Thursday, July 30, 2015

Donald Trump captures 25% in new Reuters Ipsos poll for Republican presidential nomination, nearest rival is at 12%-Reuters

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7/29/15, "Trump leads Republican presidential race with 25 percent: Reuters/Ipsos poll," Reuters, James Oliphant

Reuters Ipsos thru 7/28















"Billionaire Donald Trump has taken a commanding lead in the race for the 2016 U.S. Republican presidential nomination with the support of 25 percent in a Reuters/Ipsos poll, giving him a double-digit advantage over nearest rival Jeb Bush. 

The poll shows Bush, the former Florida governor, trailing at 12 percent.

It is a huge jump for Trump, who announced his candidacy for the November 2016 election six weeks ago - and this despite the criticism political rivals leveled at him for remarks this month belittling the military service of Senator John McCain, the party's candidate in 2008.

The five-day rolling online poll had Trump at 15 percent among Republicans on Friday before he rocketed to 24.9 percent on Tuesday

Trump, a 69-year-old real estate mogul and reality TV star, seems to be certain to take the stage at next week's Fox News debate, which will use national polls to determine which 10 of the 17 Republican candidates in the field can participate.

Reuters/Ipsos polling also shows that should Trump mount an independent bid next year and run in a three-way race, he will likely drain support from the Republican nominee and allow the Democrat to cruise to victory. 

Trump has refused to rule out an independent run should he fail to secure the Republican nomination. 

In a matchup with Democratic Party front-runner Hillary Clinton and Bush, Trump would tie Bush at about 23 percent among likely voters, with Clinton winning the White House with 37 percent of the vote. 

About 15 percent of those polled said they were undecided or would not vote.

The five-day rolling poll was based on a survey of 425 Republicans and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. The three-way race poll, taken at the same time, used a sample of 1,280 Americans and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

The full results of Reuters/Ipsos rolling Republican presidential poll can be found here: http://bit.ly/1H3YBKw"














7/29/15, Reuters Ipsos poll, Republican Voters, Through July 28, 2015, Trump with double digit lead over nearest competitor.

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7/29/15, "Trump's lead GROWS over Jeb and other Republican rivals as he captures 25 per cent in new Reuters poll –just in time to leave the US for golf tournament in Scotland," UK Daily Mail, Reuters and David Martosko

"Billionaire Donald Trump is leaving the country on a high note, flying from New York to Glasgow, Scotland on Wednesday night as a new poll gives him a commanding lead in the race for the 2016 U.S. Republican presidential nomination.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll found 25 per cent of GOP voters want to elect a President Trump, resulting in a double-digit advantage over his nearest rival Jeb Bush. The former Florida governor trails with 12 per cent.

Trump told DailyMail.com during an interview on Wednesday morning that he planned to spend Thursday, Friday and Saturday attending the Women's British Open golf tournament at his Trump Turnberry Resort. 

'For four years I've looked forward to going to this,' he said. 'You know, yhey pick 'em four or five years in advance. And now what happens? Hah!'

'So I said, "Do I go?"'

He chuckled at the timing, now that he's the GOP front-runner. 'And the answer is, I'm going but I'm not coming back on Sunday. I'm coming back on Saturday.'

Trump will fly aboard his private Boeing 757 aircraft from New York's LaGuardia Airport to Glasgow Prestwick International Airport in Scotland.

The five-day rolling online poll from Reuters had Trump at 15 percent among Republicans on Friday before he rocketed to 24.9 percent on Tuesday.

That huge jump will all but ensure that the nascent presidential campaign's first significant domestic Trump news blackout – three days with nothing but golf interviews – will leave him in good stead....

The five-day rolling poll was based on a survey of 425 Republicans and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. The three-way race poll, taken at the same time, used a sample of 1,280 Americans and has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points."


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