Romney over Obama 49-47, Rasmussen Daily Tracking, 10/14/12, Romney ahead in Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia

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10/14/12, "Daily Presidential Tracking Poll," Rasmussen Reports

"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

Romney has a similar advantage in our daily swing state tracking....

Rasmussen Reports polling tends to show smaller swings than other polls for a variety of reasons. In 2008, we showed virtually no change during the final 40 days of the campaign.  Then-candidate Obama was between 50% and 52% in our polling every single day. He generally held a five- or six-point lead, occasionally bouncing up to an eight-point advantage and only once falling below a four point-lead. This stable assessment of the race is consistent with the reality of what we know about voter behavior. Obama won the election by a 53% to 46% margin...

New Rasmussen Reports polling shows Romney up by four in Florida,  up three in North Carolina and up two in Virginia.  President Obama is still up by one in Ohio. Currently, the president has a 237-181 edge in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections.  However, 10 states with 120 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up category and are likely to decide the election.

The traditionally Democratic states of Pennsylvania, Connecticut  and Michigan  continue to favor the president. However, the race is tied in New Hampshire  and Nevada.  Obama is up two in Wisconsin  and Iowa.  The president has a one-point edge in  Colorado.... 

From a longer term perspective, Romney and Obama have been within three points of each other for 89 of the past 100 days. Only about two percent (2%) of voters changed their mind following the debate. But, in a close race, even a small change can have a big impact....

Overall, Romney has had a one- or two-point lead on six of the past nine days. Obama had the advantage just once, and the candidates were tied twice. Those numbers reflect the state of the race after the first presidential debate. Before that, Obama had been ahead or tied for 16 consecutive days."...