The scary looking NOAA graph in the article is titled “Extreme drought in the US and Mexico.” It doesn’t give a separate reading for each country. NOAA’s drought predictions using Palmer are invalid to begin with, but combining the US with Mexico isn’t helpful unless you want a scary looking graph to show the Zetas. The Zetas control the coal business and the atmosphere in Northern Mexico. Is the Sierra Club going to march on the Zetas and demand legislation?
1/11/13, “America, Prepare For A Century Of Drought,“ Business Insider, Ron Wile
“Corn and wheat prices surged today. The immediate reason appeared to be the year-end USDA report, that showed supplies were lower than projected.
But concurrent with that report was the release of the Commerce Department’s National Climate Assessment Development Advisory Committee National Climate Assessment survey.
One of the findings: we can expect up to a century of drought.
Here’s a chart from the report projecting percent of the country in drought conditions in the coming years.
Commerce/NOAA
The red line is based on observed temperature and precipitation. The blue line is from the average of 19 different climate models. The gray lines in the background are individual results from over 70 different simulations from these models.
The projections are derived from the Palmer Drought Severity Index,
one of the most widely used measure of drought, the report says.
“These results suggest an increasing probability of drought over this century throughout most of the U.S.,” the committee says. “Droughts have become more frequent and intense in some regions, and confidence is that these trends are projected to continue.“”
===============================
Palmer index not reliable for long term predictions:
11/19/12, “Study: Drought Trends, Estimates Possibly Overstated Due To Inaccurate Science,” washington.cbslocal.com
“An index frequently used by scientists to predict drought trends – trends whose increased frequency and intensity were blamed on global warming – may have been misused, resulting in possibly inaccurate findings.
The Palmer Drought Severity Index is primarily used by scientists to keep track of short-term drought trends. Researchers at Princeton University have now found that the index may not properly reflect what’s to come.
The findings were published Thursday in the journal Nature, whose offices are located in Washington, D.C.
Study co-author Eric Wood, who also serves as a professor of civil and environmental engineering at Princeton University, was quoted as saying that the results make it seem as though “it will never rain again,” according to the Christian Science Monitor.
Wood authored the paper with another Princeton University researcher, Justin Sheffield.
The Christian Science Monitor learned from Wood that the PDSI was not intended to track long-term trends, and that its simplicity may lead to skewed results when applied to future times.
“We’ve known for quite a long time that the PDSI calculation is
prone to problems dealing with climate change,” added Columbia University drought and climate researcher Richard Seager to the website. “Rising temperatures drive it haywire.”
The study noted in Nature that “[m]ore realistic calculations, based on the underlying physical principles that take into account changes in available energy, humidity and wind speed, suggest that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years.”
=====================================
Excerpt from Nature stating no change in global drought in past 60 years and that Palmer index isn’t reliable for long term predictions:
11/15/12, “Little change in global drought over the past 60 years,” Nature, Justin Sheffield, Eric F. Wood & Michael L. Roderick
“Here we show that the previously reported increase in global drought is overestimated because the PDSI uses a simplified model of potential evaporation7 that responds only to changes in temperature and thus responds incorrectly to global warming in recent decades. More realistic calculations, based on the underlying physical principles8 that take into account changes in available energy, humidity and wind speed, suggest that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years. The results have implications for how we interpret the impact of global warming on the hydrological cycle and its extremes, and may help to explain why palaeoclimate drought reconstructions based on tree-ring data diverge from the PDSI-based drought record in recent years9, 10.”…
—————————————————————–
The NOAA drought graph cites “US and Mexico“ together, which along with the fact that Palmer data is invalid makes the graph doubly misleading. No data accompanies the graph breaking down each country separately. Yet the Sierra Club plans a march on Washington to demand federal legislation based in part on this graph. We have no control over Mexico. The Mexican government has no control over Mexico. The entire country including its coal mining operations is run by drug gangs and organized crime. It’s an understatement to say Mexico doesn’t have the same rules regulating coal plants that the US does. Emissions from Northern Mexico’s unregulated coal plants flow into the US. Doesn’t NOAA have enough money to measure the US and Mexico separately? Or is their point just to have a scary graph which will trigger “a march on Washington to demand action from Obama?”
