Friday, February 8, 2019

Hungary shows the West the path to survival. Pres. Orban on open borders: It masquerades as a humanitarian cause, but its true nature is occupation of territory. Faced with Merkel’s millions, Orbán ordered Hungary’s army to build a fence-McConnell, The American Conservative

.
Hungary’s President Orban “addresses, in language stunningly clear for a politician, the key civilizational questions facing Europe...Faced with the Merkel Million Man Migration, Orbán ordered Hungary’s army to build a fence.”

2/8/19, “Hungary Shows the West the Path to Survival,Scott McConnell, The American Conservative

“Just as they resisted communism, so too are they leading the charge against the radical open-borders project.”

“A specter is haunting the European Union—the specter of Eastern Europe. Hungary is a country slightly more populous than Virginia, and its population diminishes slightly every year. It receives substantial subsidies from richer EU countries, produces nice wines, but has little industry not tied to German auto plants. Its military has roughly zero external intervention capability.

And yet in Europe, Hungary is always in the headlines. The glossy French center-right weekly Le Point warns with alarm that Hungary’s president Viktor Orbán “outlines the shape of another Europe.” A few months ago, the European Parliament subjected Orbán’s government to a sort of trial under “Article 7,” a process that could lead to Hungary being denied its parliamentary voting rights. Le Point (again) speaks ominously of a menacing “axis” between Poland, Hungary, and the new populist government of Italy.

It might be difficult to place Orbán’s government precisely on a political freedom scale. It has taken measures against Hungary’s judiciary and opposition, which have enhanced the power of the ruling party. But people still vote in meaningful elections. Political opponents are not killed or jailed. Unlike France, it is not using brutal measures against demonstrators, though also unlike France, it is not faced with persistent and sometimes violent demonstrations. If you visit Budapest, you will hear soon enough that Orbán has a weakness for crony capitalism: his government’s recent effort to raise the limits on overtime work a company could demand produced some vocal and vigorous opposition. Overall, I would conclude that Orbán isn’t a model democrat or technocratic open economy exemplar, but he also isn’t any sort of aspiring dictator.

Orbán’s notoriety ultimately has little to do with his arcane transgressions against what Western Europe’s rulers consider good government. It exists because he addresses, in language stunningly clear for a politician, the key civilizational questions facing Europe, those that richer countries are loathe to hear.

For starters, he talks about demography. Like many countries in Europe, Hungary’s birthrates have plummeted. Orbán has commenced a campaign to raise them, with measures including generous maternity and paternity leave stipends, subsidies of up to 50 euros a month per child, tax write-offs, and housing assistance for couples that have three or more children. The government has also sent out questionnaires asking Hungarians whether they think the solution to Hungary’s demographic crisis is stronger support for families or higher immigration. Katalin Novak, Orbán’s minister of family and youth, explained unabashedly that the purpose of this was “to send a clear message to Brussels: the renovation of Europe is impossible without support for families and Hungary wants neither immigration nor a modification of its population.” This sort of frankness from leaders in the wealthier West is inconceivable. At a press gathering I recently attended, a Macron minister holding a comparable post focused most of the conversation on the expansion of gay rights.

Of course, the other half of the demography subject is immigration. In an address during the fall of 2016 that still resonates, Orbán proclaimed that Europe is “in mortal danger”:

“The danger is “not attacking us the way wars and natural disasters do…mass migration is a slow stream of water persistently eroding the shores. It is masquerading as a humanitarian cause, but its true nature is the occupation of territory. And what is gaining territory for them is losing territory for us. Flocks of obsessed human rights defenders feel the overwhelming urge to reprimand us…. [A]llegedly we are hostile xenophobes but the truth is that the history of our nation is also one of inclusion, of the intertwining of cultures. Those who have sought to come here as new family members, as allies, or as displaced persons fearing for their lives have been let in to make a new home for themselves.

But those who have come here with the intention of changing our country, of  shaping our nation in their own image, have been met with resistance.””

Faced with the Merkel Million Man Migration, Orbán ordered Hungary’s army to build a fence.

Slovakia similarly refused to take in a quota of migrants dictated by Brussels and Berlin. The former president of the Czech Republic, Vaclav Klaus, wrote a short but excellent book, Europe All Inclusive, about the migration crisis in which he charged that Europe’s western elites were supporting mass immigration explicitly to smash the remaining power of nation states so full European unification could be achieved. Poland has likewise refused EU demands to resettle refugees from the Mideast and North Africa.

