Saturday, January 12, 2013

Todd J. Gillman of Dallas Morning News sees gov. '2012 hottest year' as proof of needed 'action' via 'prescriptions.' But US gov. report made no mention of CO2, man made emissions, or even climate change. Even if it had, does Gillman deny science of huge US CO2 plunge that's headed lower?

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1/11/13, "House Science Chairman Lamar Smith puts climate change assessment on agenda," Dallas Morning News, TrailBlazersBlog, Todd J. Gillman, reporter

"With federal scientists reporting this week that 2012 was the hottest year on record for the contiguous United States, by far, 

climate scientists and environmentalists have been abuzz

with talk of a need for 

action. 

House Republicans, in particular, have fiercely resisted many of the 

suggested prescriptions."....

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The US government has enormous financial interest in seeing that 'climate' terror continues. Even so, the 2012 US 'hottest' report about a small portion of the planet makes no mention of carbon dioxide or of man made emissions and doesn't state that US humans caused alleged high US temperatures or that US humans could fix alleged high temperatures. Why do you cite the report as proof that "action" is needed and proven cures are available via "prescription?" Even if what you suggest is true, it's already been done. It's common knowledge that US leads the world in lowering CO2 emissions. US CO2 has dropped steadily for 20 years and is heading lower to the point experts say US energy policy will change to reflect reduced status of US CO2 danger (citations follow):

1/9/13, 2012 was warmest year ever recorded in USA, UK Register, by Simon Sharwood

Earth’s surface area is 510 million km2, but the State of the Climate report from the USA’s National Climatic Data Center at the nation’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says the 
contiguous USA’s 7.664 million km2

experienced its hottest year ever recorded during 2012, which it also ranked the second most “extreme” for weather events. The report, available here, is a dispassionate document that adumbrates plenty of data but doesn’t offer deep links to more detailed information.

Nor does the report contain

the phrase “climate change”, any

mention of anthropogenic emissions or

carbon dioxide….

The report is silent on why 2012 produced the weather it records. 
The few mentions of large-scale climate phenomena


dispassionately report observations about them during 2012 and



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6/4/12, “Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,” Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage



 


“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.

Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American’s CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 --

over half a century ago. …Coal is the number two source of CO2 for Americans. Today the average American burns an amount similar to what they did in 1955, and even less than they did in the 1940s. …It is exactly America’s historical role of biggest and dirtiest that makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy



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"Virtually everyone believes the shift (CO2 drop) could have major long-term implications for U.S. energy policy.”…
 
8/16/12, “AP IMPACT: CO2 emissions in US drop to 20-year low,” AP, Kevin Begos

In a surprising turnaround, the amount of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere in the U.S. has fallen dramatically to its lowest level in 20 years, and government officials say the biggest reason is that cheap and plentiful natural gas has led many power plant operators to switch from dirtier-burning coal.

Many of the world’s leading climate scientists didn’t see the drop coming, in large part because it happened as a result of market forces rather than direct government action against carbon dioxide."...


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Mr. Gillman, news of US CO2 plunge has been described as:
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Mr. Gillman, the large nearby land mass of Alaska has cooled in the past decade:

2012, The First Decade of the New Century: A Cooling Trend for Most of Alaska," G. Wendler*, L. Chen and B. Moore 

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 1/15/11, "Recession Special: Cleaner Air," NY Times, Matthew Wald

"What the government has not mandated, the economy is doing on its own: emissions of global warming gases in the United States are down.


According to the Energy Department, carbon dioxide emissions peaked in this country in 2005 and will not reach that level again until the early 2020s."...


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Mr. Gillman, other countries’ CO2 hasn’t dropped despite hundreds of billions spent on cap and trade and extra taxes. This isn’t to say the US government hasn’t become business partners with the ‘climate’ industry. 

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7/7/09, “(Lisa) Jackson Confirms EPA Chart Showing No Effect on Climate Without China, India,” US Senate, EPW

“EPA Administrator Jackson confirmed an EPA analysis showing that unilateral U.S. action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions would have no effect on climate….“I believe the central parts of the [EPA] chart are that U.S. action alone will not impact world CO2 levels,” Administrator Jackson said.”…


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Mr. Gillman, the US '2012 hottest' report has a scary 'century drought' prediction using discredited Palmer Drought data noted as such in Nov. 2012 Nature Magazine study. Palmer data is not reliable for long term estimates:

2012 'hot' report: 1/11/13, "The projections are derived from the Palmer Drought Severity Index."...

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11/19/12, "“We’ve known for quite a long time that the PDSI calculation is prone to problems dealing with climate change,” added Columbia University drought and climate researcher Richard Seager."...(more from this article below)
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1/11/13, "America, Prepare For A Century Of Drought," Business Insider, Rob Wile

"Corn and wheat prices surged today.  The immediate reason appeared to be the year-end USDA report, that showed supplies were lower than projected.
 

But concurrent with that report was the release of the Commerce Department's National Climate Assessment Development Advisory Committee National Climate Assessment survey.
 

One of the findings: we can expect up to a century of drought. Here's a chart from the report projecting percent of the country in drought conditions in the coming years.

The red line is based on observed temperature and precipitation. The blue line is from the average of 19 different climate models. The gray lines in the background are individual results from over 70 different simulations from these models. 
 
The projections are derived from the Palmer Drought Severity Index, one of the most widely used measure of drought, the report says.
 
"These results suggest an increasing probability of drought over this century 

throughout most of the U.S.," the committee says. "Droughts have become more frequent and intense in some regions, and confidence is that these trends are projected to continue." chart NOAA via Bus. Insider

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11/19/12, "Study: Drought Trends, Estimates Possibly Overstated Due To Inaccurate Science," washington.cbslocal.com

"An index frequently used by scientists to predict drought trends – trends whose increased frequency and intensity were blamed on global warming – may have been misused, resulting in possibly inaccurate findings.

The Palmer Drought Severity Index is primarily used by scientists to keep track of short-term drought trends. Researchers at Princeton University have now found that the index may not properly reflect what’s to come.

[C]alculations of the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) show a decrease in moisture globally since the 1970s with a commensurate increase in the area in drought that is attributed, in part, to global warming,” the published paper states. “The simplicity of the PDSI, which is calculated from a simple water-balance model forced by monthly precipitation and temperature data, makes it an attractive tool in large-scale drought assessments,  


but may give biased results in the context of climate change.”

The findings were published Thursday in the journal Nature, whose offices are located in Washington, D.C.

Study co-author Eric Wood, who also serves as a professor of civil and environmental engineering at Princeton University, was quoted as saying that the results make it seem as though “it will never rain again,” according to the Christian Science Monitor.

Wood authored the paper with another Princeton University researcher, Justin Sheffield.
 

The PDSI is reportedly the source from which drought maps are made – usually colored in brown, red or yellow, depending on drought severity.

The Christian Science Monitor learned from Wood that the PDSI was not intended to track long-term trends, and that its simplicity may lead to skewed results when applied to future times.

We’ve known for quite a long time that the PDSI calculation is
prone to problems dealing with climate change,” added Columbia University drought and climate researcher Richard Seager to the website. “Rising temperatures drive it haywire.”


The study noted in Nature that “[m]ore realistic calculations, based on the underlying physical principles that take into account changes in available energy, humidity and wind speed, suggest that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years."  

 
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Mr. Gillman, civilized people care about clean air, clean water, and preserving our environment. That's something entirely different from claiming CO2 is destroying the planet. And it's a monstrous crime that fortunes have been made selling this idea. Some became very wealthy doing it while causing unspeakable suffering and hardship for millions of others. People like you want that unspeakable suffering to continue



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