====================================
Zeta cartel has long been in Mexican coal mining:
11/20/12, “Mexican Drug Cartel Diversifies…to Coal,“ allgov.com, Noel Brinkerhoff, David Wallechinsky
“Drug lords in Mexico have discovered a legal way to make money, albeit while still keeping their hands dirty: coal.
The Zetas drug cartel is now selling millions of dollars worth of coal each year in northern Mexico, across the border from Texas. This relatively legitimate business
allows the cartel to launder money gained from drug trafficking.
In Coahuila state, which produces 95% of Mexico’s coal, the cartel produces or buys 10,000 tons of coal a week and sells it to the Mexican government at inflated prices, earning $22 million to $25 million annually.
“The Zetas are the first Mexican cartel to diversify from drugs into other areas,” Tomas Borges, author of a book on the cartels, told Agence France-Presse. Raul Vera, bishop of Coahuila’s capital Saltillo, says that
the Zetas have been mining coal illegally for years.”
===================================
1/28/13, “Mexico Investigates Mining Ties to Organized Crime,” InsightCrime.org, Edward Fox
“Citing links to organized crime, the Attorney General’s Office (PGR) in Mexico has frozen the accounts of 12 mining companies so far this year, underscoring how criminal groups may be moving to diversify their criminal portfolios.
El Siglo de Torreon reported on January 25 that investigations into the possible drug trafficking ties of mining companies in Coahuila state were underway. The 12 businesses are also
The red line is based on observed temperature and precipitation. The blue line is from the average of 19 different climate models. The gray lines in the background are individual results from over 70 different simulations from these models.
The projections are derived from the Palmer Drought Severity Index,
one of the most widely used measure of drought, the report says.
“These results suggest an increasing probability of drought over this century throughout most of the U.S.,” the committee says. “Droughts have become more frequent and intense in some regions, and confidence is that these trends are projected to continue.“”
===============================
Palmer index not reliable for long term predictions:
11/19/12, “Study: Drought Trends, Estimates Possibly Overstated Due To Inaccurate Science,” washington.cbslocal.com
“An index frequently used by scientists to predict drought trends – trends whose increased frequency and intensity were blamed on global warming – may have been misused, resulting in possibly inaccurate findings.
The Palmer Drought Severity Index is primarily used by scientists to keep track of short-term drought trends. Researchers at Princeton University have now found that the index may not properly reflect what’s to come.
The findings were published Thursday in the journal Nature, whose offices are located in Washington, D.C.
Study co-author Eric Wood, who also serves as a professor of civil and environmental engineering at Princeton University, was quoted as saying that the results make it seem as though “it will never rain again,” according to the Christian Science Monitor.
Wood authored the paper with another Princeton University researcher, Justin Sheffield.
The Christian Science Monitor learned from Wood that the PDSI was not intended to track long-term trends, and that its simplicity may lead to skewed results when applied to future times.
“We’ve known for quite a long time that the PDSI calculation is
prone to problems dealing with climate change,” added Columbia University drought and climate researcher Richard Seager to the website. “Rising temperatures drive it haywire.”
The study noted in Nature that “[m]ore realistic calculations, based on the underlying physical principles that take into account changes in available energy, humidity and wind speed, suggest that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years.”