It is clear that on immigration, Eastern Europe differs from the rest of the continent—attitudes represented politically only through the populist right in the west are thoroughly mainstream in the east. This difference in political culture is so vast, it can be traced to many sources. A similar divergence surfaced before, during the Cold War, when Eastern Europeans stubbornly refused to allow Western European intellectuals to forget or ignore that communism was a malign and murderous system. Today, Eastern Europeans note that they have been already been the subjects of utopian projects to remake society according to a progressive visionand they have no desire for a repeat.

Encountering Eastern European resistance to progressive dogma for the first time is a bracing experience. I first had it during the mid-’70s, in a grad school lecture class at Columbia. A charming and generally well-liked democratic socialist professor would take admiring students through various sophisticated Marxist readings, leading inexorably to the conclusion that the collapse of “late capitalism” was inevitable and to be welcomed. This semester, there happened to be two Poles taking the class, one of whom was a woman who had been an imprisoned dissident. They seemed to know their Marx as well as the prof did: they were smart, they were vocal, and they were having absolutely none of it. It made for an exciting several months, and for me a memorable demonstration that Eastern Europeans were more or less immune to the guilt and self-hatred permeating much of the West.

Perhaps we are in for a reprise, when the people of the west learn once again from the east what is true and essential about their own societies. Of course, there are parallels between the communists’ aspirations and the open borders diversity project. Both are genuinely revolutionary in their desire to destroy and remake Western societies according to models that have little viable precedent in human experience. Under this logic, the ’60s and ’70s can be seen as a kind of transitional phase, during which Western socialists looked longingly towards various Third World models—China, Cuba, Vietnam, Nicaragua—after they gave up on the Soviet Union and their own proletariats as viable revolutionary agents. Now progressives hope that social justice will bloom from the political chaos generated by demographic shifts.

Without the voices of Eastern Europe, the West might not have successfully resisted the first progressive onslaught. Once again, it needs the voices of the east to illuminate its path to survival.” 

“Scott McConnell is a founding editor of The American Conservative and the author of Ex-Neocon: Dispatches From the Post-9/11 Ideological Wars.”





..............

Thursday, February 7, 2019

76 percent approved Trump State of the Union speech. Party leanings approval: Republicans 97 percent; Independents 82 percent; Democrats 30 percent. 71 percent agree southern border is a crisis-CBS News/YouGov poll of those who watched State of the Union speech, 2/5/19

.
2/6/19, Most viewers approved of Trump’s second State of the Union address, CBSNews.com, by Anthony Salvanto, Jennifer De Pinto and Fred Backus
.......


Above, 76% approve, 24% disapprove, per CBS News YouGov poll



Above, 2/6/19, Approval based on party ID, 97% R, 82% Ind., 30% D



Above, party leaning is self described per question on page 2 of YouGov poll, ie, “do you think of yourself as.” Respondents weren’t asked if they were Registered Voters or Likely Voters. Respondents “were initially interviewed online between Feb. 1 to 4, 2019, to indicate whether they planned to watch the address, and if they were willing to be re-interviewed after the address."



Above, on ideas presented about immigration



Above, do you agree there is a crisis at southern border?



Above, on proposals for troops in Middle East
..........
…………………..

Methodology

“This CBS News survey is based on 1,472 interviews of U.S. adults who watched the State of the Union address on Tuesday night [2/5/19]. The survey was conducted by YouGov using a representative sample of 9,322 U.S. adults who were initially interviewed online between Feb. 1 to 4, 2019, to indicate whether they planned to watch the address, and if they were willing to be re-interviewed after the address. Only those who watched the address were included in the analysis. 

The initial sample of U.S. adults was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the American Community Survey, conducted by the U.S. Bureau of the Census, as well as the 2016 presidential vote. The final sample of post-address re-interviews was weighted to be representative of those who said they would watch the State of the Union address according to gender, age, race, education, and party identification. The margin of error is +/- 3 percent.” 

Questions in CBS News/YouGov poll of SOTU watchers
…………………………. 

Added:

“Donald Trump painted a picture of this country that was based in reality that is unlike the America reported on every day elsewhere in the Drive-By Media.(end of segment) 

2/6/19, “Drive-Bys Shell-Shocked by Their Own Snap Polls,” Rush Limbaugh



................

