-123 and 20-139, as well as Executive Orders 20-192, 20-214 and 20-223, except as modified herein.

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Section 3. Restaurants Pursuant to Chapter 252, including sections 252.36(5)(b ), (g) and (h), Florida Statutes, and in order to safeguard the economic vitality of this state, any restaurant may operate as set forth below. A. Restaurants, including any establishment with a food service license, may not be limited by a COVID-19 emergency order by any local government to less than fifty percent (50%) of their indoor capacity. If a restaurant is limited to less than one hundred percent (100%) of its indoor capacity, such COVID-19 emergency order must on its face satisfy the following: 1. quantify the economic impact of each limitation or requirement on those restaurants; and 11. explain why each limitation or requirement is necessary for public health. B. Nothing in this order preempts or supersedes a non-COVID-19 municipal or county order.
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Section 4. Suspension of COVID-19-related Individual Fines and Penalties This order, consistent with Executive Order 20-92, suspends the collection of fines and penalties associated with COVID-19 enforced upon individuals.
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Section. 5 Effective Date This order is effective immediately. IN TESTIMONY WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand and caused the Great Seal of the State of Florida to be affixed, at Tallahassee, this 25th day of September, 2020.”

Ron DeSantis, Governor”

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Added: More CDC graphs showing end of curves:

Above, US Covid deaths through 9/19/20, cdc.gov

Above, US deaths by age through August 15, 2020, cdc.gov

(I have link, will post when I find it. Couldn’t find it on CDC site. Susan)

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Added: On Nov. 15, 2018 Ron DeSantis was declared winner and new Governor of Florida by 33,684 votes. “The final tally, which will be certified next week was 4,075,879 for DeSantis and 4,042,195 for Gillum.”

 

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Ed. note: Images above weren't in AIER article, I added them. Susan

 

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Sunday, September 27, 2020

Without lockdowns, Covid would’ve ended by early June 2020, per Imperial College model-BBC, 6/8/20…Following Imperial College guidance, Trump planned Covid to last 18 months by using intermittent lockdowns-3/13/20 US 100 page plan

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BBC, June 8, 2020:

“The [Imperial College] model also predicted that the outbreak would be nearly over by now [June 8, 2020] without lockdown, as so many people would have been infected” leading to herd immunity.

More than seven in 10 people in the UK would have had Covid, leading to herd immunity and the virus no longer spreading.”…

June 8, 2020, “Coronavirus: Lockdowns in Europe saved millions of lives,” BBC,

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Added: Ohio, June 29, 2020: Physician in Ohio freely admits the obvious: that lockdowns don’t stop the virus or save lives, they merely guarantee a longer life for the virus:

Dr. Thomas File: “While the state [Ohio] “flattened the curve,” the move pushed out infections for a longer period of time. [Are “infections” the same as positive “cases?”]

“This is still the first wave as you might consider it,” said Dr. Thomas File, an infectious diseases expert from Summa Health and the Northeast Ohio Medical University….

The elderly, especially those in nursing homes, remain the most at-risk group. The average age of death is 81, according the ODH reports. And about 90 percent of deaths involve patients over 60 years old….

“Ohio closed down most businesses in mid to late March in an effort to spare hospitals from being inundated from the highly-contagious virus. DeWine started to lift the orders in May, in staggered phases.”…

June 29, 2020, “3News Investigates: The numbers behind Ohio’s COVID-19 case surge,” wkyc news, Cleveland, Ohio, Polansky, Trexler

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In a nutshell: By March 13, 2020 Trump had already planned 18 months of “emergency” government via 18 months of intermittent “lockdowns” and “multiple waves of illness:

Added: On March 13, 2020, US released an 18 month Covid plan following findings of Imperial College London:

US 100 page plan says Covid will last at least 18 months, require social distancing, no crowds, phased, layered openings:

March 18, 2020, “U.S. Coronavirus Plan [published March 13] Warns Pandemic ‘Will Last 18 Months or Longer’,“ NY Mag., Matt Stieb

On Friday [March 13]...the Department of Health and Human Services warned lawmakers that the pandemic “will last 18 months or longer” and that it could include multiple waves of illness. A copy of the unclassified 100-page report obtained by the New York Times also stated that “critical infrastructure and communications channels” between state and local governments “will be stressed and potentially less reliable.”…

The Trump administration’s solemn 18-month estimate is consistent with the recent findings of epidemiologists at Imperial College London, who determined that social distancing practices would need to be in effect “until a vaccine becomes available (potentially 18 months or more),” so that hospitals would not be inundated with cases in the interim.”