=====================================
Excerpt from Nature stating no change in global drought in past 60 years and that Palmer index isn’t reliable for long term predictions:
11/15/12, “Little change in global drought over the past 60 years,” Nature, Justin Sheffield, Eric F. Wood & Michael L. Roderick
“Here we show that the previously reported increase in global drought is overestimated because the PDSI uses a simplified model of potential evaporation7 that responds only to changes in temperature and thus responds incorrectly to global warming in recent decades. More realistic calculations, based on the underlying physical principles8 that take into account changes in available energy, humidity and wind speed, suggest that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years. The results have implications for how we interpret the impact of global warming on the hydrological cycle and its extremes, and may help to explain why palaeoclimate drought reconstructions based on tree-ring data diverge from the PDSI-based drought record in recent years9, 10.”…
—————————————————————–
The NOAA drought graph cites “US and Mexico“ together, which along with the fact that Palmer data is invalid makes the graph doubly misleading. No data accompanies the graph breaking down each country separately. Yet the Sierra Club plans a march on Washington to demand federal legislation based in part on this graph. We have no control over Mexico. The Mexican government has no control over Mexico. The entire country including its coal mining operations is run by drug gangs and organized crime. It’s an understatement to say Mexico doesn’t have the same rules regulating coal plants that the US does. Emissions from Northern Mexico’s unregulated coal plants flow into the US. Doesn’t NOAA have enough money to measure the US and Mexico separately? Or is their point just to have a scary graph which will trigger “a march on Washington to demand action from Obama?”
====================================
Zeta cartel has long been in Mexican coal mining:
11/20/12, “Mexican Drug Cartel Diversifies…to Coal,“ allgov.com, Noel Brinkerhoff, David Wallechinsky
“Drug lords in Mexico have discovered a legal way to make money, albeit while still keeping their hands dirty: coal.
The Zetas drug cartel is now selling millions of dollars worth of coal each year in northern Mexico, across the border from Texas. This relatively legitimate business
allows the cartel to launder money gained from drug trafficking.
In Coahuila state, which produces 95% of Mexico’s coal, the cartel produces or buys 10,000 tons of coal a week and sells it to the Mexican government at inflated prices, earning $22 million to $25 million annually.
“The Zetas are the first Mexican cartel to diversify from drugs into other areas,” Tomas Borges, author of a book on the cartels, told Agence France-Presse. Raul Vera, bishop of Coahuila’s capital Saltillo, says that
the Zetas have been mining coal illegally for years.”
===================================
1/28/13, “Mexico Investigates Mining Ties to Organized Crime,” InsightCrime.org, Edward Fox
“Citing links to organized crime, the Attorney General’s Office (PGR) in Mexico has frozen the accounts of 12 mining companies so far this year, underscoring how criminal groups may be moving to diversify their criminal portfolios.
El Siglo de Torreon reported on January 25 that investigations into the possible drug trafficking ties of mining companies in Coahuila state were underway. The 12 businesses are also
being investigated for money laundering, tax evasion and breach of federal regulations.
According to Justice in Mexico, Coahuila is Mexico‘s biggest mining state and a key producer of coal; the state supplies Mexico‘s Federal Electricity Commission with over 3 million tons of coal annually.
As Justice in Mexico notes, the allegations of organized crime ties to mining in Coahuila state first emerged in October last year when the state’s former governor, Humberto Moreira, declared that the then recently killed leader of the Zetas, Humberto Lazcano, alias “Z-3,” had run coal mining operations there. Details on the current investigations have not been released, so it is unknown if any of the companies under investigation are suspected of ties to the Zetas.
As well as allegations of running their own mining operations, Mexico‘s criminal groups — among them the Gulf Cartel and Knights Templar — have been accused of extorting mines, charging them up to $37,000 a month for the right to operate in the gang’s territory.”…
====================================
5/4/11, “Mexico coal mine explosion: 14 miners trapped,” “A gas explosion in a coal mine in Mexico has trapped 14 miners and injured another in northern Coahuila state near the US border.“ UK Telegraph
====================================
9/11/06, “Mexico’s Mine Crisis: Tiny coal mines escape inspections,” (Pittsburgh) Post-gazette.com, Jerome L. Sherman
According to Justice in Mexico, Coahuila is Mexico‘s biggest mining state and a key producer of coal; the state supplies Mexico‘s Federal Electricity Commission with over 3 million tons of coal annually.
As Justice in Mexico notes, the allegations of organized crime ties to mining in Coahuila state first emerged in October last year when the state’s former governor, Humberto Moreira, declared that the then recently killed leader of the Zetas, Humberto Lazcano, alias “Z-3,” had run coal mining operations there. Details on the current investigations have not been released, so it is unknown if any of the companies under investigation are suspected of ties to the Zetas.