Wednesday, February 6, 2019

This is what entire political class thinks of US taxpayers who pay all the bills and why they won’t let Trump build a concrete wall: Flimsy border fence in East San Diego County was easily torn down and breached by suspected smuggling groups for second time in less than two months

.




























Above, 2/5/19, "For the second time in less than two months, dilapidated border infrastructure in east San Diego County was dismantled and breached by suspected smuggling organizations. Agents discovered cross-border tracks for two vehicles, but did not locate them." US Customs and Border Protection, CBP
 
 
 
 
................

Democrats lost Ohio in 2016 because they thought blue collar workers should shut up and learn to code. Mahoning County Democrat Chair says: “The workers we’re talking about don’t want to run computers, they want to run back hoes, dig ditches, sling concrete block”-Washington Post, 4/5/2017

.
It’s now considered “abusive” to suggest unemployed journalists “Learn To Code.” The same media elites who say “telling them to “learn to code” is mean and hurts their feelings (and thus warrants a ban from Twitter due to being “abusive behavior") were more than comfortable telling Rust Belt Americans to “learn to code.”"…1/28/19 

4/5/2017, “Democrats still ignoring the people who could have helped them defeat Trump, Ohio party leaders say,” The Washington Post, William Wan 

“"The workers we’re talking about don’t want to run computers, they want to run back hoes, dig ditches, sling concrete block,” he wrote. “They’re not embarrassed about the fact that they get their hands dirty. . . . They love it and they want to be respected and honored for it.”

He sent his memo to [Hillary] Clinton’s top campaign adviser in Ohio and other senior party officials. But [Mahoning County Democrat Party Chairman] Betras never heard back. 

Months later, he [Betras] said he thinks his [Democrat] party leaders still haven’t gotten the message…. 

The dinner was supposed to be a Democratic strategy session for an upcoming county election. But the mood grew darker as conversation turned toward the future of their party.

One by one, members of the Mahoning County Democratic Party poured out their frustrations: Just months after the presidential election, they felt folks like them were being forgotten – again. The party’s comeback strategy was being steered by protesters, consultants and elitists from New York and California who have no idea what voters in middle America care about.

But worst of all, they said, the party hadn’t learned from what they saw as the biggest message from November’s [2016] election: Democrats have fallen completely out of touch with America’s blue-collar voters.

“It doesn’t matter how much we scream and holler about jobs and the economy at the local level. Our national leaders still don’t get it,” said David Betras, the [Mahoning] county’s party chair. “While Trump is talking about trade and jobs, they’re still obsessing about which bathrooms people should be allowed to go into.”

Since the election, Democrats have been swallowed up in an unending cycle of outrage and issues that have little to do with the nation’s working class, they said, such as women’s marches, fighting Trump’s refugee ban and advocating for transgender bathroom rights. 

The party’s national leaders have focused on decrying Trump, opposing his Supreme Court pick and tying his administration to Russia. That approach – trying to defeat Trump solely by attacking him and his policies – already has failed once, many at the dinner said.

Meanwhile, they think few are talking about issues that really matter to people in places such as Youngstown: Stagnant wages, vanishing jobs and sputtering economies. Even the Democrats’ recent success in blocking Trump’s attempt to repeal President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act matters little in the face of those core interests, local party leaders said. 

And unless the party begins addressing those blue-collar issues, they said, there will be real and dire consequences in states like theirs.

Others around the restaurant table nodded.

In more than a dozen interviews, party leaders across Ohio--from local precinct captains to the handful of Democrats who remain in Congress--said they are deeply worried.

“Every time Trump so much as sneezes, we as a party are setting our hair on fire and running around like it’s the end of the world,” Betras said as the dinner wound down. Most people around here don’t care. They are living paycheck to paycheck, just trying to hold on. After everything that’s happened, if we as a party still aren’t speaking to them, then we are never getting them back.”…

At a bar on the hollowed-out edges of Youngstown, Betras slid a memo dated May 12, 2016, across the table. It was then that he saw the wave of anger coming and tried to warn Clinton’s campaign.

“I know I am just a chairman but I am a chairman in the trenches,” Betras wrote in the three-page memo, begging Clinton to focus on jobs.

In Mahoning County – a Democratic stronghold decimated by the manufacturing industry’s decline – Betras was seeing GOP yard signs suddenly popping up. During the primaries, he learned that 18 of his own Democratic precinct captains had crossed party lines to vote for Trump. Some areas had to print extra Republican primary ballots just to keep up with the demand. 

