.
41 Hillary
40 Trump
============
Including Libertarian candidate
38 Hillary
37 Trump
11 Johnson (Libertarian)
==========
Independent voters
Trump 33
Hillary 32
==============
Independent voters including Libertarian candidate
Trump 28
Hillary 26
Johnson 19
47% male, 53% female. 37 Dem, 32 Ind, 31 Rep. (p. 8), 2001 registered voters. In 2012: 42% Obama, 31% Romney, 22% of registered voters polled didn't vote. Online poll.
7/5/16, "Trump Nearly Tied With Clinton in New Survey," Morning Consult, Eli Yokley
"Donald Trump is almost tied with Hillary Clinton as voters’ first
choice to be the next president, a new Morning Consult poll found.
According to the national survey, the presumptive Democratic
nominee tops Trump, 41 percent to 40 percent, but her lead is within the
poll’s margin of error of 2 percentage points. It’s the likely
Republican nominee’s best showing in our head-to-head matchup with the
former secretary of State since the general-election phase of the
campaign began.
Morning Consult polled voters from June 30 through the July Fourth
holiday, after a secret meeting between President Bill Clinton and
Attorney General Loretta Lynch reignited the debate over her use of a
private email server while serving in the Obama administration. On
Tuesday, Federal Bureau of Investigation Director James Comey announced he would not recommend criminal charges against her.
In the newest survey, Clinton was down four points from the weekend
before, while Trump saw just a one-point boost. Among independents in
the two-way matchup, Trump was favored slightly to Clinton, 33 percent
to 32 percent, with 35 percent of respondents undecided.
In a three-way matchup, including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, a
handful of voter-11 percent-said they would buck both parties and
back the former New Mexico governor. Clinton maintains her slim 1-point
margin over Trump in that scenario. Independents were split between the
leading party candidates, 26 percent for Clinton and 28 percent for
Trump. Another 19 percent of them said if the election were held today,
they would vote for Johnson....
A little more than four in 10 voters (43 percent) said they were more
likely to vote for a Democratic congressional candidate than a
Republican candidate....Slightly more independents said they support the
Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate, but 44 percent said
they didn’t know or had no opinion.
The national poll was conducted June 30-July 4 among a national
sample of 2,001 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or
minus 2 percentage points. See toplines and crosstabs."
==========
p. 83, #1 issue is security:
Trump 62
Hillary 26
============
p. 82, Job type
==========
Employed by government
Hillary 52
Trump 37
============
Blue collar
Trump 45
Hillary 36
===========
With Johnson added:
p. 86, #1 issue is security:
Trump 56
Hillary 25
Johnson 7
===========
Job type
==========
p. 85, Blue Collar:
Trump 43
Hillary 33
Johnson 12
p. 85, Employed by government
Hillary 47
Trump 34
Johnson 8
========
....................
Tuesday, July 5, 2016
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