As well as allegations of running their own mining operations, Mexico‘s criminal groups — among them the Gulf Cartel and Knights Templar — have been accused of extorting mines, charging them up to $37,000 a month for the right to operate in the gang’s territory.”…
====================================
5/4/11, “Mexico coal mine explosion: 14 miners trapped,” “A gas explosion in a coal mine in Mexico has trapped 14 miners and injured another in northern Coahuila state near the US border.“ UK Telegraph
====================================
9/11/06, “Mexico’s Mine Crisis: Tiny coal mines escape inspections,” (Pittsburgh) Post-gazette.com, Jerome L. Sherman
====================================
Sierra Club and Bloomberg act on bad or non-existent science (alleged drought above) and ignore real science of US stunning CO2 plunge that’s heading even lower, and that the real problem lies outside the US:
6/4/12, “Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,” Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage
“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.…
Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American’s CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 --over half a century ago. …Coal is the number two source of CO2 for Americans.
Today the average American burns an amount similar to what they did in 1955, and even less than they did in the 1940s. …
It is exactly America’s historical role of biggest and dirtiest that
makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy and potentially
game changing at the global level.”...
——————————————–
6/22/12, “U.S. cuts greenhouse gases despite do-nothing Congress,” CNN, Steve Hargreaves
==========================
.
“As we note below in a new article for Yale360, a funny thing happened: U.S. emissions started going down in 2005 and are expected to decline further over the next decade.”
“What the government has not mandated, the economy is doing on its own: emissions of global warming gases in the United States are down.
According to the Energy Department, carbon dioxide emissions peaked in this country in 2005 and will not reach that level again until the early 2020s.”…
——————————————————-
News of US CO2 plunge has been described as:
1/11/11, “Big Money in Climate Change: Who Gives, Who Gets,” Al Fin
—————————————–
In 2011 alone the US spent “$10.6 million (taxpayer dollars) a day to study, combat, and educate about climate change.” 1/5/11
-----------------------------------------
Cap and Trade is a massive failure:
11/23/11, “Europe’s $287 billion carbon ‘waste’: UBS report,“ The Australian, by Sid Maher
“SWISS banking giant UBS says the European Union’s emissions trading scheme has cost the continent’s consumers $287 billion for “almost zero impact” on cutting carbon emissions.“…EU CO2 trading provided “windfall profits” to participants paid for by “electricity customers.”“
———————————————
11/19/12, “More than 1,000 New Coal Plants Planned Worldwide,” Damian Carrington, UK Guardian
“India is planning 455 new plants compared to 363 in China.”…
———————————————-
NASA climate scientist Hansen says ’5 yr. mean global temp. flat for past decade,’ climate predictions hampered by lack of scientific data, notes 2011 NASA satellite to measure aerosols crashed on take-off, no plans to re-start mission:
Page 1 notes lack of scientific data on aerosols makes it impossible to accurately interpret global climate.
Jan. 15, 2013, “Global Temperature Update Through 2012, 15 January 2013,” Columbia University, J. Hansen, M. Sato, R. Rudy
(page 1): “Summary. …”The 5-year mean global temperature has been flat for a decade, which we interpret as a combination of natural variability and a slowdown in the growth rate of the net climate forcing….
(page 1, parag. 3): “The approximate stand-still of global temperature during 1940-1975 is generally attributed to an approximate balance of aerosol cooling and greenhouse gas warming during a period of rapid growth of fossil fuel use with little control on particulate air pollution, but
satisfactory quantitative interpretation has been impossible because of the absence of adequate aerosol measurements 3,4.”…
---------------------------------------------------------------
Global Warming ‘action’ was institutionalized in US government in 1990 by George Bush the 1st in the “U.S. Global Change Research Act of 1990.” CO2 is mentioned near the end.
Trillions have been taken from US taxpayers for climate endeavors via agency budget allocations, tax subsidies, diversion of US military to climate or green projects, countless federal regulations, vast sums shipped out in no strings foreign aid for ‘climate’ capacity building, etc.
Other countries’ CO2 hasn’t dropped despite hundreds of billions spent on cap and trade and extra taxes. This isn’t to say the US government hasn’t become business partners with the ‘climate’ industry.