“That’s when I knew something was wrong,” he said. 

He warned Clinton that she had lost all credibility with working-class voters by waffling on trade and offering tepid solutions. He urged in his memo that she talk about infrastructure instead….

When Ohio leaders talk about their party, they often recall the old days when its core depended on the typical union worker. Now, those workers feel taken for granted or outright abandoned, said Rep. Marcy Kaptur, D-Ohio, 70, whose district sits on Ohio’s northernmost edge.

“Just look at the leadership in both parties,” said Kaptur, whose mother was an auto union organizer. The GOP’s recent leaders – House Speaker Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin, former speaker John A. Boehner of Ohio and Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana – have largely hailed from middle America, but top Democrats have not. House and Senate minority leaders Nancy Pelosi of California and Charles E. Schumer of New York come from the wealthy, urban coasts. 

That geographic disconnect has translated into policies that alienate the heartland, Kaptur said, overlooking, for example, the devastation of globalized free trade on places such as Ohio. “They paid lip service to it, but the underlying attitude was, ‘You’re not modern enough, not educated enough, not willing to adjust,‘ ” Kaptur said….

To Kaptur, the two sides – this new diverse coalition and the traditional working-class voters she knows – represent the party’s future and past. But neither can win in the present without the other….

“We’ve got one wing that deals with labor and economics and another that deals with social issues and ethnicity. And we have to find a way to fuse these two wings or we’re going to keep falling from the sky.”

For now, the Democratic future in Ohio looks bleak.Trump not only flipped the state but also won by the largest margin of any presidential candidate since 1988.“…top image from zero hedge

......................

Comment: Neither political party has the slightest interest in working class voters.  




............

NY Governor Andrew Cuomo says “ICE is a bunch of thugs” and NY State “will not cooperate” with them-August 29, 2018 debate for NY Governor

.












8/29/2018, During Democrat debate for NY Governor, “Andrew Cuomo Calls Ice A Bunch of “THUGS”,” You Tube. (Above is screen shot from video)

“New York State is the State that says we will not cooperate with ICE, they’re a bunch of thugs.” 

8/30/2018, GOP Rep. Zeldin: NY Gov. Cuomo a ‘Thug’ for Criticizing ICE,” Newsmax, Theodore Bunker

“Rep. Lee Zeldin, R-N.Y., on Thursday called Gov. Andrew Cuomo, D-N.Y., a “thug,” after the governor used the word to describe officers with Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Cuomo called ICE “a bunch of thugs,” during a Wednesday debate at Hofstra University with fellow Democratic candidate for governor Cynthia Nixon, in which he criticized the agency’s policy toward young immigrants…

Zeldin tweeted on Thursday that Cuomo “again exposes himself as the real ‘thug’ attacking selfless law enforcement officers who last week deported a Nazi from Queens, are defeating MS-13, and combatting drug trafficking, sex trafficking and more!””





..............

7 feet of snow in 7 days, some Tahoe ski resorts had to close due to too much snow-SF Chronicle, 2/5/19

.




Above images: 1. Snow piled up at Squaw Valley Alpine Meadows on Feb. 5, 2019. The ski resort has received 3 feet of snow in 24 hours.” 2. “Snow piles up at Heavenly Mountain Resort on Feb. 4, 2019.” 3. “A strong winter storm dropped nearly six feet of snow at Mammoth Mountain as of 8 a.m. Monday, according to the National Weather Service. Caltrans has closed off travel through the Sierra due to whiteout conditions.”

2/5/19, “7 feet in 7 days: Tahoe resorts buried under snow, San Francisco Chronicle, Alix Martichoux

“The Sierra has been walloped with so much snow, some ski resorts have actually had to shut down lifts and trails for safety. 

Squaw Valley Alpine Meadows, which has received more than six feet of snow in this latest winter storm, had to close all lifts Monday because of whiteout conditions, high winds and avalanche dangers. The resort reopened five lifts late Tuesday morning.

Other resorts in the Tahoe area also got hit hard by the blizzard. Heavenly Mountain Resort reported a 24-hour snowfall total of 36 inches [3 ft.] Tuesday morning.

ALSO: Bay Area stuns with snow-covered hillsides after unusually cold storm

Kirkwood reported 88 inches over the past week--that’s more than 7 feet of snow. All that snow delayed opening Tuesday to around noon.