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Added: From US 18 month plan:

PanCap Adapted US Government Covid-19 Response Plan, HHS

page 4, subhead, “Assumptions” [with lockdown], “slow the spread”

“2 . A pandemic will last 18 months or longer and could include multiple waves of illness.[What is definition of “illness?” As everyone knows, if you for example “test positive” you may never experience “illness” or symptoms. This is especially so with a PCR test.]

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Added: More from US 18 month plan:

Telecommuting and remote-meeting options in workplaces; mass gathering modifications, postponements, or cancellations:”

page 97 (page 100 pdf), subhead, “Definitions,” Mitigation”

“MitigationThe Mitigation Phase, often referred to in CDC doctrine as community mitigation, leverages individual and community nonpharmaceutical interventions ( ) to help slow the spread of respiratory virus infections. Early, targeted, and layered use of multiple NPIs should be initiated early in a pandemic before local epidemics grow exponentially, be targeted toward those at the nexus of transmission (in affected areas where the novel virus circulates), and be layered together to reduce community transmission as much as possible. These include actions an individual or family can take, actions our healthcare system can take , and actions our community (schools , faith -based organizations, businesses ) can take. Examples of NPIs include voluntary home isolation of ill persons (staying home when ill); respiratory etiquette and hand hygiene; self-monitoring for illness and understanding homecare and knowing when to seek care; taking infection control measures when caring for patients who may be ill; telecommuting and remote-meeting options in workplaces; mass gathering modifications , postponements , or cancellations; and routine cleaning of frequently touched surfaces and objects in homes, child care facilities , schools, and workplaces.”

 

 

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Friday, September 25, 2020

Let their be no doubt. America’s potentates do not fear one pudgy orange-haired septuagenarian. They fear and loathe the millions of Americans who voted for him-Angelo Codevilla

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9/23/20,Revolution 2020," Angelo Codevilla, American Mind

“Our revolution is by the ruling class—a revolution from above. Crushing obstacles to its growing oligarchic rule is the proximate purpose. But the logic that drives the revolution aims at civilization itself….

The Logic of Hate….

In short, the Progressive ruling class’s intensifying efforts to oppress those they imagine to be their inferiors is not reversible. It is far less a choice of policy than it is the consequence of its awakening to its own identityawakening to the powers and privileges to which they imagine their superior worth entitles them. It is awakening to its deep resentment—indeed, to hate—for whoever does not submit preemptively.

Let there be no doubt: the ruling class’s focus on Donald Trump has been incidental. America’s potentates do not fear one pudgy orange-haired septuagenarian. They fear the millions of Americans whom they loathe, who voted for Trump, who gave his party control of House and Senate, and who will surely vote for folks these potentates really should fear….

This revolution’s logic leads to no logical end. That is because “the logic that drives each turn of our revolutionary spiral is Progressive Americans’ inherently insatiable desire to exercise their superiority over those they deem inferior.” Its force, I observed, “comes not from the substance of the Progressives’ demands,” but rather “from that which moves, changes, and multiplies their demands without end. That is the Progressives’ affirmation of superior worth, to be pursued by exercising dominance: superior identity affirmed via the inferior’s humiliation.” Affirmation of one’s own superiority by punishing inferiors is an addictive pleasure. It requires ever stronger, purer doses of infliction, and is inherently beyond satisfaction.”…

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Comment: This perfectly describes the Bush family. They eventually made no attempt to hide their deep hatred of us: “Its deep resentment—indeed, to hate—for whoever does not submit preemptively.” They’re about to explode with rage that we haven’t submitted preemptively.