————————————————————
The US has spent “$2.5 billion on GCCI since 2010 on overseas anti-global warming efforts in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.”…
3/26/12, “Obama Requests $770 Million to Fight Global Warming Overseas,” CNS News, Matt Cover
“The Obama administration has requested $770 million in federal funds to combat the effects of global warming in developing countries, a new congressional report details, continuing its policy of using foreign aid to combat the effects of global warming in the developing world.
The figure, from a recent report from the Congressional Research Service (CRS), shows that despite another year of $1 trillion deficits, the Obama administration continues to pursue its policy of using foreign aid funds for anti-global warming measures – known as the Global Climate Change Initiative (GCCI).
According to CRS, the government has spent a total of $2.5 billion on GCCI since 2010 on overseas anti-global warming efforts in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.”…
================================
7/7/09, “(Lisa) Jackson Confirms EPA Chart Showing No Effect on Climate Without China, India,” US Senate, EPW
.
6/4/12, “Climate change stunner: USA leads world in CO2 cuts since 2006,” Vancouver Observer, Saxifrage
“Not only that, but as my top chart shows, US CO2 emissions are falling even faster than what President Obama pledged in the global Copenhagen Accord.…
Here is the biggest shocker of all: the average American’s CO2 emissions are down to levels not seen since 1964 --over half a century ago. …Coal is the number two source of CO2 for Americans.
Today the average American burns an amount similar to what they did in 1955, and even less than they did in the 1940s. …
It is exactly America’s historical role of biggest and dirtiest that
makes their sharp decline in CO2 pollution so noteworthy and potentially
game changing at the global level.”...
——————————————–
6/22/12, “U.S. cuts greenhouse gases despite do-nothing Congress,” CNN, Steve Hargreaves
- “Even factoring in a stronger economy, forecasters see
- greenhouse gas emissions continuing to fall….
==========================
8/16/12, “AP IMPACT: CO2 emissions in US drop to 20-year low,” AP, Kevin Begos
.
“In a surprising turnaround, the amount of carbon dioxide being released into the atmosphere in the U.S. has fallen dramatically to its lowest level in 20 years, and government officials say the biggest reason is that cheap and plentiful natural gas has led many power plant operators to switch from dirtier-burning coal.
Many of the world’s leading climate scientists didn’t see the drop coming,
in large part because it happened as a result of market forces rather
than direct government action against carbon dioxide, a greenhouse gas
that traps heat in the atmosphere.…
In a little-noticed technical report, the U.S. Energy Information Agency, a part of the Energy Department, said this month that energy related U.S. CO2 emissions for the first four months of this year fell to about 1992 levels. Energy emissions make up about 98 percent of the total.The Associated Press contacted environmental experts, scientists and utility companies and learned thatvirtually everyone believes the shift could have major long-term implications for U.S. energy policy.”…
In a little-noticed technical report, the U.S. Energy Information Agency, a part of the Energy Department, said this month that energy related U.S. CO2 emissions for the first four months of this year fell to about 1992 levels. Energy emissions make up about 98 percent of the total.The Associated Press contacted environmental experts, scientists and utility companies and learned thatvirtually everyone believes the shift could have major long-term implications for U.S. energy policy.”…
==================================
4/21/12, “Why [CO2] Emissions Are Declining in the U.S. But Not in Europe,” by Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus, newgeography.com.
“As we note below in a new article for Yale360, a funny thing happened: U.S. emissions started going down in 2005 and are expected to decline further over the next decade.”
- =============================
“What the government has not mandated, the economy is doing on its own: emissions of global warming gases in the United States are down.
According to the Energy Department, carbon dioxide emissions peaked in this country in 2005 and will not reach that level again until the early 2020s.”…
——————————————————-
News of US CO2 plunge has been described as:
- “Surprising,“
- “little noticed,“
- “dramatic,“
- “stunner,“
- “most people are surprised to learn,“
- “quiet but tremendous progress,”
- “major long term implications,”
- “game changing,”
- “shocker,”
- “huge contrast to the forecast.”