Sugar Bowl closed early Monday, around 2 p.m., as winds gusted to 60 miles per hour.

Even when resorts were open to skiers and snowboarders, getting to them was a real problem. Interstate 80 was closed in both directions from Colfax (Placer County) to the Nevada state line all day Monday and into Tuesday morning. Highway 257, Highway 50 and Old Highway 40 were also all closed periodically.”



Above image: This car slid off Highway 28 near Lake Tahoe on Sunday afternoon due to the winter conditions.”…”I-80 reopened in both directions just before 10 a.m. Tuesday. Chain controls were still in effect with a speed limit of 30 miles per hour.”2/5/19, “Whiteout conditions shut down 100 miles of I-80 in the Sierra,” SF Chronicle, Alix Martichoux
…………………………………

Comment: Could we please get some global warming in these places where “experts” told us children would never see snow again and therefore US taxpayers must pay billions yearly in perpetuity to cronies of mass murderers in the US political class starting with their hero, convicted felon George Soros?


...............

Republican flips Minnesota seat held by Democrats for two decades giving Minnesota Senate Republicans a 3 seat majority-Star-Tribune

.
Rarick won by 8 points.

2/5/19, “GOP’s Jason Rarick wins tight special election for Minnesota Senate seat,” Star-Tribune, Torey Van Oot

Republican Jason Rarick won a hotly contested special election for a Minnesota Senate seat Tuesday, expanding the GOP’s narrow majority in the chamber.

Rarick, a state representative from Pine City, defeated Democrat Stu Lourey 53 percent to 45 percent to flip the 11th Senate District. Legal Marijuana Now candidate John Birrenbach captured 2 percent of the vote.

The win means Republicans will expand their narrow majority [now 3 votes] in the state Senate by one vote. The 35-32 split may make it more difficult for Gov. Tim Walz and Democrats in control of the state House to pass proposals key to their agenda, including bills related to guns, heath care and a gas tax, this session.

The results also bring an end more than two decades of representation in the district by Democrats and members of the Lourey family.

The seat opened up after Walz appointed former Democratic Sen. Tony Lourey, who is Stu Lourey’s father, as his Human Services commissioner. Tony Lourey had succeeded his own mother, Becky Lourey, in the district.

High stakes led political parties and outside groups to target the seat, spending heavily and sending scores of volunteers to rally voters in what was expected to be a low-turnout election. Ballot delays reported in the district’s many mail-only precincts complicated the four-week sprint to fill the seat.

Given those dynamics, Lourey, Rarick and their respective allies focused heavily on encouraging voters to head to the polls, even if they were planning to vote by mail, in the final stretch of the race. 

While Lourey and Rarick split on many key issues in front of the Legislature, both sought to emphasize their ties to the district. Lourey, a Kerrick native and son of the former state senator, previously worked as an aide to Democratic Sens. Al Franken and Tina Smith. His bid attracted support from some of the state’s most powerful political players, including Walz, progressive political groups and labor unions such as Minnesota’s AFL-CIO. He would be the third consecutive member of his family to represent the seat.

Rarick, meanwhile, was recently elected to a third term representing the southern half of the district in the state House. On the campaign trail, he emphasized his support for gun rights and restricting abortion, as well as his background as an electrician. That past work helped him land endorsements from a handful of trade unions, which he also touted heavily in his communication with voters.

The district, which covers all of Pine and parts of Carlton, Kanabec and St. Louis counties, has been represented by Democrats for decades. But recent gains by Republicans in greater Minnesota, including President Donald Trump’s double-digit win in the district in 2016, put the open seat in play.”




................

Trump approval at 48% among Likely Voters as of Feb. 5, 2018-Rasmussen Daily Tracking poll…(Obama at 46% on same day in his 1st term

.
2/5/19, “Daily Presidential Tracking Poll,” Rasmussen Reports

“The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. [Chart at link is interactive. Place cursor at Feb. 5 to see results, Trump 48, Obama 46 on same date]



The latest figures include 36% who Strongly Approve of the job Trump is doing and 42% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -6. (see trends)….

Now that Gallup has quit the field, Rasmussen Reports is the only nationally recognized public opinion firm that still tracks President Trump’s job approval ratings on a daily basis….

Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often don’t show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.

To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.

Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology (see methodology).

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.”



.......