 

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President of China says his country will aim to stop adding to the global warming problem by 2060. Xi Jinping made the announcement in a speech to UN General Assembly-KTLA TV

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 9/22/20,Chinese President Xi Jinping says his country will aim to stop adding to the global warming problem by 2060,” KTLA TV, Los Angeles, KTLA Twitter

Above, 9/22/20, Chinese President Xi Jinping says his country will aim to stop adding to the global warming problem by 2060. Xi’s announcement during a speech Tuesday to the U.N. General Assembly,” KTLA TV, Los Angeles, KTLA twitter

 

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UK computer modeler, Knight of the British Empire, and author of global lockdown, Neil Ferguson, also advises US government, per his bio at UK gov. advisory group Nervtag

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Prof. Ferguson advises the UK and US governments, WHO and the EU on emerging infections and modelling.”

New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group

“The New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (NERVTAG) advises the government on the threat posed by new and emerging respiratory viruses.”

Nervtag bios, as of Sept. 25, 2020

“Neil Ferguson is director of the MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling and the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit for Modelling Methodology. He uses mathematical and statistical models to investigate the processes shaping infectious disease pathogenesis, evolution and transmission. His recent work has focused on the use of models as contingency planning tools for emerging human infections (notably Ebola and pandemic influenza), bioterrorist threats and livestock outbreaks, though he also undertakes research on the dynamics and control of vector-borne diseases (dengue, yellow fever and malaria) and pathogen evolution. He was educated at Oxford University where he also undertook postdoctoral research, then held a readership at the University of Nottingham before moving to Imperial College. Professor Ferguson is a Senior Investigator of the National Institute of Health Research, a Fellow of the UK Academy of Medical Sciences and received an OBE [Order of the British Empire] for his work on the 2001 UK foot and mouth disease epidemic. Prof Ferguson advises the UK and US governments, WHO and the EU on emerging infections and modelling.”

Above, screen shot of Neil Ferguson bio at Nervtag.

Above, 4/12/20, “The full horrifying scale of the 2001 foot and mouth outbreak told by the Welsh farmers in the middle of it,“ walesonline.co.uk, Anna Lewis…Neil Ferguson’s 2001 computer models said the only option was slaughter. British establishment had its mind set on mass slaughter of millions of healthy animals.Lest We Forget,John Brignell, 2004

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Current Nervtag members are:

“Professor Peter Horby (Chair): University of Oxford

Professor Wendy Barclay: Imperial College London

Professor John Edmunds: London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Professor Neil Ferguson: Medical Research Council, Imperial College London

Professor Andrew Hayward: University College London

Dr Benjamin Killingley: University College London Hospital NHS Trust

Professor Wei Shen Lim: Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust

Dr Jim McMenamin: Health Protection Scotland

Professor Peter Openshaw: Imperial College London

Professor Malcolm Semple: University of Liverpool

Professor Robert Dingwall: Dingwall Enterprises Ltd. and Nottingham Trent University

Dr James Rubin: Kings College London

Dr Cariad Evans: Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust

Dr Chloe Sellwood: Co-opted Member, NHS England

Professor Ian Brown: Co-opted Member, Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA)”

NERVTAG: member biographies (PDF63.4KB5 pages)

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Added: Computer models have become a substitute for science which takes much longer and costs much more:

Lest We Forget,2004, John Brignell, numberwatch.co.uk

“It is relevant at this point to comment on the touching faith that politicians and the media have in computer models. It is generally true to say that most large computer models are not worth the magnetic oxide they are written on, and I say that as one who has been computer modelling for well over 40 years. Often they are written in the glaring absence of knowledge of the fundamental interactions on which they ought to depend. A notorious case is the climate models that predicted catastrophic global warming, when almost nothing was known about the mechanisms that control the climate. In the case of FMD [Foot and Mouth Disease], they did not even know how the disease was carried. It could be on the wind, on the wheels of vehicles or the soles of boots, in the throats of human beings or any combination of these and others.

Computer modelling has a number of attractions for academics. It does not need the resources that experimental science demands; nor does it need the long hours of careful attention required for research by measurement. In just a few hours you can create a model, just a computer program, which is so complex that no outsider can hope to unravel it. You can build in many assumptions that might well be unjustifiable under independent examination. Furthermore, the human unconscious is a mischievous influence that can produce the desired results, even for those who are not deliberately cheating. 