1/11/11, “Big Money in Climate Change: Who Gives, Who Gets,” Al Fin
In 2011 alone the US spent “$10.6 million (taxpayer dollars) a day to study, combat, and educate about climate change.” 1/5/11
-----------------------------------------
Cap and Trade is a massive failure:
11/23/11, “Europe’s $287 billion carbon ‘waste’: UBS report,“ The Australian, by Sid Maher
“SWISS banking giant UBS says the European Union’s emissions trading scheme has cost the continent’s consumers $287 billion for “almost zero impact” on cutting carbon emissions.“…EU CO2 trading provided “windfall profits” to participants paid for by “electricity customers.”“
———————————————
11/19/12, “More than 1,000 New Coal Plants Planned Worldwide,” Damian Carrington, UK Guardian
“India is planning 455 new plants compared to 363 in China.”…
———————————————-
NASA climate scientist Hansen says ’5 yr. mean global temp. flat for past decade,’ climate predictions hampered by lack of scientific data, notes 2011 NASA satellite to measure aerosols crashed on take-off, no plans to re-start mission:
Page 1 notes lack of scientific data on aerosols makes it impossible to accurately interpret global climate.
Jan. 15, 2013, “Global Temperature Update Through 2012, 15 January 2013,” Columbia University, J. Hansen, M. Sato, R. Rudy
(page 1): “Summary. …”The 5-year mean global temperature has been flat for a decade, which we interpret as a combination of natural variability and a slowdown in the growth rate of the net climate forcing….
(page 1, parag. 3): “The approximate stand-still of global temperature during 1940-1975 is generally attributed to an approximate balance of aerosol cooling and greenhouse gas warming during a period of rapid growth of fossil fuel use with little control on particulate air pollution, but
satisfactory quantitative interpretation has been impossible because of the absence of adequate aerosol measurements 3,4.”…
---------------------------------------------------------------
Global Warming ‘action’ was institutionalized in US government in 1990 by George Bush the 1st in the “U.S. Global Change Research Act of 1990.” CO2 is mentioned near the end.
Trillions have been taken from US taxpayers for climate endeavors via agency budget allocations, tax subsidies, diversion of US military to climate or green projects, countless federal regulations, vast sums shipped out in no strings foreign aid for ‘climate’ capacity building, etc.
- Devoting 13 federal agencies to ‘climate’ matters is hardly lagging in “action.”
Other countries’ CO2 hasn’t dropped despite hundreds of billions spent on cap and trade and extra taxes. This isn’t to say the US government hasn’t become business partners with the ‘climate’ industry.
————————————————————
The US has spent “$2.5 billion on GCCI since 2010 on overseas anti-global warming efforts in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.”…
3/26/12, “Obama Requests $770 Million to Fight Global Warming Overseas,” CNS News, Matt Cover
“The Obama administration has requested $770 million in federal funds to combat the effects of global warming in developing countries, a new congressional report details, continuing its policy of using foreign aid to combat the effects of global warming in the developing world.
The figure, from a recent report from the Congressional Research Service (CRS), shows that despite another year of $1 trillion deficits, the Obama administration continues to pursue its policy of using foreign aid funds for anti-global warming measures – known as the Global Climate Change Initiative (GCCI).
According to CRS, the government has spent a total of $2.5 billion on GCCI since 2010 on overseas anti-global warming efforts in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.”…
================================
7/7/09, “(Lisa) Jackson Confirms EPA Chart Showing No Effect on Climate Without China, India,” US Senate, EPW
.
“EPA Administrator Jackson confirmed an EPA analysis showing that unilateral U.S. action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions would have no effect on climate….“I believe the central parts of the [EPA] chart are that U.S. action alone will not impact world CO2 levels,” Administrator Jackson said.”…
——————————————————
Obama ‘climate action’ in November 2012 included giving $6 billion US taxpayer dollars for ‘clean energy’ to the Sultan of Brunei who owns 5000+ cars and to the Pres. of Indonesia, a country so corrupt even the World Bank says crime adds 20% to costs. Below, one of the Sultan of Brunei’s cars:
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