In the same few hours you can produce beautiful graphs and tables, the like of which would take months in experimental science, but which are so convincing to laymen and particularly politicians and bureaucrats. This is a point so important that it is worth an interlude of its own.”…

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Added: A 2006 academic study criticised Ferguson’s 2001 models calling for urgent slaughter of millions of healthy animals as “not fit for purpose.(page 9) The critique also described a febrile atmosphere [in 2001]–reminiscent of recent weeks [in 2020]– and claimed that this allowed [government selected] mathematical modellers to shape government policy.”...

March 28, 2020, Professor Neil Ferguson predicted Britain was on course to lose 250,000 lives during the coronavirus epidemic,” UK Telegraph

“His [Neil Ferguson’s] research is said to have convinced Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his advisors to introduce the lockdown.

However, it has now emerged that Ferguson has been criticised in the past for making predictions based on allegedly faulty assumptions which nevertheless shaped government strategies and impacted the UK economy.

He [Ferguson] was behind disputed research that sparked the mass culling of farm animals during the 2001 epidemic of foot and mouth disease, a crisis which cost the country billions of pounds….

Mr Ferguson’s [2001] foot and mouth disease (FMD) research has been the focus of two highly critical academic papers [one in 2006 and one in 2011 peer reviewed in Science] which identified allegedly problematic assumptions in his mathematical modelling.”…

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Added: Neil Ferguson’s unvalidated predictive models resulted in the brutal slaughter of millions of healthy animals:

From 2006 Abstract, Kitching, Thrusfield and Taylor:

During the 2001 epidemic of FMD in the United Kingdom (UK), this approach [killing infected animals] was supplemented by a culling policy driven by unvalidated predictive models. The epidemic and its control resulted in the death of approximately ten million animals, public disgust with the magnitude of the slaughter….Page 6: “In fact, the epidemic peak preceded the start of pre-emptive contiguous culling.It was carnage by computer(9, 84). This graphically exemplifies the isolation and abstraction of armchair epidemiology’….(75)….Page 6: Modelling and scientific method:” The disparity between the course of the 2001 epidemic and the model predictions demands an explanation.The numerical output of models has an air of intellectual superiority…while also seeming entirely appropriate in a society where numbers can ‘…reassure by appearing to extend control, precision and knowledge beyond their real limitswrong numbers, one might add, are worst of all because all numbers pose as true’ (11). Numbers, therefore, may convey an illusion of certainty and security that is not warranted (43);…A model constitutes a theory, and a predictive model is therefore only a theoretical projection.…The degree of confidence in the 2001 predictive models is therefore low because they were not widely tested, and their conclusions (e.g. that pre-emptive contiguous culling was necessary to control the epidemic) have been refuted….The key question for any model is whether decisions made with it are more correct than those made without it (17). However, the consequences of following the recommendations of these [2001] models were severe: economically, in terms of cost to the country; socially, in terms of misery and even suicides among those involved in the slaughter programme; and scientifically, in the abuse of predictive models, and their

possible ultimate adverse effects on disease control policy in the future.”[Such as 2020].

Below, slaughter ordered by Neil Ferguson. The Queen was so delighted by Ferguson’s work that in 2002 she awarded him an OBE [Order of the British Empire] for his 2001 efforts. Since the US likes crimes against humanity, they hired Ferguson too, per Ferguson’s Nervtag bio: “Prof Ferguson advises the UK and US governments, WHO and the EU on emerging infections and modelling.”

.Two images above, April 12, 2020, “The full horrifying scale of the 2001 foot and mouth outbreak told by the Welsh farmers in the middle of it,“ walesonline.co.uk, Anna Lewis 

Image above, April 13, 2001, “Scientists back rapid slaughter policy,” BBC, No alternative this time around, say scientists.”

Image above, May 30, 2001, “100 days of Foot and Mouth,” BBC

Image above, 4/4/2001, “Animal disposal row intensifies,” BBC…[As someone said, “this time we’re the cattle.”

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